Sunday Night Football features a great matchup this week, as the Green Bay Packers and Buffalo Bills square off in Orchard Park, NY. Even with the Packers struggling this season, a matchup between Aaron Rodgers and Josh Allen is always going to be appealing, both teams aim to shut down the elite quarterback on the other side. In our NFL betting picks for this week, we break down Packers vs Bills ahead of Sunday night’s action.
NFL
Green Bay Packers
Buffalo Bills
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
GB | Passing | BUF |
---|---|---|
374 | CMP | 363 |
581 | ATT | 552 |
64.4 | CMP% | 65.8 |
233.4 | YDS/GM | 196.6 |
7.2 | Y/A | 6.7 |
6.5 | NY/A | 5.5 |
11 | INT | 18 |
30 | SK | 54 |
Defense/Offense
GB | Passing | BUF |
---|---|---|
342 | CMP | 385 |
523 | ATT | 579 |
65.4 | CMP% | 66.5 |
206.8 | YDS/GM | 244.4 |
7.3 | Y/A | 7.4 |
6.2 | NY/A | 6.9 |
7 | INT | 18 |
45 | SK | 24 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
GB | Rushing | BUF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
441 | ATT | 409 |
1905 | YDS | 1880 |
112.1 | Y/G | 110.6 |
4.3 | Y/A | 4.6 |
10 | TD | 14 |
0.6 | TD/G | 0.8 |
Defense/Offense
GB | Rushing | BUF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
493 | ATT | 512 |
2181 | YDS | 2212 |
128.3 | Y/G | 130.1 |
4.4 | Y/A | 4.3 |
15 | TD | 22 |
0.9 | TD/G | 1.3 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
GB | Special Teams | BUF |
---|---|---|
26 | Punts/Ret | 19 |
189 | Punt/Yds | 237 |
7.3 | Punt/Y/R | 12.5 |
31 | Kick Off/Ret | 29 |
783 | Kick Off/Yds | 649 |
25.3 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 22.4 |
Defense/Offense
GB | Special Teams | BUF |
---|---|---|
23 | Punts/Ret | 31 |
270 | Punt/Yds | 360 |
11.7 | Punt/Y/R | 11.6 |
40 | Kick Off/Ret | 17 |
950 | Kick Off/Yds | 349 |
23.8 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 20.5 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
GB | Scoring | BUF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
10 | RshTD | 14 |
32 | RecTD | 18 |
27 | FGM | 26 |
33 | FGA | 28 |
22.5 | Pts/G | 18.3 |
Defense/Offense
GB | Scoring | BUF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
15 | RshTD | 22 |
21 | RecTD | 29 |
31 | FGM | 24 |
38 | FGA | 29 |
20.6 | Pts/G | 26.5 |
Team Advanced Defense
GB | Defense | BUF |
---|---|---|
29.3% | Bltz% | 23.5% |
8.5% | Hrry% | 6.9% |
9.9% | QB Hit% | 10.7% |
24.3% | QB Prss% | 24.4% |
Injuries
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Allen Lazard | WR | Shoulder | Out | 10/30/22 |
Caleb Jones | OT | Illness | Out | 10/30/22 |
Elgton Jenkins | OL | Knee | Out | 10/30/22 |
Jake Hanson | OL | Bicep | Out | 10/30/22 |
Jonathan Ford | DL | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/30/22 |
Jonathan Garvin | LB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/30/22 |
Krys Barnes | LB | Ankle | Out | 10/30/22 |
Luke Tenuta | OT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/30/22 |
Randall Cobb | WR | Ankle | Out | 10/30/22 |
Shemar Jean-Charles | CB | Ankle | Out | 10/30/22 |
Tipa Galeai | LB | Hamstring | Out | 10/30/22 |
Aaron Rodgers | QB | Thumb | Questionable | 10/28/22 |
Kylin Hill | RB | Knee (acl) | Questionable | 10/30/22 |
Sammy Watkins | WR | Hamstring | Questionable | 10/28/22 |
Christian Watson | WR | Hamstring | Probable | 10/30/22 |
David Bakhtiari | OT | Knee | Probable | 10/30/22 |
Rashan Gary | LB | Concussion | Probable | 10/30/22 |
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Baylon Spector | LB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/30/22 |
Brandin Bryant | DT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/30/22 |
Ike Boettger | G | Achilles | Out | 10/30/22 |
Isaiah Hodgins | WR | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/30/22 |
Jamison Crowder | WR | Ankle | Out | 10/30/22 |
Marquez Stevenson | WR | Foot | Out | 10/30/22 |
Micah Hyde | S | Neck | Out | 10/30/22 |
Spencer Brown | OT | Foot | Out | 10/30/22 |
Tommy Doyle | OT | Knee (acl) | Out | 10/30/22 |
