The NFC South title race is down to three teams, two of which will play one another in Week 17. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers hold the lead in this division by a game over the Panthers and Saints, but a win or a loss here would change things dramatically the rest of the way. In our NFL predictions for Sunday, we break down Panthers vs Buccaneers from Tampa.
Panthers vs Buccaneers Betting Pick
ℹ️ The Pick: | Under 39.5 |
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This game will be played at Raymond James Stadium at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, January 1, 2023.
Why Bet the Under:
✅ Tampa Bay ranks 28th in the NFL in points per game coming into this contest. They have put up just 17.7 points per game on the year, and their offensive issues will continue like they did in their first meeting with Carolina this year.
✅ The Tampa Bay defense will also help this game stay under the total. Todd Bowles’ team is allowing just 20.3 points per game to their opponents this year, and we will see them put forth another stellar performance to contribute to the under.
✅ No team has gone under the total more frequently than the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this season. They have gone under their totals in 11 of 15 games this year, tied with the Ravens and Broncos for the most unders in the NFL on the year.
NFL
Carolina Panthers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
CAR | Passing | TB |
---|---|---|
350 | CMP | 404 |
586 | ATT | 611 |
59.7 | CMP% | 66.1 |
161.2 | YDS/GM | 248.9 |
5.5 | Y/A | 7.5 |
4.2 | NY/A | 6.4 |
10 | INT | 13 |
65 | SK | 48 |
Defense/Offense
CAR | Passing | TB |
---|---|---|
309 | CMP | 364 |
481 | ATT | 568 |
64.2 | CMP% | 64.1 |
171.5 | YDS/GM | 224.2 |
6.5 | Y/A | 7.1 |
5.7 | NY/A | 6.3 |
8 | INT | 10 |
27 | SK | 40 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
CAR | Rushing | TB |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
445 | ATT | 422 |
1769 | YDS | 1620 |
104.1 | Y/G | 95.3 |
4.0 | Y/A | 3.8 |
7 | TD | 11 |
0.4 | TD/G | 0.6 |
Defense/Offense
CAR | Rushing | TB |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
508 | ATT | 439 |
2081 | YDS | 1509 |
122.4 | Y/G | 88.8 |
4.1 | Y/A | 3.4 |
25 | TD | 8 |
1.5 | TD/G | 0.5 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
CAR | Special Teams | TB |
---|---|---|
37 | Punts/Ret | 38 |
322 | Punt/Yds | 455 |
8.7 | Punt/Y/R | 12.0 |
24 | Kick Off/Ret | 26 |
637 | Kick Off/Yds | 491 |
26.5 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 18.9 |
Defense/Offense
CAR | Special Teams | TB |
---|---|---|
31 | Punts/Ret | 25 |
210 | Punt/Yds | 234 |
6.8 | Punt/Y/R | 9.4 |
20 | Kick Off/Ret | 16 |
478 | Kick Off/Yds | 327 |
23.9 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 20.4 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
CAR | Scoring | TB |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
7 | RshTD | 11 |
13 | RecTD | 23 |
25 | FGM | 29 |
30 | FGA | 36 |
13.9 | Pts/G | 19.1 |
Defense/Offense
CAR | Scoring | TB |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
25 | RshTD | 8 |
19 | RecTD | 28 |
25 | FGM | 29 |
26 | FGA | 31 |
24.5 | Pts/G | 20.5 |
Team Advanced Defense
CAR | Defense | TB |
---|---|---|
28.5% | Bltz% | 40.1% |
3.4% | Hrry% | 6.5% |
9.4% | QB Hit% | 6.9% |
17.2% | QB Prss% | 19.7% |
Injuries
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Amaré Barno | DE | Gaemday Inactive | Out | 01/01/23 |
Brandon Smith | LB | Ankle | Out | 01/01/23 |
Donte Jackson | CB | Achilles | Out | 01/01/23 |
Jaycee Horn | CB | Wrist | Out | 01/01/23 |
Juston Burris | S | Gameday Inactive1 | Out | 01/01/23 |
Larnel Coleman | OT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 01/01/23 |
Matt Corral | QB | Ankle/foot | Out | 01/01/23 |
Pat Elflein | OL | Hip | Out | 01/01/23 |
Rashard Higgins | WR | Gameday Inactive | Out | 01/01/23 |
Sam Tecklenburg | C | Gameday Inactive1 | Out | 01/01/23 |
Stantley Thomas-Oliver III | CB | Achilles | Out | 01/01/23 |
Zane Gonzalez | K | Groin | Out | 01/01/23 |
Andre Roberts | WR | Knee | Questionable | 12/31/22 |
