Week 4 of the 2022 NFL season kicks off with a matchup between AFC opponents. The Miami Dolphins are one of the few undefeated teams remaining in the league heading into Week 4. But the Cincinnati Bengals will have their sights set on removing Miami from the ranks of the unbeaten. In our NFL betting picks for Week 4, we take a look at the Dolphins vs Bengals Thursday Night Football matchup.
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Dolphins vs Bengals Betting Pick
NFL
Miami Dolphins
Cincinnati Bengals
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
MIA | Passing | CIN |
---|---|---|
393 | CMP | 364 |
566 | ATT | 555 |
69.4 | CMP% | 65.6 |
265.5 | YDS/GM | 248.4 |
8.3 | Y/A | 8.1 |
7.6 | NY/A | 7.1 |
15 | INT | 17 |
31 | SK | 44 |
Defense/Offense
MIA | Passing | CIN |
---|---|---|
380 | CMP | 420 |
568 | ATT | 615 |
66.9 | CMP% | 68.3 |
221.2 | YDS/GM | 229.1 |
7.3 | Y/A | 6.9 |
6.0 | NY/A | 5.9 |
15 | INT | 14 |
56 | SK | 50 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
MIA | Rushing | CIN |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
456 | ATT | 456 |
2308 | YDS | 2145 |
135.8 | Y/G | 126.2 |
5.1 | Y/A | 4.7 |
27 | TD | 17 |
1.6 | TD/G | 1 |
Defense/Offense
MIA | Rushing | CIN |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
433 | ATT | 383 |
1650 | YDS | 1527 |
97.1 | Y/G | 89.8 |
3.8 | Y/A | 4.0 |
15 | TD | 12 |
0.9 | TD/G | 0.7 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
MIA | Special Teams | CIN |
---|---|---|
27 | Punts/Ret | 29 |
265 | Punt/Yds | 203 |
9.8 | Punt/Y/R | 7.0 |
18 | Kick Off/Ret | 13 |
441 | Kick Off/Yds | 221 |
24.5 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 17.0 |
Defense/Offense
MIA | Special Teams | CIN |
---|---|---|
17 | Punts/Ret | 34 |
207 | Punt/Yds | 346 |
12.2 | Punt/Y/R | 10.2 |
15 | Kick Off/Ret | 17 |
457 | Kick Off/Yds | 387 |
30.5 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 22.8 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
MIA | Scoring | CIN |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
27 | RshTD | 17 |
30 | RecTD | 23 |
24 | FGM | 32 |
28 | FGA | 35 |
29.2 | Pts/G | 22.6 |
Defense/Offense
MIA | Scoring | CIN |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
15 | RshTD | 12 |
27 | RecTD | 27 |
18 | FGM | 26 |
21 | FGA | 31 |
23.0 | Pts/G | 21.5 |
Team Advanced Defense
MIA | Defense | CIN |
---|---|---|
21.5% | Bltz% | 21.6% |
8.0% | Hrry% | 5.6% |
12.7% | QB Hit% | 11.2% |
27.7% | QB Prss% | 22.1% |
Injuries
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Adam Shaheen | TE | Knee | Out | 09/29/22 |
Austin Jackson | OL | Ankle | Out | 09/29/22 |
Byron Jones | CB | Achilles | Out | 09/29/22 |
Calvin Munson | LB | Undisclosed | Out | 09/29/22 |
Cedrick Wilson Jr. | WR | Ribs/toe | Out | 09/29/22 |
Cethan Carter | TE | Head | Out | 09/29/22 |
Clayton Fejedelem | S | Undisclosed | Out | 09/29/22 |
Erik Ezukanma | WR | Gameday Inactive | Out | 09/29/22 |
Hunter Long | TE | Ankle | Out | 09/29/22 |
John Lovett | FB | Knee | Out | 09/29/22 |
Myles Gaskin | RB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 09/29/22 |
Noah Igbinoghene | CB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 09/29/22 |
Trill Williams | CB | Knee (acl) | Out | 09/29/22 |
Andrew Van Ginkel | LB | Illness | Questionable | 09/29/22 |
Brandon Jones | S | Chest | Questionable | 09/29/22 |
Jaylen Waddle | WR | Groin | Questionable | 09/29/22 |
Kader Kohou | CB | Ankle | Questionable | 09/28/22 |
Raekwon Davis | DT | Knee | Questionable | 09/29/22 |
Robert Hunt | OL | Shin | Questionable | 09/28/22 |
Terron Armstead | OT | Toe | Questionable | 09/29/22 |
Tua Tagovailoa | QB | Back/ankle | Questionable | 09/29/22 |
Xavien Howard | CB | Groin | Questionable | 09/29/22 |
Zach Sieler | DT | Hand | Questionable | 09/28/22 |
Greg Little | OT | Finger | Probable | 09/28/22 |
Jevon Holland | S | Neck | Probable | 09/28/22 |
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ben Brown | C | Bicep | Out | 09/29/22 |
Brandon Wilson | S | Knee (acl) | Out | 09/29/22 |
Cam Taylor-Britt | CB | Abdomen | Out | 09/29/22 |
Clark Harris | LS | Biceps | Out | 09/29/22 |
D'Ante Smith | OT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 09/29/22 |
DJ Reader | DT | Knee | Out | 09/29/22 |
Drew Sample | TE | Knee | Out | 09/29/22 |
Elijah Holyfield | RB | Knee | Out | 09/29/22 |
Isaiah Prince | OT | Elbow | Out | 09/29/22 |
Jackson Carman | G | Gameday Inactive | Out | 09/29/22 |
Joe Bachie | LB | Knee | Out | 09/29/22 |
Khalid Kareem | DE | Hamstring | Out | 09/29/22 |
