New England Patriots

New England Patriots

Nov 3, 2024

Tennessee Titans

Tennessee Titans
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Hunter Henry Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Hunter Henry projections and prop bets for New York Jets at New England Patriots on Oct 27, 2024

Hunter Henry Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 3.5 over: 140
  • Receptions 3.5 under: -170

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

With a 7-point advantage, the Patriots are heavily favored in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their usual game plan.

The model projects Hunter Henry to notch 5.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among TEs.

Hunter Henry's 46.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 33.2.

With a fantastic 3.9 adjusted catches per game (88th percentile) this year, Hunter Henry rates as one of the top pass-catching TEs in the NFL.

Hunter Henry's 76.1% Adjusted Catch% this year illustrates a material progression in his receiving talent over last year's 68.4% mark.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Patriots to pass on 53.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Patriots this year (just 55.7 per game on average).

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.

The Patriots offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Projection For Hunter Henry Receptions Prop Bet

Hunter Henry is projected to have 3.4 Receptions in this weeks game.


Hunter Henry Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 34.5 over: 105
  • Receiving Yards 34.5 under: -135

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

With a 7-point advantage, the Patriots are heavily favored in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their usual game plan.

The model projects Hunter Henry to notch 5.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among TEs.

Hunter Henry has notched significantly more air yards this year (50.0 per game) than he did last year (42.0 per game).

Hunter Henry's 46.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 33.2.

Hunter Henry's 46.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season signifies a material gain in his receiving proficiency over last season's 33.0 figure.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Patriots to pass on 53.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Patriots this year (just 55.7 per game on average).

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.

The Patriots offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Projection For Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Hunter Henry is projected to have 36.3 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • Longest Reception
  • Total Receptions
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • Longest Reception
  • Total Receptions
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
6
5
39
38
36
37
6
5
38
39
36
37
6
5
39
38
36
37
6
5
38
39
36
37
Consensus
-106
-115
-
-
-
-
-113
-106
-
-
-
-
-112
-120
-
-
-
-
-106
-105
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-114
-117
-
-113
-
-
-112
-118
-
-113
-
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-112
-115
-
-111
-
-
-119
-119
-
-119
-
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-119
-119
-
-119
-
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-120
-120
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-110
-
-
-113
-120
-
-
-
-
-110
-106
-
-
-
-
-112
-120
-
-
-
-
-108
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-115
-110
-
-115
-
-
-110
-120
-
-115
-
-
-110
-120
-
-120
-
-
-120
-110
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+125
+130
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-539
+340
-549
+334
Consensus
-
+1600
-
+1400
Consensus
-
+700
-
+650
Consensus
-
+1500
-
+1500
Consensus
-
+1100
-
+1000
Consensus
-
+600
-
+650
Consensus
-
+1000
-
+1100
-
+350
-
+370
-
+1400
-
+1400
-
+700
-
+600
-
+1500
-
+1600
-
+1000
-
+1100
-
+600
-
+650
-
+1100
-
+1000
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+460
+470
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
17
18
17
18
17
18
17
18
Consensus
-124
-105
-106
-125
-123
-107
-105
-120
-123
-108
-109
-127
-129
-108
-106
-127
-122
-106
-108
-122
-125
-106
-108
-122
-125
-105
-105
-125
-125
-105
-110
-120
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
4
4
4
4
Consensus
-114
-115
-113
-117
-131
-121
-125
-109
-125
+100
-115
+100
-108
-114
-114
-120
-120
-110
-115
-110
-115
-120
-110
-115
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+2825
+2900
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+9750
+9750

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