An Eastern Conference showdown is set for Thursday night when the Pittsburgh Penguins (69 point) visit the Tampa Bay Lightning (78 points). Pittsburgh is fifth in the Metropolitan but do occupy the second Wild Card spot. Tampa Bay is comfortably in third in the Atlantic. Below is my NHL prediction for Penguins vs Lightning.
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Penguins vs Lightning Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Lightning Moneyline (-169) |
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| ? Promo Code: | ATSBONUSFULL |
This game will be played at Amalie Arena at 7:00 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 2, 2023.
Why Bet the Lightning:
✅ Tampa Bay is 14-3 in their last 17 home games.
✅ The Lightning are 5-3-2 in their last 10 games overall.
✅ Pittsburgh is 3-12 in their last 15 Eastern Conference games.
NHL
Pittsburgh Penguins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Team Records
| PIT | Team Records | TB |
|---|---|---|
| 15-14-5 | Overall | 18-10-2 |
| 1-2 | Shootout | 0-1 |
| 5-3 | Overtime | 3-1 |
| 9-7-2 | Home | 10-4-1 |
| 6-7-3 | Road | 8-6-1 |
| 9-6-4 | EAS | 6-4-2 |
| 6-8-1 | WES | 12-6-0 |
| 8-1-3 | ATL | 0-3-0 |
| 1-5-1 | MET | 6-1-2 |
| 1-6-0 | CEN | 6-5-0 |
| 5-2-1 | PAC | 6-1-0 |
| 8-1-5 | ≤1 | 4-4-2 |
| 5-10-0 | ≥3 | 11-2-0 |
| 4-7-1 | Oct | 7-3-0 |
| 6-5-3 | Nov | 5-6-2 |
| 5-2-1 | Dec | 6-1-0 |
| 0-0-0 | Jan | 0-0-0 |
| 0-0-0 | Feb | 0-0-0 |
| 0-0-0 | Mar | 0-0-0 |
| 0-0-0 | Apr | 0-0-0 |
Team Stats
| PIT | Team Stats | TB |
|---|---|---|
| 104 | Goals For | 120 |
| 125 | Goals Agst | 85 |
| 2.85 | PP For GM | 3 |
| .65 | PP Goals GM | .83 |
| 22.68 | PP% | 27.78 |
| 2.97 | PP Agst GM | 2.83 |
| .53 | PP Agst Goals GM | .57 |
| 82.18 | PK% | 80.00 |
| 7.1 | PIM GM | 8.2 |
| 7.2 | oPIM GM | 9.0 |
Goalies
| T. Jarry | A. Vasilevskiy | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | GP | 10 |
| 3 | GS | 10 |
| 1-1-0 | W-L-T/O | 6-4-0 |
| 12 | Goals Allowed | 24 |
| 5.47 | GAA | 2.54 |
| 73 | Shots Against | 256 |
| .836 | SV% | .906 |
| 0 | SO | 1 |
| 0 | Quality Starts | 5 |
| .000 | QS% | .500 |
| 1 | Bad Starts | 3 |
| 161 | Goals All.% | 92 |
| -4.56 | Goals Sv Above Avg | 2.08 |
Recent Starts
| Date | Opp | W/L | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/14/22 NYI | Sorokin ML N/A | W6-3 TOTAL N/A | 3 | 39 | 36 | .923 |
| 4/9/22 WAS | Samsonov ML N/A | L3-6 TOTAL N/A | 4 | 43 | 39 | .907 |
| 4/7/22 NYR | Shesterkin ML N/A | L0-3 TOTAL N/A | 2 | 23 | 21 | .913 |
| 4/5/22 COL | Kuemper ML N/A | L4-6 TOTAL N/A | 5 | 31 | 26 | .839 |
| 4/2/22 COL | Kuemper ML N/A | L2-3 TOTAL N/A | 3 | 38 | 35 | .921 |
| Date | Opp | W/L | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/4/22 TOR | Campbell ML N/A | W5-3 TOTAL N/A | 3 | 34 | 31 | .912 |
| 5/2/22 TOR | Campbell ML N/A | L0-5 TOTAL N/A | 5 | 32 | 27 | .844 |
| 4/29/22 NYI | Sorokin ML N/A | W6-4 TOTAL N/A | 4 | 37 | 33 | .892 |
| 4/26/22 CBJ | Merzlikins ML N/A | W4-1 TOTAL N/A | 1 | 21 | 20 | .952 |
| 4/24/22 FLA | Bobrovsky ML N/A | W8-4 TOTAL N/A | 4 | 39 | 35 | .897 |
Betting Trends
| PIT | Betting Trends | TB |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 4.33 | Avg Score | 2.33 |
| 2 | Avg Opp Score | 3.67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 3.33 | Avg Score | 4 |
| 2.67 | Avg Opp Score | 3.67 |
| PIT | Betting Trends | TB |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-3-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 3.4 | Avg Score | 3.6 |
| 3.4 | Avg Opp Score | 3.6 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-3-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 2.6 | Avg Score | 4 |
| 3 | Avg Opp Score | 3 |
| PIT | Betting Trends | TB |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-5-0 |
| 5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
| 3.2 | Avg Score | 3.4 |
| 3.7 | Avg Opp Score | 2.8 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
| 8-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
| 2.7 | Avg Score | 4.3 |
| 3 | Avg Opp Score | 2.8 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
Pittsburgh Penguins
Last time out, Pittsburgh visited the Nashville Predators and left with a solid road win. This game was scoreless going into the third period, but that changed in a big way. Nashville got on the board first, seven minutes into the game, but the Penguins scored three goals in the final nine minutes to get both points.
Sidney Crosby, Jason Zucker, and Bryan Rust all scored on the night. Four Penguins recorded at least one assist in the victory.
Sidney Crosby still has it as he leads Pittsburgh with 27 goals, 45 assists, and 72 points this season. The Penguins are scoring 3.23 goals per game and allow 3.17.
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay hosted the Florida Panthers and were beaten 4-1. The Panthers put this game away early as they scored three goals in an 11-minute span and led 3-0 after the first period. Tampa got one back in the second, but could never get fully back into the game.
Brayden Point scored the only Lightning goal and he was assisted by Steven Stamkos and Nikita Kucherov.
Nikita Kucherov is having one of the better seasons in the NHL as he leads Tampa Bay with 63 assists and 86 points. Brayden Point has a team high 37 goals. The Lightning are scoring 3.52 goals per game and allow 2.97.
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