The Indianapolis Colts will host the Tennessee Titans in Week 4 of the NFL season. As is the case every year, these two teams are thought to be the top contenders to take the AFC South division title. The winner of this matchup will do themselves a huge favor in the division race early in the season as a result. In our NFL betting picks for Week 4, we break down Titans vs Colts in a game that could be significant down the road in the AFC South.
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Titans vs Colts Betting Pick
NFL
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
TEN | Passing | IND |
---|---|---|
304 | CMP | 370 |
494 | ATT | 568 |
61.5 | CMP% | 65.1 |
180.4 | YDS/GM | 226 |
7.1 | Y/A | 7.3 |
5.5 | NY/A | 6.2 |
11 | INT | 15 |
64 | SK | 51 |
Defense/Offense
TEN | Passing | IND |
---|---|---|
387 | CMP | 355 |
571 | ATT | 574 |
67.8 | CMP% | 61.8 |
227.4 | YDS/GM | 215.6 |
7.3 | Y/A | 6.8 |
6.3 | NY/A | 6.0 |
6 | INT | 10 |
45 | SK | 41 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
TEN | Rushing | IND |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
444 | ATT | 518 |
1846 | YDS | 2105 |
108.6 | Y/G | 123.8 |
4.2 | Y/A | 4.1 |
16 | TD | 22 |
0.9 | TD/G | 1.3 |
Defense/Offense
TEN | Rushing | IND |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
480 | ATT | 479 |
1831 | YDS | 2059 |
107.7 | Y/G | 121.1 |
3.8 | Y/A | 4.3 |
10 | TD | 19 |
0.6 | TD/G | 1.1 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
TEN | Special Teams | IND |
---|---|---|
42 | Punts/Ret | 38 |
330 | Punt/Yds | 360 |
7.9 | Punt/Y/R | 9.5 |
18 | Kick Off/Ret | 15 |
372 | Kick Off/Yds | 391 |
20.7 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 26.1 |
Defense/Offense
TEN | Special Teams | IND |
---|---|---|
29 | Punts/Ret | 29 |
328 | Punt/Yds | 267 |
11.3 | Punt/Y/R | 9.2 |
35 | Kick Off/Ret | 9 |
815 | Kick Off/Yds | 200 |
23.3 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 22.2 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
TEN | Scoring | IND |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
16 | RshTD | 22 |
14 | RecTD | 21 |
29 | FGM | 36 |
30 | FGA | 41 |
17.9 | Pts/G | 24.4 |
Defense/Offense
TEN | Scoring | IND |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
10 | RshTD | 19 |
20 | RecTD | 18 |
46 | FGM | 33 |
47 | FGA | 41 |
21.6 | Pts/G | 23.3 |
Team Advanced Defense
TEN | Defense | IND |
---|---|---|
22.0% | Bltz% | 15.7% |
6.3% | Hrry% | 4.5% |
6.3% | QB Hit% | 8.3% |
18.8% | QB Prss% | 19.6% |
Injuries
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
A.J. Moore | S | Ankle | Out | 10/02/22 |
Amani Hooker | DB | Concussion | Out | 10/02/22 |
Caleb Shudak | K | Leg | Out | 10/02/22 |
Chance Campbell | LB | Knee | Out | 10/02/22 |
Chris Jackson | DB | Undisclosed | Out | 10/02/22 |
Da'Shawn Hand | DE | Quad | Out | 10/02/22 |
Elijah Molden | CB | Groin | Out | 10/02/22 |
Harold Landry III | OLB | Knee (acl) | Out | 10/02/22 |
Jamarco Jones | OL | Triceps | Out | 10/02/22 |
Le'Raven Clark | OT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/02/22 |
Monty Rice | LB | Achilles | Out | 10/02/22 |
Ola Adeniyi | OLB | Neck | Out | 10/02/22 |
Racey McMath | WR | Hip | Out | 10/02/22 |
Taylor Lewan | OT | Knee | Out | 10/02/22 |
Theo Jackson | S | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/02/22 |
Tommy Hudson | TE | Undisclosed | Out | 10/02/22 |
Trenton Cannon | RB | Knee | Out | 10/02/22 |
Ugo Amadi | DB | Ankle | Out | 10/02/22 |
Wyatt Ray | DE | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/02/22 |
Zach Cunningham | LB | Elbow | Out | 10/02/22 |
Austin Hooper | TE | Neck | Questionable | 09/30/22 |
Bud Dupree | OLB | Hip | Questionable | 09/30/22 |
Nate Davis | G | Knee | Questionable | 09/30/22 |
Treylon Burks | WR | Illness | Questionable | 09/30/22 |
Cody Hollister | WR | Back | Probable | 10/02/22 |
Kristian Fulton | CB | Hamstring | Probable | 10/02/22 |
Kyle Philips | WR | Shoulder | Probable | 10/02/22 |
Roger McCreary | CB | Back | Probable | 10/02/22 |
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Andrew Ogletree | TE | Knee (acl) | Out | 10/02/22 |
Armani Watts | S | Ankle | Out | 10/02/22 |
Carter O'Donnell | OT | Undisclosed | Out | 10/02/22 |
Chris Williams | DT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/02/22 |
Dallis Flowers | CB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/02/22 |
Dezmon Patmon | WR | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/02/22 |
Julian Blackmon | S | Ankle | Out | 10/02/22 |
Luke Tenuta | OT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/02/22 |
Rigoberto Sanchez | P | Achilles | Out | 10/02/22 |
Sam Ehlinger | QB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/02/22 |
