The Democratic Presidential nomination field is down to just two real contenders as Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders now shift their sights to five more primaries and one caucus. One of the major primaries, on Tuesday March 10, 2020, takes the candidates to Missouri where 68 delegates are up for grabs.
Last week was a crazy one for the Democrats as Pete Buttigieg, who was the talk of the town after Iowa, suspended his campaign Monday night, Michael Bloomberg ended his campaign on Wednesday and then Elizabeth Warren suspended her campaign on Thursday. Buttigieg and Bloomberg ended up endorsing Joe Biden and Warren is still weighing her options on who, if anyone, to endorse.
Odds to win Missouri Primary – odds via William Hill
- Joe Biden -100
- Bernie Sanders +550
Heading into this week it is Joe Biden who leads Bernie Sanders by a 664-573 margin. Biden is one-third of the way to the party nomination as 1,991 delegates are needed to win. Biden has also received 4,921,782 popular votes, compared to 4,016,248 for Sanders, and 35.5% of the popular vote, compared to 29.0% for Bernie.
Super Tuesday was a turning point for the Democratic Party as a seemingly dead Joe Biden resurfaced as the favorite to earn the nomination. Biden won Alabama (44 delegates), Arkansas (17), Maine (11), Massachusetts (37), Minnesota (38), North Carolina (67), Oklahoma (21), Tennessee (33), Texas (111), and Virginia (66). Bernie Sanders won California (186), Colorado (23), Utah (12), and Vermont (11), while Michael Bloomberg came away with the win in the American Samoa (4).
Back in 2016, Hillary Clinton squeaked out a very tight victory, beating Bernie Sanders by a delegate count of 36-35. Clinton won 312,285 votes to Sanders 310,711. Bernie was able to win Columbia and Springfield, as well as the most of the counties bordering Kansas, Nebraska, and Oklahoma. Clinton was able to get the win by securing St. Louis City and St. Louis County.
The three polling aggregates have Biden as a 47.3% – 38.1% advantage over Bernie, but the odds indicate this could be just as close as the Primary in 2016. I think Joe Biden starts to really run away with this race and comes away with a victory on Tuesday.