Hunter Henry projections and prop bets for New York Jets at New England Patriots on Oct 27, 2024
Hunter Henry Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 3.5 over: 140
- Receptions 3.5 under: -170
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
With a 7-point advantage, the Patriots are heavily favored in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their usual game plan.
The model projects Hunter Henry to notch 5.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among TEs.
Hunter Henry's 46.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 33.2.
With a fantastic 3.9 adjusted catches per game (88th percentile) this year, Hunter Henry rates as one of the top pass-catching TEs in the NFL.
Hunter Henry's 76.1% Adjusted Catch% this year illustrates a material progression in his receiving talent over last year's 68.4% mark.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Patriots to pass on 53.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Patriots this year (just 55.7 per game on average).
Opposing QBs have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.
The Patriots offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.
Projection For Hunter Henry Receptions Prop Bet
Hunter Henry is projected to have 3.4 Receptions in this weeks game.
Hunter Henry Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 34.5 over: 105
- Receiving Yards 34.5 under: -135
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
With a 7-point advantage, the Patriots are heavily favored in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their usual game plan.
The model projects Hunter Henry to notch 5.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among TEs.
Hunter Henry has notched significantly more air yards this year (50.0 per game) than he did last year (42.0 per game).
Hunter Henry's 46.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 33.2.
Hunter Henry's 46.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season signifies a material gain in his receiving proficiency over last season's 33.0 figure.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Patriots to pass on 53.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Patriots this year (just 55.7 per game on average).
Opposing QBs have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.
The Patriots offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.
Projection For Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Hunter Henry is projected to have 36.3 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
