When Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady are involved in the same game, excitement is sure to follow. This week, both the Chiefs and Buccaneers are looking to respond to a loss last week, in this matchup between 2-1 teams. In our NFL betting picks for Week 4, we look at Chiefs vs Buccaneers in a battle of one of the greatest quarterbacks of all-time and someone who is likely to join him on that list in the future.
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Chiefs vs Buccaneers Betting Pick
NFL
Kansas City Chiefs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
KC | Passing | TB |
---|---|---|
421 | CMP | 404 |
635 | ATT | 611 |
66.3 | CMP% | 66.1 |
246.4 | YDS/GM | 248.9 |
6.9 | Y/A | 7.5 |
6.3 | NY/A | 6.4 |
17 | INT | 13 |
28 | SK | 48 |
Defense/Offense
KC | Passing | TB |
---|---|---|
340 | CMP | 364 |
556 | ATT | 568 |
61.2 | CMP% | 64.1 |
176.5 | YDS/GM | 224.2 |
6.0 | Y/A | 7.1 |
4.9 | NY/A | 6.3 |
8 | INT | 10 |
57 | SK | 40 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
KC | Rushing | TB |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
417 | ATT | 422 |
1784 | YDS | 1620 |
104.9 | Y/G | 95.3 |
4.3 | Y/A | 3.8 |
9 | TD | 11 |
0.5 | TD/G | 0.6 |
Defense/Offense
KC | Rushing | TB |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
432 | ATT | 439 |
1925 | YDS | 1509 |
113.2 | Y/G | 88.8 |
4.5 | Y/A | 3.4 |
10 | TD | 8 |
0.6 | TD/G | 0.5 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
KC | Special Teams | TB |
---|---|---|
41 | Punts/Ret | 38 |
380 | Punt/Yds | 455 |
9.3 | Punt/Y/R | 12.0 |
12 | Kick Off/Ret | 26 |
241 | Kick Off/Yds | 491 |
20.1 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 18.9 |
Defense/Offense
KC | Special Teams | TB |
---|---|---|
20 | Punts/Ret | 25 |
207 | Punt/Yds | 234 |
10.4 | Punt/Y/R | 9.4 |
11 | Kick Off/Ret | 16 |
311 | Kick Off/Yds | 327 |
28.3 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 20.4 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
KC | Scoring | TB |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
9 | RshTD | 11 |
28 | RecTD | 23 |
33 | FGM | 29 |
35 | FGA | 36 |
21.8 | Pts/G | 19.1 |
Defense/Offense
KC | Scoring | TB |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
10 | RshTD | 8 |
19 | RecTD | 28 |
22 | FGM | 29 |
26 | FGA | 31 |
17.3 | Pts/G | 20.5 |
Team Advanced Defense
KC | Defense | TB |
---|---|---|
32.9% | Bltz% | 40.1% |
9.8% | Hrry% | 6.5% |
10.8% | QB Hit% | 6.9% |
27.8% | QB Prss% | 19.7% |
Injuries
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Benton Whitley | OLB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/02/22 |
Blake Bell | TE | Hip | Out | 10/02/22 |
Darian Kinnard | OT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/02/22 |
Harrison Butker | K | Ankle | Out | 10/02/22 |
Joshua Kaindoh | DE | Illness | Out | 10/02/22 |
Justyn Ross | WR | Foot | Out | 10/02/22 |
Lucas Niang | OT | Kneecap | Out | 10/02/22 |
Mike Danna | DE | Calf | Out | 10/02/22 |
Ronald Jones | RB | Illness | Out | 10/02/22 |
Shane Buechele | QB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/02/22 |
Trent McDuffie | CB | Hamstring | Out | 10/02/22 |
Willie Gay | LB | Suspended | Out | 10/02/22 |
Mecole Hardman | WR | Heel | Questionable | 09/30/22 |
Andrew Wylie | G | Hip | Probable | 09/29/22 |
JuJu Smith-Schuster | WR | Shoulder | Probable | 09/29/22 |
Marquez Valdes-Scantling | WR | Abdomen | Probable | 10/02/22 |
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Aaron Stinnie | G | Knee (acl) (mcl) | Out | 10/02/22 |
Akiem Hicks | DL | Foot | Out | 10/02/22 |
Breshad Perriman | WR | Knee | Out | 10/02/22 |
Cam Gill | OLB | Foot | Out | 10/02/22 |
Giovani Bernard | RB | Ankle | Out | 10/02/22 |
Josh Wells | OT | Calf | Out | 10/02/22 |
Kenjon Barner | RB | Groin | Out | 10/02/22 |
Kyle Rudolph | TE | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/02/22 |
Kyle Trask | QB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/02/22 |
Ryan Jensen | C | Knee | Out | 10/02/22 |
Scotty Miller | WR | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/02/22 |
Zyon McCollum | CB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/02/22 |
Cade Otton | TE | Personal | Questionable | 09/30/22 |
