Zach Ertz projections and prop bets for Chicago Bears at Washington Commanders on Oct 27, 2024
Zach Ertz Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 29.5 over: -135
- Receiving Yards 29.5 under: 105
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Washington Commanders may throw the ball less this week (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling out backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.
In this contest, Zach Ertz is anticipated by the projection model to rank in the 91st percentile among TEs with 5.8 targets.
As it relates to air yards, Zach Ertz grades out in the towering 91st percentile among TEs this year, totaling a monstrous 41.0 per game.
Zach Ertz's 40.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in football: 91st percentile for TEs.
This year, the shaky Chicago Bears pass defense has given up a massive 81.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 7th-biggest rate in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
At the present time, the 6th-most sluggish paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Washington Commanders.
With a subpar 2.48 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (9th percentile) this year, Zach Ertz stands among the top tight ends in the pass game in the league in space.
As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Chicago's unit has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
Projection For Zach Ertz Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Zach Ertz is projected to have 34.3 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
