Two NFC teams that are coming off of a win will meet in Week 12, when the Washington Commanders host the Atlanta Falcons. Washington has been red hot of late, and will attempt to keep that going here, but the Falcons will attempt to derail them just outside of Washington D.C. In our NFL picks for this weekend, we break down Falcons vs Commanders from FedEx Field.
Falcons vs Commanders Betting Pick
ℹ️ The Pick: | Commanders -3.5 |
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This game will be played at FedEx Field at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 27, 2022.
Why Bet The Commanders:
✅ Washington has won five of their last six games, with the team on fire since Taylor Heinicke has taken over at quarterback. That hot streak will continue against an Atlanta team that has been struggling on defense.
✅ Washington ranks sixth in the NFL in run defense, which bodes well against a Falcons team that is so determined to run the football. Expect Washington to slow down that facet of Atlanta’s game, forcing Marcus Mariota to try and win this game through the air.
✅ Atlanta is just 1-4 on the road so far this season. They will continue to struggle away from Mercedes-Benz Stadium en route to a Commanders cover.
NFL
Atlanta Falcons
Washington Football Team
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
ATL | Passing | WAS |
---|---|---|
327 | CMP | 400 |
530 | ATT | 597 |
61.7 | CMP% | 67.0 |
207.3 | YDS/GM | 254.9 |
7.1 | Y/A | 7.6 |
6.2 | NY/A | 6.8 |
17 | INT | 11 |
40 | SK | 38 |
Defense/Offense
ATL | Passing | WAS |
---|---|---|
340 | CMP | 356 |
549 | ATT | 550 |
61.9 | CMP% | 64.7 |
202.9 | YDS/GM | 202.4 |
6.8 | Y/A | 6.8 |
5.8 | NY/A | 5.8 |
8 | INT | 15 |
42 | SK | 43 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
ATL | Rushing | WAS |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
522 | ATT | 430 |
2159 | YDS | 1775 |
127.0 | Y/G | 104.4 |
4.1 | Y/A | 4.1 |
14 | TD | 14 |
0.8 | TD/G | 0.8 |
Defense/Offense
ATL | Rushing | WAS |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
499 | ATT | 477 |
2009 | YDS | 2061 |
118.2 | Y/G | 121.2 |
4.0 | Y/A | 4.3 |
11 | TD | 13 |
0.6 | TD/G | 0.8 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
ATL | Special Teams | WAS |
---|---|---|
33 | Punts/Ret | 27 |
239 | Punt/Yds | 244 |
7.2 | Punt/Y/R | 9.0 |
14 | Kick Off/Ret | 30 |
236 | Kick Off/Yds | 643 |
16.9 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 21.4 |
Defense/Offense
ATL | Special Teams | WAS |
---|---|---|
31 | Punts/Ret | 16 |
353 | Punt/Yds | 134 |
11.4 | Punt/Y/R | 8.4 |
11 | Kick Off/Ret | 36 |
261 | Kick Off/Yds | 904 |
23.7 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 25.1 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
ATL | Scoring | WAS |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
14 | RshTD | 14 |
17 | RecTD | 34 |
32 | FGM | 27 |
37 | FGA | 29 |
18.9 | Pts/G | 25.5 |
Defense/Offense
ATL | Scoring | WAS |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
11 | RshTD | 13 |
24 | RecTD | 21 |
39 | FGM | 28 |
41 | FGA | 33 |
21.9 | Pts/G | 19.7 |
Team Advanced Defense
ATL | Defense | WAS |
---|---|---|
23.9% | Bltz% | 31.0% |
7.9% | Hrry% | 10.2% |
9.5% | QB Hit% | 9.2% |
23.0% | QB Prss% | 24.2% |
Injuries
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Beau Brinkley | LS | Achilles | Out | 11/27/22 |
Casey Hayward | CB | Shoulder | Out | 11/27/22 |
Chuma Edoga | OT | Knee | Out | 11/27/22 |
Cornell Armstrong | DB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/27/22 |
Damien Williams | RB | Ribs | Out | 11/27/22 |
Elijah Wilkinson | OT | Knee | Out | 11/27/22 |
Frank Darby | WR | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/27/22 |
Jalen Dalton | DT | Toe | Out | 11/27/22 |
Jared Bernhardt | WR | Groin | Out | 11/27/22 |
John FitzPatrick | TE | Undisclosed | Out | 11/27/22 |
Jovante Moffatt | S | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/27/22 |
Justin Shaffer | G | Undisclosed | Out | 11/27/22 |
Kyle Pitts | TE | Knee (mcl) | Out | 11/27/22 |