Trayveon Williams | RB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 09/29/22 |
Tycen Anderson | S | Hamstring | Out | 09/29/22 |
Germaine Pratt | LB | Knee | Questionable | 09/29/22 |
La'el Collins | OT | Back | Questionable | 09/29/22 |
Eli Apple | CB | Ankle | Probable | 09/28/22 |
Hayden Hurst | TE | Groin | Probable | 09/28/22 |
Joe Mixon | RB | Ankle | Probable | 09/28/22 |
Mitchell Wilcox | TE | Ankle | Probable | 09/28/22 |
Tee Higgins | WR | Toe | Probable | 09/28/22 |
Betting Trends
MIA | Betting Trends | CIN |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
3-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
27.67 | Avg Score | 21.33 |
21.33 | Avg Opp Score | 18.33 |
AWAY | HOME | |
2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
21.67 | Avg Score | 22 |
25 | Avg Opp Score | 21.67 |
MIA | Betting Trends | CIN |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-3-0 |
4-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
23.8 | Avg Score | 22.2 |
24.4 | Avg Opp Score | 20.4 |
AWAY | HOME | |
3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-1-0 |
20 | Avg Score | 28.2 |
23.6 | Avg Opp Score | 23.4 |
MIA | Betting Trends | CIN |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
9-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
8-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 8-2-0 |
24.7 | Avg Score | 24.7 |
18.5 | Avg Opp Score | 21 |
AWAY | HOME | |
4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-6-0 |
5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
20.8 | Avg Score | 26.5 |
28.9 | Avg Opp Score | 26 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
This game will be played at Paycor Stadium at 8:15 PM ET on Thursday, September 29, 2022.
Why Bet The Bengals:
✅ There is plenty of hype around the Dolphins after they beat the Bills to move to 3-0 on the season. But any sort of critical lens applied to that game will tell bettors that the Dolphins are not as good as their record looks. They were outgained 497-212 by the Bills in Week 3, and needed some serious luck at the end of both halves to avoid giving up more points. Here, the Bengals will end the Dolphins’ run of good fortune.
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✅ Miami may be 3-0, but they have allowed 6.3 yards per play through their first three games. That puts them in a tie for 27th in the league in yards per play allowed so far this year. They are allowing 1.5 yards per play more than the Bengals on the season. Regardless of record, the Bengals are better defensively and will use that to their advantage to win this contest.
✅ There are still injury concerns surrounding Tua Tagovailoa coming into this matchup. Tagovailoa clearly hit his head on the ground against the Bills, and was allowed to return to the game. But there is concern that he may have some concussion-related issues coming into this matchup and his level of performance is anything but a given on Thursday night.
Miami Dolphins
One could argue that the Miami Dolphins were outplayed in Week 3 against the Buffalo Bills. But those arguments would not be very productive, as the Dolphins got a win that moved them to 3-0 on the season. Miami was more than doubled in the offensive yardage department, but they made fewer mistakes in scoring range, which propelled them to a surprising win in what has been a surprising start overall in South Florida.
In this game, the Dolphins do need to be better defensively than they have been, as they have been carved up by the Ravens and Bills. While that has not impacted them in the win column just yet this season, it will at some point if the Dolphins do not do a better job of limiting explosive plays from their opponents.
Cincinnati Bengals
The Cincinnati Bengals finally got into the win column by beating the New York Jets in Week 3. Joe Burrow was only sacked twice against the Jets, a massive improvement from the offensive line of the Bengals. Here, the Bengals will look to start a streak of games where they do a decent job of protecting their quarterback, as they will aim to get back to .500 on the season.
One huge positive for the Bengals this season, as they have worked through their offensive issues, has been the defense of Cincinnati. They are a top-10 defense in the NFL in terms of yards per play allowed, and have done a nice job of taking advantage of a soft schedule on that side of the ball. The question is whether the Bengals can continue their run of defensive dominance when they take on a Miami team that has weapons all over the field.