Everyone has their own thoughts on who is going to win the Super Bowl this season. Good arguments can be made for several teams, and convincing cases can be made for many. But there are a few, like the Jacksonville Jaguars, that no one seems to have much faith in.
Their odds of winning the AFC South (via WilliamHill.com) are long (+1200). They are tied with the Cincinnati Bengals for the longest odds to win the AFC (+10000). As for the Super Bowl, they are in a three-way tie for longest odds in the league (+20000) with the Bengals and Washington Redskins.
So, it sounds like betting on the Jaguars to win anything would be a mistake. But you can bet on them to lose, though:
Jacksonville Jaguars 2020 NFL Regular Season Wins
- Over 4.5 -130
- Under 4.5 +110
Their win total is the lowest in the NFL at William Hill, but at least they are favored to cover the over. So, maybe they are not too bad. However, the odds on who will lose the most games over at BetMGM.com tell a different story:
NFL Team with Most 2020 Regular Season Losses
- Jacksonville Jaguars +400
- Washington Redskins +450
- Carolina Panthers +600
- Cincinnati Bengals +650
- Miami Dolphins +800
- New York Giants +1000
- Detroit Lions, New York Jets +1400
- Arizona Cardinals +2000
- Atlanta Falcons, Denver Broncos, Las Vegas Raiders, Los Angeles Chargers +2500
- Houston Texans +3000
- Chicago Bears +4000
- Cleveland Browns, Tennessee Titans, Los Angeles Rams +5000
- Indianapolis Colts +6000
- Buffalo Bills, Minnesota Vikings, Green Bay Packers +6500
- New England Patriots, Pittsburgh Steelers +8000
- Seattle Seahawks +10000
- Philadelphia Eagles +12500
- Dallas Cowboys +15000
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers +20000
- New Orleans Saints, San Francisco 49ers +25000
- Baltimore Ravens, Kansas City Chiefs +50000
Could the Jaguars really be that bad? This was a team that lost its starting quarterback in Week One and was forced to go with a late-round rookie Gardner Minshew for most of the season. They still won six games and lost three by a touchdown or less.
Okay– they were not a good team, but they were not a terrible one, either. With the personnel losses they suffered in the offseason (via trade), they could take a step back this year. However, they did have a good draft and didn’t do too badly in free agency.
Between the two, they picked up players that could contribute early on both sides of the ball.
So—how should you bet? Do you believe in the hate and pick them to lose more games than anyone else in the NFL? No, you do not.
Gardner Minshew could have benefitted greatly from offseason workouts, but the coronavirus had other ideas in mind. There is also a chance that he could suffer from the dreaded sophomore slump and struggle this year.
They may try to protect him a little bit by running the ball more. But that will only matter if Leonard Fournette can stay on the field. Since the Jaguars declined his fifth-year option, he may be motivated to have a great year to force the Jags to pay him in the offseason (or convince someone else they should).
Could they flop? Could they struggle this season? If Fournette gets bit by the injury bug again and Minshew struggles– absolutely. But it is even more likely that the Bengals, Giants, Redskins, or Lions struggle even more.