Baker Mayfield projections, stats and prop bet odds for Washington Commanders at Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sep 8, 2024
Baker Mayfield Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -140
- Interceptions 0.5 under: 108
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.3% pass rate.
The predictive model expects the Buccaneers offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.34 seconds per snap.
Baker Mayfield has attempted 38.9 passes per game last year, grading out in the 87th percentile among QBs.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense last year: 8th-most in the league.
Washington's defense ranks as the 4th-worst in the league last year as it relates to inducing interceptions, averaging a measly 0.51 per game.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on running than their typical approach.
Projection For Today's Baker Mayfield Interceptions Prop Bet
Baker Mayfield is projected to have 0.4 Interceptions in todays game.
Baker Mayfield Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 248.5 over: -106
- Passing Yards 248.5 under: -129
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.3% pass rate.
The predictive model expects the Buccaneers offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.34 seconds per snap.
Baker Mayfield has attempted 38.9 passes per game last year, grading out in the 87th percentile among QBs.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense last year: 8th-most in the league.
Last year, the shaky Commanders defense has surrendered a colossal 253.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the 3rd-worst in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on running than their typical approach.
Projection For Today's Baker Mayfield Passing Yards Prop Bet
Baker Mayfield is projected to have 259 Passing Yards in todays game.
Baker Mayfield Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: -146
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: 112
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The model projects the Buccaneers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.8% red zone pass rate.
The predictive model expects the Buccaneers offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.34 seconds per snap.
Baker Mayfield has attempted 38.9 passes per game last year, grading out in the 87th percentile among QBs.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense last year: 8th-most in the league.
With an impressive ratio of 1.65 per game (76th percentile), Baker Mayfield rates as one of the best TD passers in football last year.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on running than their typical approach.
Projection For Today's Baker Mayfield Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Baker Mayfield is projected to have 1.4 Touchdown Passes in todays game.
Baker Mayfield Player Prop Bet: Completions
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
- Completions 21.5 over: -132
- Completions 21.5 under: 102
Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.3% pass rate.
The predictive model expects the Buccaneers offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.34 seconds per snap.
Baker Mayfield has attempted 38.9 passes per game last year, grading out in the 87th percentile among QBs.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense last year: 8th-most in the league.
The Commanders safeties project as the 7th-worst unit in football last year in covering pass-catchers.
Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on running than their typical approach.
Projection For Today's Baker Mayfield Completions Prop Bet
Baker Mayfield is projected to have 21.1 Completions in todays game.
Baker Mayfield Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
- Pass Attempts 33.5 over: -121
- Pass Attempts 33.5 under: -113
Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.3% pass rate.
The predictive model expects the Buccaneers offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.34 seconds per snap.
Baker Mayfield has attempted 38.9 passes per game last year, grading out in the 87th percentile among QBs.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense last year: 8th-most in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on running than their typical approach.
Projection For Today's Baker Mayfield Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Baker Mayfield is projected to have 31.8 Pass Attempts in todays game.
Baker Mayfield Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 7.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 7.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on running than their typical approach.
The predictive model expects the Buccaneers offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.34 seconds per snap.
Last year, the tough Washington Commanders run defense has surrendered a feeble 4.69 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's rushing attack: the 27th-smallest rate in the NFL.
The Washington Commanders defensive tackles profile as the 5th-worst unit in football last year with their run defense.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 9th-least run-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 37.7% run rate.
With a dreadful total of 4.2 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (11th percentile), Baker Mayfield stands as one of the weakest running quarterbacks in the league last year.
Projection For Today's Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Baker Mayfield is projected to have 11.9 Rushing Yards in todays game.
Baker Mayfield Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 2.5 over: -120
- Carries 2.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on running than their typical approach.
The predictive model expects the Buccaneers offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.34 seconds per snap.
The Washington Commanders defensive tackles profile as the 5th-worst unit in football last year with their run defense.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 9th-least run-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 37.7% run rate.
Projection For Today's Baker Mayfield Carries Prop Bet
Baker Mayfield is projected to have 3 Carries in todays game.
