The quarterback position is by far the most important in football. And in the Week 16 battle of the birds between the Atlanta Falcons and Baltimore Ravens, that will be the case more than ever. With the Falcons starting a rookie QB, and the Ravens hoping to get their former league MVP back, the quarterback position could decide this game in a number of ways. In our NFL picks for Week 16, we break down this Christmas Eve Falcons vs Ravens matchup.
Falcons vs Ravens Betting Pick
ℹ️ The Pick: | Falcons +7.5 |
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This game will be played at M&T Bank Stadium at 1:00 PM ET on Saturday, December 24, 2022.
Why Bet the Falcons:
✅ Desmond Ridder was not all that productive in his debut against the New Orleans Saints. But this week, he starts against a Ravens defense that ranks 25th in the NFL against the pass. He will be marginally better, and help the Falcons stay within a touchdown again.
✅ Lamar Jackson should be back for this game for the Ravens. But Jackson is dealing with a knee injury and will likely not be the truly dynamic player that he normally is. He should lead his team to a win here, but not by more than a touchdown.
✅ Baltimore is 5-8-1 against the spread this season. They are better than only five teams against the number on the year: the Buccaneers, Chiefs, Rams, Saints, and Bears.
NFL
Atlanta Falcons
Baltimore Ravens
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
ATL | Passing | BAL |
---|---|---|
327 | CMP | 384 |
530 | ATT | 634 |
61.7 | CMP% | 60.6 |
207.3 | YDS/GM | 191.9 |
7.1 | Y/A | 5.9 |
6.2 | NY/A | 4.7 |
17 | INT | 18 |
40 | SK | 60 |
Defense/Offense
ATL | Passing | BAL |
---|---|---|
340 | CMP | 328 |
549 | ATT | 494 |
61.9 | CMP% | 66.4 |
202.9 | YDS/GM | 213.8 |
6.8 | Y/A | 7.9 |
5.8 | NY/A | 6.8 |
8 | INT | 7 |
42 | SK | 41 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
ATL | Rushing | BAL |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
522 | ATT | 415 |
2159 | YDS | 1860 |
127.0 | Y/G | 109.4 |
4.1 | Y/A | 4.5 |
14 | TD | 6 |
0.8 | TD/G | 0.4 |
Defense/Offense
ATL | Rushing | BAL |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
499 | ATT | 541 |
2009 | YDS | 2661 |
118.2 | Y/G | 156.5 |
4.0 | Y/A | 4.9 |
11 | TD | 26 |
0.6 | TD/G | 1.5 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
ATL | Special Teams | BAL |
---|---|---|
33 | Punts/Ret | 32 |
239 | Punt/Yds | 433 |
7.2 | Punt/Y/R | 13.5 |
14 | Kick Off/Ret | 20 |
236 | Kick Off/Yds | 459 |
16.9 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 23.0 |
Defense/Offense
ATL | Special Teams | BAL |
---|---|---|
31 | Punts/Ret | 29 |
353 | Punt/Yds | 417 |
11.4 | Punt/Y/R | 14.4 |
11 | Kick Off/Ret | 13 |
261 | Kick Off/Yds | 319 |
23.7 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 24.5 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
ATL | Scoring | BAL |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
14 | RshTD | 6 |
17 | RecTD | 18 |
32 | FGM | 32 |
37 | FGA | 35 |
18.9 | Pts/G | 16.5 |
Defense/Offense
ATL | Scoring | BAL |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
11 | RshTD | 26 |
24 | RecTD | 27 |
39 | FGM | 32 |
41 | FGA | 37 |
21.9 | Pts/G | 28.4 |
Team Advanced Defense
ATL | Defense | BAL |
---|---|---|
23.9% | Bltz% | 21.9% |
7.9% | Hrry% | 3.8% |
9.5% | QB Hit% | 8.7% |
23.0% | QB Prss% | 19.5% |
Injuries
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Beau Brinkley | LS | Achilles | Out | 12/24/22 |
Caleb Huntley | RB | Ankle | Out | 12/24/22 |
Casey Hayward | CB | Shoulder | Out | 12/24/22 |
Chuma Edoga | OT | Knee | Out | 12/24/22 |
David Anenih | OLB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/24/22 |
Derrick Tangelo | DL | Undisclosed | Out | 12/24/22 |
Jalen Mayfield | OL | Back | Out | 12/24/22 |
Jared Bernhardt | WR | Groin | Out | 12/24/22 |
Jovante Moffatt | S | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/24/22 |
Justin Shaffer | G | Undisclosed | Out | 12/24/22 |
Kyle Pitts | TE | Knee (mcl) | Out | 12/24/22 |
Marcus Mariota | QB | Knee | Out | 12/24/22 |
Matt Dickerson | DE | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/24/22 |
