The fourth step to naming the 2020 Democratic Candidate for President takes us to South Carolina as 54 pledged delegates is on the line Saturday February 29, 2020. Joe Biden has been expected to win this state with ease, but the Bernie Sanders momentum has made South Carolina a bit more interesting.
Odds to win South Carolina Primary – odds via William Hill
- Joe Biden -275
- Bernie Sanders +200
- Tom Steyer +5000
- Elizabeth Warren +10000
- Amy Klobuchar +10000
- Pete Buttigieg +10000
- Tulsi Gabbard +10000
Through the first two caucuses, and one primary, Bernie Sanders leads the pack with two contests won, a 45 estimated delegate count and 163,258 votes. In second place is Pete Buttigieg who has an estimated delegate count of 25 and 133,314 votes. The only other candidate who can catch Bernie is Joe Biden who sits with 15 delegates and 67,721 votes. Elizabeth Warren and Amy Klobuchar have eight and seven delegates, respectively, but will need a shocking result on Super Tuesday to stay in the race.
The most recent caucus was in Nevada, last weekend, where Bernie Sanders took 24 of the 26 pledged delegates and received 40.5% of the total votes. Joe Biden finished second with nine delegates and 19.8% of the vote and Pete Buttigieg finished with three delegates and 17.3% of the vote.
Back in the 2016 South Carolina Democratic primary saw Hillary Clinton run away with the state as Clinton received 39 of the 53 pledged delegates and received 73.44% of the total votes. Sanders wasn’t able to win a single county back in 2016, so it will be interesting to see if he can take any of the counties from Biden this weekend.
I expect Joe Biden to win South Carolina by a huge margin and jump into a two horse race with Bernie going forward. Biden will need to win by the same amount Clinton beat Sanders by back in 2016. If Sanders can somehow pull out a win, or suffer just a slight defeat, it could be smooth sailing for the senator from Vermont.
Up next is a quick turnaround to Super Tuesday, March 3, when 14 primaries, plus the American Samoa caucus, will take place. Super Tuesday accounts for 1,344 pledged delegates – 33.8% of the total pledged delegates.