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Berrettini vs Ruud Betting Pick
Matteo Berrettini and Casper Ruud are both major finalists previously in their careers, getting to the final of Wimbledon and the French Open respectively. On Tuesday afternoon, they meet with a spot in the US Open semifinals on the line. In our tennis predictions for Tuesday, we look at Berrettini vs Ruud in the US Open quarterfinals from New York.
Why Bet On Casper Ruud:
✅ The level of play for Matteo Berrettini has been all over the place at this year’s US Open. He is coming off of a five set match against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, who does his best work on clay for the most part. He has lost the first set in two of his last three matches at this tournament, and a similarly slow start will be too much to come back from against Ruud.
✅ Ruud has won three of the five all-time meetings between these two players. While Ruud’s three wins over Berrettini have all come on clay, and Berrettini won the only match between them on hard courts, Ruud is a much better player on this surface than he was in their 2020 US Open matchup. Expect Ruud to prove just that in this quarterfinal matchup.
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✅ Strategically speaking, everyone knows what they need to do to beat Matteo Berrettini. Ruud will target the Berrettini backhand to avoid letting the Italian dictate rallies with his forehand. That will lead to the errors piling up as they have throughout this tournament for Berrettini, which will give Ruud the advantage en route to a second major semifinal this year.
Matteo Berrettini
Matteo Berrettini has come through to the quarterfinals of the US Open for the second time in his career, though it has not been pretty the entire time. After a straight set win in the first round against Nicolas Jarry, Berrettini has dropped at least one set in his other three matches at this event. That includes a five-set win over Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the round of 16, where Berrettini looked like he was headed for a loss on multiple occasions.
Berrettini has the biggest weapons heading into this matchup with Casper Ruud. But the question is whether he can control those weapons effectively enough to avoid letting this golden opportunity slip through his fingers. We should know early in this match if the Berrettini serve and forehand are going to be good enough to get him through to the final four at Flushing.
Casper Ruud
Casper Ruud has also not had a clean path to the US Open quarterfinals. After beating the injury-plagued Kyle Edmund in the first round, Ruud has had to grind out his last three wins in four or more sets. But Ruud is here, and has the type of game that could coax Berrettini into making enough mistakes to send the Norwegian to the semifinals of the US Open for the first time.
For Ruud, the game plan in this match is simple, and that is to hit the ball deep into the backhand corner of Berrettini as often as he possibly can. That will force Berrettini to hit a lot of slice backhands that do not come back with as much pace as his clubbing forehand. If Ruud can do that, he could get his first hardcourt win over Berrettini and set up a semifinal matchup with either Nick Kyrgios or Karen Khachanov.