Chiefs vs Bills Betting Preview
What a Sunday Night game we have this week! This is a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship Game. This is the type of high end matchup that is simply wonderful to have on an island in Prime Time. Two of the league’s premier offenses go head to head. The Chiefs defense has been a sieve and we will likely see the Bills continue to score at will. The Chiefs offense has consistently been able to counteract that with their frenetic scoring pace. Get ready for a fun shootout.
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This game will be played at 820PM EST on Sunday October 10th, 2021 at Arrowhead.
Player Prop Pick: Clyde Edwards-Helaire Over 51.5 Rushing Yards
✅ After a rough couple of weeks to start the season, second year back Clyde Edwards-Helaire has caught the hot hand the last couple of weeks. The 2020 first round draft selection has topped the century mark in consecutive games, and has not needed volume to do so. He has been extremely efficient, averaging 6.5 yards per tote in those games. He has also managed to score a receiving touchdown in each game, so the involvement is absolutely there.
✅ The Bills rushing defense appears exceptional on paper, but they have not played an efficient rushing offense yet this season. In fact they have even had a pair of shutouts against bad teams in even worse situations. They had their way with the least versions of the Dolphins and Texans. Their other opponents, the Steelers and Football Team, have had issues running against all of their opponents. This will be the first time the Bills face an efficient offense, but the prop lines do not reflect that.
✅ The rushing prop set at just 51.5 yards is essentially projecting that CEH will not be involved on offense. He is averaging 5.0 yards per carry on the season, even including the forgettable first two weeks. At that pace he would need just 11 carries to succeed. He will have more than 11 carries, as he has in every game thus far. The bar is simply set so low with this betting total, it will take a true outlier for him to not find the over.