Justin Herbert projections and prop bets for New Orleans Saints at Los Angeles Chargers on Oct 27, 2024
Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 145
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -180
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.9 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The New Orleans Saints defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (38.6 per game) this year.
As it relates to linebackers pass-rushing, New Orleans's collection of LBs has been awful this year, profiling as the worst in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
This week's line implies an extreme rushing game script for the Chargers, who are heavily favored by 7 points.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 52.5% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 7th-least pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 52.3% red zone pass rate.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.7 plays per game.
In this game, Justin Herbert is expected by the predictive model to total the 8th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 32.5.
Projection For Justin Herbert Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Justin Herbert is projected to have 1.3 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: 125
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -160
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.9 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The New Orleans Saints defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (38.6 per game) this year.
As it relates to linebackers pass-rushing, New Orleans's collection of LBs has been awful this year, profiling as the worst in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
This week's line implies an extreme rushing game script for the Chargers, who are heavily favored by 7 points.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 52.5% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.7 plays per game.
In this game, Justin Herbert is expected by the predictive model to total the 8th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 32.5.
In averaging a measly 0.13 interceptions per game this year, Justin Herbert ranks among the top QBs in the NFL (89th percentile).
Projection For Justin Herbert Interceptions Prop Bet
Justin Herbert is projected to have 0.5 Interceptions in this weeks game.
