Jalen Hurts projections and prop bets for Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys on Nov 10, 2024

Jalen Hurts Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes

Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:

  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 190
  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -240

Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are projected by the projections to run 66.3 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-most among all teams this week.

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 59.8 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Jalen Hurts's passing precision has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 65.9% to 69.5%.

This year, the feeble Dallas Cowboys defense has surrendered a massive 1.62 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing teams: the 10th-highest rate in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

The Eagles are a heavy 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

The model projects the Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 50.8% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the least pass-focused offense in football in the red zone (44.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Philadelphia Eagles.

In this week's game, Jalen Hurts is forecasted by the projections to wind up with the 4th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 30.7.

Opposing teams have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: fewest in football.

Projection For Jalen Hurts Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Jalen Hurts is projected to have 1.3 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.