Week 13 of the NFL concludes with New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Monday Night. The oddsmakers expect a close and low scoring game in this NFC South matchup. The betting line is set with the Bucs as 3 point favorite with a total of 41.
โน๏ธ The Pick: | Adam Trautman Over 23.5 Receiving Yards |
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Why Bet The Trautman Over
โ Adam Trautman has been moderately involved in the offense all season, but gets a chance to have his biggest game to date on Monday night. While the tight end routes are generally split between Trautman and Juwan Johnson, Johnson will be out for Monday night. The only other tight end on the roster, Taysom Hill, is more of a gadget player than a traditional tight end. Trautman will see all of the tight end targets, and that should be a fair amount, in the four to nine range. In the four games this season in which Trautman has seen three targets, he has multiple catches in every game. He averages 25.8 yards on those games, and will have his largest target count of the year on Monday Night.
โ The Buccaneers defense remains stout, and particularly against the run. They are something of a pass funnel against opposing offenses. Teams will almost always find more success passing on the Bucs than we will running it. While the Buccaneers are middle of the pack against wide receivers, they are quite low end against the tight end position. The Bucs allow tight end production at a bottom five rate in the league. It should be a cakewalk for Trautman, who has ability, to gather 24 or more receiving yards.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Heading into Monday Night, the 5-6 Buccaneers currently lead the putrid NFC South by one game. A win on Monday would give them a game and a half cushion, over the rest of the low end division. A game and a half is a huge deal in the division that accumulates wins at the lowest rate in the league.
New Orleans Saints
The 4-8 Saints currently sit a game and a half back of the Bucs in the division. While the record is clearly ugly, their division hopes are alive and well. A win on Monday would move the Saints within a half game and make them the top candidate to steal the division. A loss would set them 2.5 games back and would frankly end any and all playoff aspirations for this season.