Updated March 6, 2026
The SEC closes the regular season with a Saturday afternoon showdown as Arkansas visits Missouri on March 7. The Razorbacks arrive ranked 20th with a 22-8 record and strong positioning for the upcoming conference tournament, while Missouri sits at 20-10 and looks to rebound after a recent setback. These programs already met earlier in the season, a high-scoring contest that Arkansas won 94-86. With postseason seeding on the line and two offenses capable of filling the scoreboard, this Arkansas vs Missouri game is of vital importance on both sides.
Pick: Arkansas -1.5 ATS PRO
Confidence: 3 out of 5
Arkansas enters this contest in strong form after a dominant 105-85 victory over Texas. That performance showcased the Razorbacks’ offensive ceiling, as they ran the floor aggressively and shot the ball with efficiency. The win also kept Arkansas firmly in the race for the second seed in the SEC tournament.
Missouri, meanwhile, comes into the game after an 80-64 loss to Oklahoma. Despite that result, the Tigers have been competitive throughout the season and remain a difficult opponent at home. Their offense averages close to 80 points per game, and they have multiple scoring options capable of stretching a defense.
Another storyline is the contrast in offensive pace. Arkansas plays one of the more aggressive attacking styles in the conference, while Missouri is more balanced and methodical. If the Razorbacks can force turnovers and convert in transition as they did in the earlier meeting, they could dictate the flow of the game.
Missouri Tigers
Arkansas Razorbacks
Stat | Arkansas | Missouri |
|---|---|---|
Points per game | 90.3 | 79.8 |
Points allowed per game | 79.8 | 74.8 |
Team Field Goal % | 50% | 49% |
Rebounds per game | 35.7 | 35.7 |
Assists per game | 17.2 | 14.4 |
Score Projection: Arkansas 81 – Missouri 78 ATS PRO
Win Probability: Arkansas 61%, Missouri 39% ATS PRO
This contest will likely a competitive SEC battle with both offenses capable of producing points in a hurry. Missouri benefits from home court advantage and a strong season from Mark Mitchell, yet Arkansas carries the more explosive attack and enters with better recent form. The Razorbacks also proved in the earlier meeting with Mizzou that they can pressure the Tigers into mistakes and capitalize in transition. I'm going to back the Razorbacks here, as they should make life tough on the Tigers once again.
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