The state with the 10th most delegates will be up for grabs on Super Tuesday, March 3, 2020, as the eight remaining candidates all look to win one of the more important states on the day. Virginia awards 124 total delegates with 99 of those delegates being pledged. Tuesday will see some candidates end their 2020 campaigns and the ones who do poor in Virginia will be the first candidates expecting to drop. Virginia is the fourth biggest delegate count up for grabs on Super Tuesday, so it will be a highly anticipated result.
Through the South Carolina primary it is Bernie Sanders that leads all candidates with 58 awarded delegates. Joe Biden sits in second with 50, Pete Buttigieg in third with 26, Elizabeth Warren in fourth with eight, and Amy Klobuchar in fifth with seven.
Odds to win Virginia Primary – odds via William Hill
- Bernie Sanders -110
- Joe Biden -333
- Michael Bloomberg +1100
- Elizabeth Warren +2500
- Amy Klobuchar +6600
- Tulsi Gabbard +10000
According to polling on February 26, 2020, Bernie Sanders is leading all candidates with an average polling aggregation of 24.9%. Michal Bloomberg is coming in at second place with 19.0%, just edging out Joe Biden at 18.9%. The other two candidates polling in double digits is Pete Buttigieg at 11.2% and Elizabeth Warren at 10.4%. The three polls used for this polling aggregation were 270 to Win, RealClear Politics and FiveThirtyEight.
Back in 2016 it was Hillary Clinton taking on Bernie Sanders and it was Clinton who walked away with a huge win. Clinton was awarded 62 pledged delegates and earned 5-4,741 votes – good enough for 64.29% of the popular vote. Bernie was awarded 33 pledged delegates and earner 276,370 votes – good enough for 35.30% of the popular votes. Bernie was only able to win 15 of the 131 counties in Virginia and did not earn more than 51,000 votes in any county. There really was not a positive for Bernie in Virginia four years ago, but it could be a different story in 2020 as there is a lot of positive momentum for the Sanders campaign.
I think Virginia will be a state that Joe Biden can, and will, win Tuesday. Bernie will certainly keep it close and I expect Bloomberg to have good showing in this state on Super Tuesday. Up next for these candidates? Another six states, in just one week, with 352 delegates to be awarded.