The final game on the NFL Christmas slate will take place between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Arizona Cardinals. Both teams are below .500 on the season, but the Buccaneers are at the top of their division standings while the Cardinals are out of playoff contention. In our NFL betting picks for Sunday, we look at the Christmas night Buccaneers vs Cardinals matchup.
Buccaneers vs Cardinals Betting Pick
ℹ️ The Pick: | Under 39.5 |
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This game will be played at State Farm Stadium at 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, December 25, 2022.
Why Bet the Under:
✅ It looks like Trace McSorley is going to be the starting quarterback of the Arizona Cardinals this week. With both Kyler Murray and Colt McCoy out for this game, McSorley is going to struggle against a stout Tampa defense.
✅ So far this season, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have not gone over the 20-point mark in a road game on the year.
✅ The Buccaneers have gone under the total in 10 of their 14 games for the season. That is tied for the second highest rate of unders on the year, and the Bucs bad offense will continue to help this game stay under as well.
NFL
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Arizona Cardinals
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
TB | Passing | ARI |
---|---|---|
364 | CMP | 347 |
568 | ATT | 506 |
64.1 | CMP% | 68.6 |
224.2 | YDS/GM | 212.5 |
7.1 | Y/A | 7.6 |
6.3 | NY/A | 6.7 |
10 | INT | 11 |
40 | SK | 33 |
Defense/Offense
TB | Passing | ARI |
---|---|---|
404 | CMP | 355 |
611 | ATT | 555 |
66.1 | CMP% | 64.0 |
248.9 | YDS/GM | 184.9 |
7.5 | Y/A | 6.2 |
6.4 | NY/A | 5.3 |
13 | INT | 12 |
48 | SK | 42 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
TB | Rushing | ARI |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
439 | ATT | 521 |
1509 | YDS | 2434 |
88.8 | Y/G | 143.2 |
3.4 | Y/A | 4.7 |
8 | TD | 19 |
0.5 | TD/G | 1.1 |
Defense/Offense
TB | Rushing | ARI |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
422 | ATT | 471 |
1620 | YDS | 2365 |
95.3 | Y/G | 139.1 |
3.8 | Y/A | 5.0 |
11 | TD | 17 |
0.6 | TD/G | 1 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
TB | Special Teams | ARI |
---|---|---|
25 | Punts/Ret | 36 |
234 | Punt/Yds | 366 |
9.4 | Punt/Y/R | 10.2 |
16 | Kick Off/Ret | 6 |
327 | Kick Off/Yds | 133 |
20.4 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 22.2 |
Defense/Offense
TB | Special Teams | ARI |
---|---|---|
38 | Punts/Ret | 31 |
455 | Punt/Yds | 286 |
12.0 | Punt/Y/R | 9.2 |
26 | Kick Off/Ret | 18 |
491 | Kick Off/Yds | 382 |
18.9 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 21.2 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
TB | Scoring | ARI |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
8 | RshTD | 19 |
28 | RecTD | 32 |
29 | FGM | 26 |
31 | FGA | 31 |
20.5 | Pts/G | 26.8 |
Defense/Offense
TB | Scoring | ARI |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
11 | RshTD | 17 |
23 | RecTD | 18 |
29 | FGM | 28 |
36 | FGA | 33 |
19.1 | Pts/G | 19.4 |
Team Advanced Defense
TB | Defense | ARI |
---|---|---|
40.1% | Bltz% | 22.5% |
6.5% | Hrry% | 7.3% |
6.9% | QB Hit% | 4.5% |
19.7% | QB Prss% | 17.1% |
Injuries
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Aaron Stinnie | G | Knee (acl) (mcl) | Out | 12/25/22 |
Breshad Perriman | WR | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/25/22 |
Cam Gill | OLB | Foot | Out | 12/25/22 |
Carl Nassib | OLB | Pectoral | Out | 12/25/22 |
Donovan Smith | OT | Foot | Out | 12/25/22 |
Genard Avery | OLB | Abdomen | Out | 12/25/22 |
Jamel Dean | CB | Toe | Out | 12/25/22 |
John Molchon | G | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/25/22 |
Kyle Trask | QB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/25/22 |
Ryan Jensen | C | Knee | Out | 12/25/22 |
Shaquil Barrett | OLB | Achilles | Out | 12/25/22 |
Vita Vea | DL | Calf | Out | 12/25/22 |
Antoine Winfield Jr. | S | Ankle | Probable | 12/25/22 |
Josh Wells | OT | Back | Probable | 12/25/22 |
Julio Jones | WR | Knee | Probable | 12/25/22 |
Keanu Neal | S | Toe | Probable | 12/25/22 |
Mike Edwards | S | Hamstring | Probable | 12/25/22 |
Tristan Wirfs | OT | Lower Leg | Probable | 12/25/22 |