Tommy Sweeney | TE | Gameday Inactive | Out | 10/30/22 |
Xavier Rhodes | CB | Undisclosed | Out | 10/30/22 |
Jake Kumerow | WR | Ankle | Questionable | 10/28/22 |
Tre'Davious White | CB | Acl | Questionable | 10/30/22 |
Cam Lewis | CB | Forearm | Probable | 10/27/22 |
Taiwan Jones | RB | Knee | Probable | 10/30/22 |
Betting Trends
GB | Betting Trends | BUF |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
0-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
17.67 | Avg Score | 28.33 |
25.67 | Avg Opp Score | 14.33 |
AWAY | HOME | |
1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-0-0 |
14 | Avg Score | 42 |
19.33 | Avg Opp Score | 9 |
GB | Betting Trends | BUF |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
18.8 | Avg Score | 29 |
22.6 | Avg Opp Score | 14.2 |
AWAY | HOME | |
2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-0-1 |
20.6 | Avg Score | 36.4 |
25 | Avg Opp Score | 10.4 |
GB | Betting Trends | BUF |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
3-7-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-3-1 |
20.5 | Avg Score | 31.5 |
20.6 | Avg Opp Score | 16.5 |
AWAY | HOME | |
5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 7-2-1 |
21.4 | Avg Score | 30.4 |
22.9 | Avg Opp Score | 13.2 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Packers vs Bills Betting Pick
This game will be played at Highmark Stadium at 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, October 30, 2022.
Why Bet The Under:
✅ The Buffalo Bills have been incredible defensively this season. They are allowing 4.8 yards per play, which ranks fourth in the NFL. They also rank first in scoring defense and yards allowed per game. Against a struggling Green Bay offense, the Bills will clamp down defensively and help this game go under the total of 47.5.
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✅ If there is a defense that can slow down Josh Allen and the Bills offense, it might just be that of the Green Bay Packers. The Packers have a middle of the pack scoring defense so far this year, but they are number one in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game. They have allowed 168.9 passing yards per contest, and they could very well hold down Allen through the air to help this game go under the total.
✅ Buffalo has been an under machine so far this season. Five of their six games have gone under the total. While the public perception around this game will be that Rodgers and Allen will light it up through the air, that is not going to be the case, and the Bills will see a sixth under in seven games on Sunday Night Football.
Green Bay Packers
The Green Bay Packers lost their third straight game in Week 7, falling as a favorite against the Washington Commanders. Aaron Rodgers was outplayed by Taylor Heinicke for large portions of that game, as a late Green Bay comeback attempt was thwarted by the Commanders running out the clock with their offense.
This week, the Packers need their offense to get going in order to avoid a fourth straight loss. Green Bay has failed to break the 21-point mark in more than half of their games so far this season. If they cannot put up some points against Buffalo, they could be blown out and sent to 3-5 on the year.
Buffalo Bills
Week 7 was the bye week for the Buffalo Bills, who went into that bye week with a 5-1 record. Sitting atop the AFC East, the Bills are facing some stiff competition from the surprising New York Jets, who sit just a half-game behind Buffalo coming into this week’s action. Here, the Bills will hope that they do not miss a beat coming out of the bye.
This is an interesting matchup for the Bills. Buffalo’s strength on offense is passing the ball, but the Packers’ biggest strength on defense is their ability to stop the pass. If the Bills cannot consistently win that strength versus strength component of this contest, Buffalo could be in danger of being upset as a double-digit favorite.