Derrick Henry projections and prop bets for Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens on Nov 7, 2024
Derrick Henry Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 18.5 over: -105
- Carries 18.5 under: -125
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
This game's line suggests a rushing game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 6 points.
The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to be the most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 51.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
In this contest, Derrick Henry is projected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs with 18.7 carries.
Out of all running backs, Derrick Henry ranks in the 89th percentile for carries this year, making up 59.8% of the workload in his team's run game.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see just 126.0 offensive plays run: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may decline.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the best group of LBs in football this year when it comes to run defense.
Projection For Derrick Henry Carries Prop Bet
Derrick Henry is projected to have 16.9 Carries in this weeks game.
Derrick Henry Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 89.5 over: -145
- Rushing Yards 89.5 under: 110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
This game's line suggests a rushing game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 6 points.
The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to be the most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 51.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
In this contest, Derrick Henry is projected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs with 18.7 carries.
Derrick Henry's 123.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year illustrates a material progression in his running talent over last year's 68.0 mark.
Opposing teams have rushed for the 9th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (137 per game) versus the Bengals defense this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see just 126.0 offensive plays run: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may decline.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the best group of LBs in football this year when it comes to run defense.
Projection For Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Derrick Henry is projected to have 76.4 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.