Shaq Thompson | LB | Hamstring | Questionable | 12/30/22 |
Stephen Sullivan | TE | Ankle | Questionable | 12/30/22 |
Cade Mays | G | Knee | Probable | 01/01/23 |
Marquis Haynes Sr. | DE | Ankle | Probable | 01/01/23 |
Shi Smith | WR | Foot | Probable | 12/30/22 |
Tommy Tremble | TE | Hip | Probable | 01/01/23 |
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Aaron Stinnie | G | Knee (acl) (mcl) | Out | 01/01/23 |
Breshad Perriman | WR | Gameday Inactive | Out | 01/01/23 |
Cameron Brate | TE | Gameday Inactive | Out | 01/01/23 |
Cam Gill | OLB | Foot | Out | 01/01/23 |
Carl Nassib | OLB | Pectoral | Out | 01/01/23 |
Carlton Davis III | CB | Shoulder | Out | 01/01/23 |
Genard Avery | OLB | Abdomen | Out | 01/01/23 |
Josh Wells | OT | Knee | Out | 01/01/23 |
Kyle Trask | QB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 01/01/23 |
Shaquil Barrett | OLB | Achilles | Out | 01/01/23 |
Rakeem Nunez-Roches | DL | Personal | Questionable | 12/30/22 |
Ryan Jensen | C | Knee | Questionable | 01/01/23 |
Anthony Nelson | OLB | Illness | Probable | 12/30/22 |
Antoine Winfield Jr. | S | Ankle | Probable | 01/01/23 |
Cade Otton | TE | Quad | Probable | 12/30/22 |
Donovan Smith | OT | Foot | Probable | 01/01/23 |
Jamel Dean | CB | Toe | Probable | 01/01/23 |
Julio Jones | WR | Knee | Probable | 01/01/23 |
Mike Edwards | S | Hamstring | Probable | 01/01/23 |
Tristan Wirfs | OT | Ankle | Probable | 12/30/22 |
Vita Vea | DL | Calf | Probable | 01/01/23 |
Betting Trends
CAR | Betting Trends | TB |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-3-0 |
27.67 | Avg Score | 16.33 |
23.67 | Avg Opp Score | 28.33 |
AWAY | HOME | |
1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
18 | Avg Score | 20.33 |
26.33 | Avg Opp Score | 22 |
CAR | Betting Trends | TB |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-3-0 |
4-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-5-0 |
21.8 | Avg Score | 16.6 |
18.8 | Avg Opp Score | 24.8 |
AWAY | HOME | |
1-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-3-1 |
19.6 | Avg Score | 19.8 |
28 | Avg Opp Score | 21.2 |
CAR | Betting Trends | TB |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-6-0 |
7-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-8-1 |
22 | Avg Score | 16.3 |
21.5 | Avg Opp Score | 22.1 |
AWAY | HOME | |
1-9-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-5-0 |
3-7-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-7-1 |
16.5 | Avg Score | 22.1 |
28.2 | Avg Opp Score | 22.1 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Carolina Panthers
The Carolina Panthers come into Week 17 off of a win, having beaten the Detroit Lions in Week 16. Carolina enjoyed an offensive explosion in that game, scoring 37 points, with D’Onta Foreman rushing for 165 yards to pace their offense. This week, the Panthers are set to face a much tougher test against the defense of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
For the Panthers, taking care of the football is going to be so important against the Buccaneers. The Bucs have one of the top defenses in the league, and any turnovers by Sam Darnold could end the Panthers’ playoff chances once and for all. If he can limit those, the Panthers will have a chance to keep up with the anemic offense of Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers control their own destiny in the NFC South race, as they have a one-game lead over the New Orleans Saints and Carolina Panthers in the standings. Tampa Bay is coming off of a key win on Christmas night over the Arizona Cardinals, where they locked up third string quarterback Trace McSorley from start to finish. Here, the Bucs will look for another defensive gem to propel themselves to a division title.
For Tampa Bay, generating some kind of a running game would be incredibly helpful in this contest. The Bucs average the fewest rushing yards per game this year, averaging just 77 rushing yards per game. If they can take some of the pressure off of Tom Brady by finding some yardage on the ground, the Bucs could move a step closer to a division title.
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