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Houston Texans Betting Preview
The Houston Texans finished in first place in the AFC South in the 2023 NFL season. This year, expectations for them are high once again, as they look to improve in the second year with CJ Stroud as their starting quarterback. Here, we break down the upcoming season for the Texans and make our pick for them in the season win total market for 2024.
2024 Houston Texans Over/Under Season Win Total Odds
| Sportsbook | Over/Under Wins |
|---|---|
| DraftKings | 9.5 |
| BetMGM | 9.5 |
Houston Texans Futures Betting Odds
Standings Data
| 2023 | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Actual Record | 10-7 | 3-13-1 |
| Point Differential | +24 | -131 |
| ATS W/L | 10-9 | 8-8-1 |
| Over/Under Record | 7-11-1 | 7-10 |
| Record in Division Games | 4-2 | 3-2-1 |
Houston Texans Picks, Predictions & Betting News
Offseason Transactions
Key Additions: Joe Mixon, Stefon Diggs, Ben Skowronek, Denico Autry, Danielle Hunter, Azeez Al-Shaair, Mike Ford, Jeff Okudah
Key Departures: Devin Singletary, George Fant, Jerry Hughes, Maliek Collins, Sheldon Rankins, Teair Tart, Blake Cashman, Denzel Perryman, Adrian Amos, Kareem Jackson
Houston made some splashes in the offseason, including at the skill positions. They acquired both Joe Mixon and Stefon Diggs, which should make their offense even more dangerous than it was last year. But the more impactful moves may have come on defense, where they brought in a very good sack producer in Danielle Hunter and a high-level linebacker in Azeez Al-Shaair. Look for the Texans to improve in some key areas thanks to those moves, even if they lost some talented players on the flip side.
Houston Texans Offensive Stats
| 2023 (Rank) | 2022 (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| Yards Per Play | 5.4 (T-12th) | 4.7 (32nd) |
| Yards Per Rush Attempt | 3.7 (T-28th) | 3.7 (T-30th) |
| Yards Per Pass Attempt | 7.8 (T-3rd) | 6.3 (30th) |
| Points Per Game | 22.2 (T-13th) | 17.0 (T-30th) |
| Turnovers | 14 (1st) | 28 (31st) |
Houston’s offense was elite for the most part in 2023, thanks largely to Offensive Rookie of the Year CJ Stroud. Stroud led the Texans to a year where they had one of the most explosive passing attacks in all of football. That should be the case again this year, as they should be even better on that side of the ball with the additions of Diggs and Mixon.
Houston Texans Defensive Stats
| 2023 (Rank) | 2022 (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| Yards Per Play Allowed | 5.2 (T-10th) | 5.7 (T-24th) |
| Yards Per Rush Attempt Allowed | 3.6 (2nd) | 5.1 (29th) |
| Yards Per Pass Attempt Allowed | 6.9 (T-25th) | 6.8 (T-22nd) |
| Points Per Game Allowed | 20.8 (11th) | 24.7 (27th) |
| Takeaways | 24 (T-16th) | 27 (T-4th) |
Houston’s defense was certainly good enough to deliver them a division title last year, even if they fell short in the Divisional round of the postseason against the Houston Texans. The Houston defense added some talent in the offseason, with the addition of Hunter being especially interesting. How this season goes for the Texans will likely hinge on the play of this defense, as we are likely to see another big year from the offense.
Positives & Negatives
Houston’s explosive offense is by far its biggest positive going into the 2024 NFL season. They have not just the reigning Offensive Rookie of the Year in Stroud, but a potential candidate to win NFL MVP in Stroud looking ahead to this season. As long as the addition of Diggs doesn’t cause any drama like what we saw from Diggs at the end of his tenure in Buffalo, this team has a chance to be truly special with the ball in their hands.
However, the defense of the Texans could hold them back from being a truly great team in the AFC this year. Teams like the Chiefs and Ravens are just a bit better on that side of the ball, which is what has set them apart in the race to get to the Super Bowl from that conference. Unless the Texans can make some strides on defense, they could be doomed to lose in the first couple of rounds of the playoffs.
2024 Houston Texans Win Total Prediction: Under 9.5 Wins
The Houston Texans will be one of the most fun teams to watch in the NFL this season, thanks to their incredible offense. But their defense will hold them back from being truly great this season. We think the Texans will finish with right around nine wins for the year, so we will take them to finish just under their season win total of 9.5.
