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Kyrgios vs Khachanov Betting Pick
Heading into the quarterfinals of the US Open, Nick Kyrgios has become the favorite to win the tournament. After beating Daniil Medvedev in his last time out, Kyrgios will look to take out a second straight Russian when he faces Karen Khachanov in the quarterfinal round on Tuesday. In our tennis predictions from the US Open, we look at Kyrgios vs Khachanov in a battle of big hitters looking for their first trip to the US Open semifinals.
Why Bet On The Over:
✅ Kyrgios should be able to win this match, but it is not likely to be a straight set affair. He has played Khachanov twice previously, and both of those matches have gone the distance. That includes their lone match at a major, when Kyrgios defeated Khachanov in a five set match that saw a fifth set tiebreak at the Australian Open. This match will be similarly competitive, going over the 38.5 games line.
✅ Kyrgios and Khachanov have played a total of eight sets in the two matches that they have shared all-time. Of those eight sets, six of them have gone to tiebreaks. Bettors should expect these two to match each other early on, and it may not be a bad idea to bet on over 1.5 tiebreaks at around +140 where available.
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✅ Nerves could play a role in this match in a way that they do not usually for Kyrgios, allowing Khachanov to stay in this matchup longer than usual. This is the first match of Kyrgios’ career where he is the favorite to win a major tournament, thanks to the eliminations of Medvedev and Nadal over the last two days. If he tightens up, it could result in the type of vintage Kyrgios meltdowns that keep this match close for longer than it should be.
Nick Kyrgios
For Nick Kyrgios, this could be the best chance he ever gets to win a major championship. He comes into the quarterfinals of the US Open as a slight favorite over Carlos Alcaraz to lift the trophy on Sunday. But before he can think about that, he will need to deal with an opponent in Karen Khachanov who has been anything but easy for him to beat in the past.
In this match, Kyrgios will need to continue to be at his best returning serve, as Khachanov is a much different type of player than the Russian Kyrgios beat on Sunday in Daniil Medvedev. Khachanov hits much bigger on his first serve and with his forehand, relying on his offense compared to the more defensive-minded Medvedev. But as long as Kyrgios continues to put on serving masterclass after serving masterclass on this fast courts in New York, he should be able to get through this match in the end.
Karen Khachanov
One could argue that Karen Khachanov may not have made it to this stage of the US Open had Jack Draper not been forced to retire against him in the third round of the tournament. But Khachanov is here and is more than capable of ruining the fun of the newfound favorite to win this US Open. With plenty of weapons to work with, the Russian will look to avenge his countryman Daniil Medvedev’s loss to Kyrgios over the weekend.
For Khachanov, the number one key to this match is going to be avoiding getting sucked into the Nick Kyrgios circus. Khachanov has a tendency to get frustrated in his own right when things are not going his way, and the ability of Kyrgios to get under the skin of his opponents can exacerbate things if Khachanov gets behind early.