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Antoine Wesley | WR | Hip | Out | 12/25/22 |
Antwaun Woods | DT | Undisclosed | Out | 12/25/22 |
Byron Murphy Jr. | CB | Back | Out | 12/25/22 |
Colt McCoy | QB | Concussion | Out | 12/25/22 |
Darrel Williams | RB | Hip | Out | 12/25/22 |
D.J. Humphries | OL | Back | Out | 12/25/22 |
Jace Whittaker | CB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/25/22 |
Jesse Luketa | OLB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/25/22 |
Joshua Miles | OL | Undisclosed | Out | 12/25/22 |
Justin Pugh | OL | Knee (acl) | Out | 12/25/22 |
Kyler Murray | QB | Knee | Out | 12/25/22 |
Lachavious Simmons | OL | Undisclosed | Out | 12/25/22 |
Marquis Hayes | OL | Knee | Out | 12/25/22 |
Nick Vigil | ILB | Hamstring | Out | 12/25/22 |
Rashaad Coward | OL | Chest | Out | 12/25/22 |
Rashard Lawrence | DT | Shoulder | Out | 12/25/22 |
Rodney Hudson | OL | Knee | Out | 12/25/22 |
Rondale Moore | WR | Groin | Out | 12/25/22 |
Victor Dimukeje | OLB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/25/22 |
Wyatt Davis | OL | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/25/22 |
Zach Allen | DE | Hand | Out | 12/25/22 |
Zach Ertz | TE | Leg | Out | 12/25/22 |
Christian Matthew | CB | Shoulder | Questionable | 12/23/22 |
Ezekiel Turner | ILB | Ankle | Questionable | 12/23/22 |
Greg Dortch | WR | Knee | Questionable | 12/23/22 |
Marco Wilson | CB | Neck | Questionable | 12/23/22 |
Markus Golden | OLB | Ankle | Questionable | 12/23/22 |
Antonio Hamilton | CB | Back | Probable | 12/25/22 |
Charles Washington | S | Chest | Probable | 12/25/22 |
Kelvin Beachum | OL | Knee | Probable | 12/25/22 |
Marquise Brown | WR | Groin | Probable | 12/25/22 |
Max Garcia | OL | Undisclosed | Probable | 12/25/22 |
Betting Trends
TB | Betting Trends | ARI |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 0-3-0 |
0-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
15.67 | Avg Score | 17.33 |
28.33 | Avg Opp Score | 25.33 |
AWAY | HOME | |
0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 0-3-0 |
0-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
9 | Avg Score | 15.67 |
26.33 | Avg Opp Score | 30 |
TB | Betting Trends | ARI |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-4-0 |
1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
17 | Avg Score | 17.8 |
24.8 | Avg Opp Score | 26.2 |
AWAY | HOME | |
1-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-4-0 |
1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
13 | Avg Score | 22 |
21.8 | Avg Opp Score | 31 |
TB | Betting Trends | ARI |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-8-0 |
1-8-1 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
16.5 | Avg Score | 20.4 |
22 | Avg Opp Score | 26.9 |
AWAY | HOME | |
6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-9-0 |
5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-7-0 |
21.2 | Avg Score | 20.6 |
19 | Avg Opp Score | 29.9 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers lost in bizarre fashion last week against the Cincinnati Bengals. They went up 17-0 in the first half against the Bengals, only to turn the ball over several times in the second half en route to a loss. Here, the Bucs are favored to get back into the win column to help protect their one-game lead in the NFC South.
Even as a favorite of just over a touchdown in this game, there are questions about whether or not the Buccaneers can perform at a high level for four quarters. The Bucs rank 28th in the league in scoring this season. If they cannot put together a better offensive performance here, they could lose to a team led by Trace McSorley.
Arizona Cardinals
The Arizona Cardinals are out of playoff contention, and they are down to their third string quarterback for this Sunday Night Football matchup with the Buccaneers. Trace McSorley will get the start against the NFC South leaders, with the question being whether or not he can generate any sort of offense in this matchup.
Arizona’s defense has also been a question mark all year, giving up a league-worst 26.6 points per game. But they could have a better game than usual against a Buccaneers team that struggles to move the ball on a consistent basis.
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