On Sunday, the Houston Texans will take on the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. Houston has had a nightmare season so far, and things are not expected to get any better against a Dolphins team coming off of its bye week. In our NFL betting picks for Sunday, we break down Texans vs Dolphins in an all-AFC affair.
Texans vs Dolphins Betting Pick
ℹ️ The Pick: | Dolphins -12 |
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This game will be played at Hard Rock Stadium at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 27, 2022.
Why Bet The Dolphins:
✅ Houston is just a disaster of late, losing five straight contests. They are 1-4 on the road, and their lone road win came against the similarly moribund Jaguars. Miami is an elite AFC team and will tear them apart.
✅ The Texans are ranked 31st in the NFL in total defense this season. Only the Lions are worse in that area than the Texans this season, and the explosive Dolphins offense will take full advantage of that.
✅ Miami is coming off of their bye week, and should be well rested for this contest at home. The Dolphins are 4-1 at home, and will improve to 5-1 at home behind the second best passing offense in the league, behind only the Kansas City Chiefs.
NFL
Houston Texans
Miami Dolphins
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
HOU | Passing | MIA |
---|---|---|
372 | CMP | 380 |
592 | ATT | 568 |
62.8 | CMP% | 66.9 |
245.5 | YDS/GM | 221.2 |
7.7 | Y/A | 7.3 |
6.5 | NY/A | 6.0 |
8 | INT | 15 |
47 | SK | 56 |
Defense/Offense
HOU | Passing | MIA |
---|---|---|
382 | CMP | 393 |
565 | ATT | 566 |
67.6 | CMP% | 69.4 |
234.1 | YDS/GM | 265.5 |
7.7 | Y/A | 8.3 |
6.5 | NY/A | 7.6 |
14 | INT | 15 |
46 | SK | 31 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
HOU | Rushing | MIA |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
444 | ATT | 433 |
1647 | YDS | 1650 |
96.9 | Y/G | 97.1 |
3.7 | Y/A | 3.8 |
10 | TD | 15 |
0.6 | TD/G | 0.9 |
Defense/Offense
HOU | Rushing | MIA |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
468 | ATT | 456 |
1643 | YDS | 2308 |
96.6 | Y/G | 135.8 |
3.5 | Y/A | 5.1 |
19 | TD | 27 |
1.1 | TD/G | 1.6 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
HOU | Special Teams | MIA |
---|---|---|
30 | Punts/Ret | 17 |
292 | Punt/Yds | 207 |
9.7 | Punt/Y/R | 12.2 |
23 | Kick Off/Ret | 15 |
613 | Kick Off/Yds | 457 |
26.7 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 30.5 |
Defense/Offense
HOU | Special Teams | MIA |
---|---|---|
29 | Punts/Ret | 27 |
192 | Punt/Yds | 265 |
6.6 | Punt/Y/R | 9.8 |
26 | Kick Off/Ret | 18 |
570 | Kick Off/Yds | 441 |
21.9 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 24.5 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
HOU | Scoring | MIA |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
10 | RshTD | 15 |
27 | RecTD | 27 |
34 | FGM | 18 |
38 | FGA | 21 |
22.2 | Pts/G | 23.0 |
Defense/Offense
HOU | Scoring | MIA |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
19 | RshTD | 27 |
17 | RecTD | 30 |
30 | FGM | 24 |
36 | FGA | 28 |
20.8 | Pts/G | 29.2 |
Team Advanced Defense
HOU | Defense | MIA |
---|---|---|
21.0% | Bltz% | 21.5% |
8.5% | Hrry% | 8.0% |
11.5% | QB Hit% | 12.7% |
25.7% | QB Prss% | 27.7% |
Injuries
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Amari Rodgers | WR | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/27/22 |
Austin Deculus | OL | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/27/22 |
Brevin Jordan | TE | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/27/22 |
Darius Anderson | RB | Knee | Out | 11/27/22 |
Derek Rivers | DE | Bicep | Out | 11/27/22 |
Derek Stingley Jr. | DB | Hamstring | Out | 11/27/22 |
Drew Estrada | WR | Achilles | Out | 11/27/22 |
Eno Benjamin | RB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/27/22 |
Garret Wallow | LB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/27/22 |
Grayland Arnold | CB | Quad | Out | 11/27/22 |
John Metchie III | WR | Illness | Out | 11/27/22 |
Jonathan Greenard | DL | Calf | Out | 11/27/22 |
Jordan Steckler | G | Undisclosed | Out | 11/27/22 |