Chris Godwin | WR | Hamstring | Probable | 10/02/22 |
Donovan Smith | OT | Elbow | Probable | 10/02/22 |
Julio Jones | WR | Knee | Probable | 10/02/22 |
Logan Hall | DL | Groin | Probable | 09/30/22 |
Russell Gage | WR | Hamstring | Probable | 10/02/22 |
Tom Brady | QB | Right Finger | Probable | 09/29/22 |
Betting Trends
KC | Betting Trends | TB |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
29.33 | Avg Score | 17 |
21.67 | Avg Opp Score | 9 |
AWAY | HOME | |
2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
29.67 | Avg Score | 23.33 |
21.67 | Avg Opp Score | 19.67 |
KC | Betting Trends | TB |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
30.8 | Avg Score | 21.8 |
25.6 | Avg Opp Score | 14.4 |
AWAY | HOME | |
3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-3-0 |
2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
30.8 | Avg Score | 22.2 |
25.4 | Avg Opp Score | 17 |
KC | Betting Trends | TB |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
32.5 | Avg Score | 24.3 |
24.5 | Avg Opp Score | 15.5 |
AWAY | HOME | |
6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 7-3-0 |
30.6 | Avg Score | 30.5 |
24.7 | Avg Opp Score | 16.7 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
This game will be played at Raymond James Stadium at 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, October 2, 2022.
Why Bet The Buccaneers:
✅ The Buccaneers have the best scoring defense in the NFL through three weeks. Even though their offense has struggled of late, the Bucs are allowing just 9.0 points per game. They are the only team in the NFL with a single-digit scoring average on defense. While they face a Chiefs team that is hard to stop here, the Bucs are the right play here behind the strength of their defense.
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✅ The Buccaneers have an advantage in the special teams department, which could be a huge factor in a game expected to be so close. Harrison Butker missed last week’s game for the Chiefs, and Matt Ammendola was not a suitable replacement for him. Meanwhile, Ryan Succop has made eight field goals this year, and is tied for the league lead in that department. Tampa’s kicking edge will only help them here.
✅ Early this season, the Buccaneers have a 2-1 record against the spread. The Chiefs, meanwhile, are 1-2 against the number. These are not massive differences, and are over a small sample size. But taking the Bucs as slight underdogs at home is the right play here even if they lost at home last week to the Packers.
Kansas City Chiefs
The Kansas City Chiefs went to Indianapolis last week and fell to the Kansas City Chiefs. They had several chances to win the game down the stretch by going up multiple possessions, but could not convert on multiple field goal attempts. Travis Kelce also dropped a touchdown pass that would have put them ahead once and for all. Now the Chiefs will look to rebound against one of the toughest defenses in the NFL in Tampa Bay.
This week, the running game of the Chiefs needs to be better than it was in Indianapolis. Kansas City had 58 combined rushing yards against the Colts, with no player hitting 30 rushing yards. If they can’t get more from Clyde Edwards-Helaire or their other backs, the Chiefs could take a second straight loss away from Arrowhead Stadium.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Last week, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers held the Green Bay Packers to just 14 points. But that was not good enough defensively to make up for the Bucs scoring just 12 points. The Bucs’ late two-point conversion attempt to tie the game was no good, allowing the Packers to hold on in Tampa Bay. Here, the Bucs will look to avoid a two-game losing streak of their own at home, but will need more offensive production to do that.
The running game for the Buccaneers also needs to be better this week if they want to avoid a second straight defeat. Tampa Bay had 34 rushing yards as a team last week, all of which came from Leonard Fournette. If Fournette cannot do more on the ground for the Bucs this week, the Tampa Bay offense could be predictable enough to cost them another victory.