Matt Hennessy | OL | Knee | Out | 11/27/22 |
Nate Landman | ILB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/27/22 |
Ta'Quon Graham | DL | Knee | Out | 11/27/22 |
Vincent Taylor | DT | Achilles | Out | 11/27/22 |
Jalen Mayfield | OL | Back | Questionable | 11/27/22 |
Arnold Ebiketie | OLB | Arm | Probable | 11/27/22 |
Caleb Huntley | RB | Ankle | Probable | 11/27/22 |
Feleipe Franks | TE | Calf | Probable | 11/27/22 |
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Armani Rogers | TE | Knee | Out | 11/27/22 |
Benjamin St-Juste | CB | Ankle | Out | 11/27/22 |
Chase Roullier | C | Knee | Out | 11/27/22 |
Chase Young | DE | Knee (acl) | Out | 11/27/22 |
Chris Paul | G | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/27/22 |
Cole Holcomb | LB | Foot | Out | 11/27/22 |
Curtis Hodges | TE | Thigh | Out | 11/27/22 |
Dax Milne | WR | Undisclosed | Out | 11/27/22 |
De'Jon Harris | LB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/27/22 |
J.D. McKissic | RB | Neck | Out | 11/27/22 |
Nolan Laufenberg | G | Undisclosed | Out | 11/27/22 |
Phidarian Mathis | DT | Torn Meniscus | Out | 11/27/22 |
Tariq Castro-Fields | CB | Knee | Out | 11/27/22 |
Wes Schweitzer | G | Concussion | Out | 11/27/22 |
Carson Wentz | QB | Finger | Questionable | 11/27/22 |
James Smith-Williams | DE | Illness | Questionable | 11/25/22 |
Milo Eifler | LB | Hamstring | Questionable | 11/25/22 |
Tyler Larsen | C | Undisclosed | Questionable | 11/25/22 |
David Mayo | LB | Hamstring | Probable | 11/25/22 |
Logan Thomas | TE | Rib | Probable | 11/27/22 |
Taylor Heinicke | QB | Back | Probable | 11/24/22 |
Betting Trends
ATL | Betting Trends | WAS |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-0-1 |
19.67 | Avg Score | 24 |
23 | Avg Opp Score | 17 |
AWAY | HOME | |
0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-1-1 |
15.67 | Avg Score | 19 |
27 | Avg Opp Score | 20.67 |
ATL | Betting Trends | WAS |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-0-1 |
22.6 | Avg Score | 22.4 |
27.6 | Avg Opp Score | 17.6 |
AWAY | HOME | |
1-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-3-0 |
3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-2-1 |
20.2 | Avg Score | 18.6 |
27 | Avg Opp Score | 21.6 |
ATL | Betting Trends | WAS |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-5-0 |
6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-4-1 |
23.3 | Avg Score | 18.6 |
24.7 | Avg Opp Score | 20.1 |
AWAY | HOME | |
3-7-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-6-0 |
5-4-1 | ATS W/L/P | 5-4-1 |
18.2 | Avg Score | 18.8 |
27.3 | Avg Opp Score | 22 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Atlanta Falcons
The Atlanta Falcons come into this week with a 5-6 record, having beaten the Chicago Bears in Week 11. They are just a half-game behind the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the standings at this point in time. But the Falcons need to keep finding a way to win games if they are going to have a chance to win the NFC South and get to the playoffs.
In this game, the key for the Falcons will be finding a way to to run the ball against a solid Commanders run defense. Atlanta’s passing attack has been severely lacking this season, as Marcus Mariota is more of a dual threat than a pure passer. If Atlanta cannot get going on the ground, Mariota will be forced to be more one-dimensional, which will be terrible for Atlanta.
Washington Commanders
The Washington Commanders are one of the hottest teams in the NFL coming into this week. They have won five of their last six games to get to 6-5 on the year. That puts every team in the NFC East above .500 going into Week 12. To stay that way, the Commanders will look for another solid defensive showing.
In seven straight games, the Commanders have allowed 21 or fewer points to their opponents. That includes their five wins over the last six weeks. Another game allowing three touchdowns or fewer could help Washington get to 7-5, at which point they will be firmly in the mix for a Wild Card position.