Rashad Fenton | CB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/24/22 |
Ta'Quon Graham | DL | Knee | Out | 12/24/22 |
Tyler Vrabel | OL | Undisclosed | Out | 12/24/22 |
Vincent Taylor | DT | Achilles | Out | 12/24/22 |
John FitzPatrick | TE | Undisclosed | Questionable | 12/24/22 |
Matt Hennessy | OL | Knee | Questionable | 12/24/22 |
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ben Cleveland | G | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/24/22 |
Calais Campbell | DE | Knee | Out | 12/24/22 |
Charlie Kolar | TE | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/24/22 |
Daryl Worley | CB | Hamstring | Out | 12/24/22 |
David Ojabo | OLB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/24/22 |
Devin Duvernay | WR | Foot | Out | 12/24/22 |
Jalyn Armour-Davis | CB | Hip | Out | 12/24/22 |
Ja'Wuan James | OT | Achilles | Out | 12/24/22 |
Kenyan Drake | RB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/24/22 |
Kyle Fuller | CB | Knee | Out | 12/24/22 |
Lamar Jackson | QB | Knee | Out | 12/24/22 |
Marcus Peters | CB | Calf | Out | 12/24/22 |
Michael Pierce | DT | Biceps | Out | 12/24/22 |
Rashod Bateman | WR | Foot | Out | 12/24/22 |
Steven Means | OLB | Ankle | Out | 12/24/22 |
Tylan Wallace | WR | Hamstring | Out | 12/24/22 |
Vince Biegel | OLB | Achilles | Out | 12/24/22 |
J.K. Dobbins | RB | Knee | Questionable | 12/21/22 |
Josh Ross | ILB | Foot | Questionable | 12/24/22 |
Kevin Zeitler | G | Knee | Questionable | 12/21/22 |
Ronnie Stanley | OT | Ankle | Questionable | 12/22/22 |
Tyler Huntley | QB | Shoulder | Probable | 12/24/22 |
Betting Trends
ATL | Betting Trends | BAL |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
15.67 | Avg Score | 9.67 |
19.67 | Avg Opp Score | 12 |
AWAY | HOME | |
0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-3-0 |
15.33 | Avg Score | 15.33 |
21.67 | Avg Opp Score | 10.67 |
ATL | Betting Trends | BAL |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
1-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-4-0 |
17.8 | Avg Score | 13.8 |
21.6 | Avg Opp Score | 13.4 |
AWAY | HOME | |
0-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-4-0 |
15.6 | Avg Score | 17 |
24.2 | Avg Opp Score | 14.4 |
ATL | Betting Trends | BAL |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
3-7-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-7-0 |
20.3 | Avg Score | 18.5 |
23.2 | Avg Opp Score | 16.3 |
AWAY | HOME | |
2-8-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-5-0 |
5-4-1 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
18.9 | Avg Score | 20.1 |
25.6 | Avg Opp Score | 19.1 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Atlanta Falcons
Last week, the Desmond Ridder era began for the Atlanta Falcons, as the rookie quarterback got his first start of his professional career. That start ended in a loss for the Falcons, as they fell 21-18 to the New Orleans Saints. Ridder completed just 13 of his 26 passes for 97 yards, failing to throw a touchdown pass, but not throwing an interception either.
This week, Ridder takes on a Ravens defense that is in the bottom-third of the league against the pass. This could be a great chance for him to have some success early in his pro career and build a little momentum as the Falcons look to remain in the mix for the NFC South title.
Baltimore Ravens
For the Baltimore Ravens, things went about as well as they could have hoped for during their period of time without Lamar Jackson at quarterback. While the Ravens lost their last game against the Cleveland Browns on the road, they remained within striking distance of the Cincinnati Bengals at the top of the AFC North. This week, they will look to get back into the win column with Jackson back in a huge game for their playoff hopes.
The big question, of course, is whether or not Jackson will be able to play at his usual pace in this contest if he does go. Jackson is known for breaking the pocket and making plays with his legs. If he cannot do that due to his injured knee, the Ravens could be on upset alert.
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