Daniil Medvedev and Felix Auger-Aliassime have met multiple times over the last few months, including at the last Grand Slam tournament of the 2021 season. In this match, Medvedev will look to continue his march toward another major final, while Auger-Aliassime will look to turn around his recent woes against the top remaining seed in the draw. In our men’s tennis picks for the Australian Open quarterfinals, we look at Medvedev vs Auger-Aliassime and put forth our best bet for this battle of two exciting stars.
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Daniil Medvedev vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
Why Bet On Daniil Medvedev:
✅ Medvedev has dominated Auger-Aliassime in previous meetings, winning seven of the eight sets they have played against one another. The one set Auger-Aliassime won over Medvedev came in the 2018 Toronto Masters 1000 event, where Auger-Aliassime took the first set in front of a partisan crowd in Canada.
✅ In their last two meetings dating back to this past summer, Medvedev has absolutely punished the second serve of Auger-Aliassime. The Canadian has won just 16 of his 47 (34%) second serve points against the Russian in their last two matchups, and has clearly not been able to penetrate the Medvedev defenses if he isn’t getting his first serve in play.
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✅ Medvedev has dropped just two sets in this Australian Open so far. One came against the unpredictable Nick Kyrgios in front of Kyrgios’ home fans, and the other against a gimmicky serve and volley player in Maxime Cressy. Neither of those dropped sets came against players trying to beat Medvedev from the baseline, the way Auger-Aliassime will try to here.
Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev has had a relatively straightforward run to the Australian Open quarterfinal round. He has won 12 of the 14 sets he has played so far, and has yet to face any real challenge from an opponent so far. Here, he will look to take advantage of a real matchup advantage against a player in Auger-Aliassime who tend to play into the strengths of the Russian.
Auger-Aliassime doesn’t do a lot of playing at the net, using his big forehand from the baseline to try and win points. That strategy is a big plus for Medvedev, who is at the very least a top-two player in the world right now at defending in baseline rallies. Barring a change in strategy from Auger-Aliassime, Medvedev has to like his chances to cruise in this match.
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Felix Auger-Aliassime has played some spectacular tennis to get to the quarterfinals of the Australian Open. He has beaten a difficult slate of opponents so far, including Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, Dan Evans, and Marin Cilic. But a match against Daniil Medvedev is the last thing the Canadian wants to see, as he has failed to win any of their three prior encounters, and hasn’t won a set against the Russian outside of home soil.
Auger-Aliassime may have also wanted to play in the afternoon session in a match like this, where the heat could have exacerbated some of the cramping concerns that Medvedev suffers from. However, this match will be played in the Melbourne night, and Auger-Aliassime will have to find a way to breach the best defense remaining in this tournament without the elements to help him out.