Justin Britt | OL | Personal | Out | 11/27/22 |
Kevin Pierre-Louis | ILB | Groin | Out | 11/27/22 |
Thomas Booker | DL | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/27/22 |
Maliek Collins | DL | Chest | Probable | 11/24/22 |
Neville Hewitt | LB | Hamstring | Probable | 11/24/22 |
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Adam Shaheen | TE | Knee | Out | 11/27/22 |
Brandon Jones | S | Knee (acl) | Out | 11/27/22 |
Byron Jones | CB | Achilles | Out | 11/27/22 |
Cethan Carter | TE | Concussion | Out | 11/27/22 |
Emmanuel Ogbah | DE | Tricep | Out | 11/27/22 |
Erik Ezukanma | WR | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/27/22 |
Hunter Long | TE | Concussion | Out | 11/27/22 |
John Lovett | FB | Knee | Out | 11/27/22 |
Liam Eichenberg | OL | Knee | Out | 11/27/22 |
Nik Needham | CB | Achilles | Out | 11/27/22 |
Noah Igbinoghene | CB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/27/22 |
Porter Gustin | LB | Undisclosed | Out | 11/27/22 |
Raheem Mostert | RB | Knee | Out | 11/27/22 |
Teddy Bridgewater | QB | Knee | Out | 11/27/22 |
Trey Flowers | LB | Foot | Out | 11/27/22 |
Trill Williams | CB | Knee (acl) | Out | 11/27/22 |
Jerome Baker | LB | Hip | Questionable | 11/25/22 |
Tanner Conner | TE | Knee/back | Questionable | 11/25/22 |
Terron Armstead | OT | Toe | Questionable | 11/25/22 |
Thomas Morstead | P | Illness | Questionable | 11/25/22 |
Durham Smythe | TE | Hamstring | Probable | 11/24/22 |
Jaylen Waddle | WR | Shoulder | Probable | 11/24/22 |
Kader Kohou | CB | Thumb | Probable | 11/24/22 |
Keion Crossen | DB | Shoulder | Probable | 11/25/22 |
Raekwon Davis | DT | Knee | Probable | 11/25/22 |
Betting Trends
HOU | Betting Trends | MIA |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
14.33 | Avg Score | 35 |
25.33 | Avg Opp Score | 25.33 |
AWAY | HOME | |
1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
16.33 | Avg Score | 23.67 |
22.67 | Avg Opp Score | 17 |
HOU | Betting Trends | MIA |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
0-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
14.6 | Avg Score | 27.4 |
26.2 | Avg Opp Score | 22 |
AWAY | HOME | |
1-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
2-2-1 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
15.6 | Avg Score | 22.4 |
21.4 | Avg Opp Score | 15.4 |
HOU | Betting Trends | MIA |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
1-8-1 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
4-5-1 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
15.9 | Avg Score | 25.2 |
23 | Avg Opp Score | 24.1 |
AWAY | HOME | |
3-7-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
4-5-1 | ATS W/L/P | 7-3-0 |
15.1 | Avg Score | 25.1 |
20.7 | Avg Opp Score | 15.4 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Houston Texans
The Houston Texans were at home against Taylor Heinicke and the Washington Commanders in Week 11. They were beaten 23-10 in that matchup, with the Texans offense looking anemic from start to finish. Here, the Texans will need more out of their offense to avoid a humiliating defeat at the hands of the explosive Miami Dolphins.
Defensively, it is hard to envision a scenario where the Texans hold the Dolphins in check in this matchup. Houston is at or near the bottom of the NFL in many key defensive metrics, and they will really need to play an uncharacteristically good game on that side of the ball to have a shot here.
Miami Dolphins
The Miami Dolphins had their bye week last week, but they remain at the top of the AFC East going into Week 12. Miami is 7-3 on the year, and they have been great thanks in large part to their offense. This week, that offense has a huge chance to put up some big numbers against a Texans team that has been horrible on defense all year long.
For the Dolphins, the key to this game is going to be simply focusing on the task at hand play after play. This could be an easy game to overlook and be sloppy in, but the Dolphins have competition breathing down their neck in the division, so they will not be able to afford to do that.