Trevor Denbow | S | Foot | Out | 10/02/22 |
Wesley French | C | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/02/22 |
Bernhard Raimann | OT | Ankle | Probable | 10/02/22 |
DeForest Buckner | DT | Elbow | Probable | 10/02/22 |
Jonathan Taylor | RB | Toe | Probable | 09/30/22 |
Ryan Kelly | C | Knee | Probable | 09/30/22 |
Shaquille Leonard | LB | Back | Probable | 10/02/22 |
Stephon Gilmore | CB | Hamstring | Probable | 09/30/22 |
Yannick Ngakoue | DE | Back | Probable | 09/30/22 |
Betting Trends
TEN | Betting Trends | IND |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-1-1 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
17 | Avg Score | 13.33 |
28 | Avg Opp Score | 20.33 |
AWAY | HOME | |
1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
0-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
16 | Avg Score | 22.33 |
28.33 | Avg Opp Score | 19 |
TEN | Betting Trends | IND |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-3-1 |
1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-4-0 |
19 | Avg Score | 14.2 |
25.6 | Avg Opp Score | 22 |
AWAY | HOME | |
2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
17.8 | Avg Score | 24.2 |
27.4 | Avg Opp Score | 22.4 |
TEN | Betting Trends | IND |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-4-1 |
4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
19.5 | Avg Score | 22.3 |
20.3 | Avg Opp Score | 19.6 |
AWAY | HOME | |
6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-5-0 |
4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
25.8 | Avg Score | 26.8 |
28.2 | Avg Opp Score | 23.4 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
This game will be played at Lucas Oil Stadium at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 2, 2022.
Why Bet The Colts:
✅ We saw a more accurate representation of the Colts than we did in the first two weeks of the season in Week 3. They beat the Kansas City Chiefs outright, after entering the game as a 5.5-point underdog. After failing to win their first two games on the road against division opponents, we should see the Colts continue to play better on their home field to combat the initial perception of their team.
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✅ Stopping the run is going to be key in this game, and the Colts are better at that than the Titans. Indianapolis ranks first in the NFL in yards per carry allowed, giving up just 2.6 yards per carry through three weeks. The Titans, meanwhile, are dead last in the league in yards per carry allowed at 5.8 yards per carry. That bodes well for the Colts, who should be able to limit Derrick Henry somewhat while getting plenty of production from Jonathan Taylor.
✅ Tennessee’s defense in general has not been good so far this year. They are allowing 28 points per game through three weeks, which is tied for the third worst scoring defense in the NFL. While most of that came in their 41-7 loss to the Bills, they have yet to allow fewer than 21 points in a game this season, and that streak will continue thanks to the ground game of Indianapolis.
Tennessee Titans
Last week, the Tennessee Titans got their first win of the 2022 NFL season when they beat the Las Vegas Raiders at home. The Titans got off to a fast start in that game, getting out to a 24-10 lead at halftime. But they were held scoreless in the second half, while the Raiders were able to cut their deficit to just two points down the stretch. While the Titans held on and won the game, they still left plenty to be desired.
Tennessee’s defense has been especially uninspiring this season, as they have allowed 6.4 yards per play. That ranks third worst in the NFL, ahead of only the Ravens and Cardinals, who have more explosive offenses to make up for their defensive shortcomings. Against the Colts and their running game, the Titans will need to improve on what has been the worst run defense in the league on a per carry basis through three weeks.
Indianapolis Colts
The Indianapolis Colts also got their first win of the season last week, upsetting the Kansas City Chiefs at home. Indianapolis benefited from multiple mistakes on field goal attempts from the Chiefs to help them on the scoreboard in that game. But after a tie and a loss to start the season, the Colts certainly fought hard enough to earn their first win and were rewarded for it.
In this game, the run defense of the Colts will again be a focal point, as they have had one of the best run defenses in football so far this year. Stopping Derrick Henry and forcing the Titans to beat them with Ryan Tannehill’s arm would be a huge boost for the Colts, as they look to get above .500 with a win against their division rivals on Sunday.