Fever-Tree Championships Best Bets – June 23rd
The final is now set at the Queens Club and there is no chance anyone had either of the finalists advancing this far in the bracket. The day started with Gilles Simon (+350) playing another three set marathon match knocking out #4 Daniil Medvedev 6-7(4) 6-4 6-3. The semifinal was Simon’s fourth consecutive three set match this week. The second semifinal saw 37-year-old Feliciano Lopez (+175) take out 17-year-old, and the #8 seed, Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-7(3) 6-3 6-4.
An unlikely final sees, the Madrid Tournament Director, Feliciano Lopez (-189) taking on the previously out of from Gilles Simon (+150)
Below is my pick for the final of the 2019 Fever-Tree Championships.
Feliciano Lopez (-189) vs Gilles Simon (+150)
Feliciano Lopez is through to his first final in two years after upsetting NextGen star #8 Felix Auger-Aliassime in the semifinal. Lopez put on a serving clinic Saturday firing 15 aces, to just three double faults, and saving all eight of the break point chances on his serve. Feliciano Lopez has had a rough two years, but Lopez playing well on grass is never a surprise. For his career Lopez has won six career ATP titles with four of those coming on grass. The Spaniards last title came at the 2017 version of this tournament when he beat Marin Cilic in the final. Lopez has launched himself back into the top 100 and a win tomorrow will push him up close to the top 50.
Gilles Simon is through to the final at Queens Club after a solid three set win over #4 Daniil Medvedev. Simon did what he normally does as he grinded out Medvedev with long rallys and one rocket shot out of nowhere to constantly win the long points. The Frenchman is through to his first final since last September when he won his 14th career ATP title in Marseille. Sunday will be Simon’s second career grass final after he lost to none other than Feliciano Lopez in the 2013 Eastbourne final. Simon has already increased his ranking 13 spots this week, to #25, and with a win can get as high as #22.
I like Gilles Simon to lift the title in London.
Feliciano Lopez leads the overall H2H 5-2 and leads on grass 4-0. The two met last year on the Stuttgart grass and Feliciano Lopez came away with a 7-6(4) 6-4 win.
YTD Tennis Results: 264-174
Fever-Tree Championships Results: 4-6
Fever-Tree Championships Best Bets – June 22nd
The semifinal field is set, at the 2019 Fever-Tree Championships, and it is certainly not the field anyone expected. Just two seeds are left in the tournament with #4 Daniil Medvedev the highest seed remaining. Medvedev, who was a -357 favorite Friday, easily took out Diego Schwartzman 6-2 6-2 to get to the semifinals. The other seed joining Medvedev is #8 Felix Auger-Aliassime (+137) who took out #1 Stefanos Tsitsipas 7-5 6-2. Gilles Simon (-152) took out veteran Nicolas Mahut, 7-6(5) 5-7 7-6(3) and Feliciano Lopez (+220) took out #6 Milos Raonic in three sets.
Semifinal Saturday features #4 Daniil Medvedev (-400) vs Gilles Simon (+300) and #8 Felix Auger-Aliassime (-227) vs Feliciano Lopez (+175)
Below are my picks for Saturday’s semifinals at the Queen’s Club.
Daniil Medvedev (-400) vs Gilles Simon (+300)
Daniil Medvedev was handed a gift in the quarterfinals as his opponent, Diego Schwartzman, is not known for his grass play and the Russian took advantage winning 6-2 6-2 in one hour and 17 minutes. Medvedev has lost one set, spent four hours and 43 minutes on court and faced an average opponent ranking of 30 this week. Two more wins would see Medvedev make his top 10 debut and a win tomorrow would see Medvedev move up to 11th. The Russian will play in his sixth semifinal of 2019 Saturday.
Gilles Simon has been in awful form this season, but the Frenchman has taken advantage of the most favorable draw imaginable to get the semifinals in Halle. It wasn’t easy, but Simon took out Nicolas Mahut in a three hour, three set, match Friday as Simon has now played three straight three set matches. Simon has spent over eight hours on court this week even though he has faced opponents with an average ranking of 137. This will be Simon’s third semifinal of 2019.
Daniil Medvedev gets to the final.
Gilles Simon leads the H2H 1-0, but this will be the first meeting on grass. Simon pulled out a three set win over Medvedev in the first round of the Lyon clay event two years ago.
Felix Auger-Aliassime (-227) vs Feliciano Lopez (+175)
Felix Auger-Aliassime is through to his second consecutive grass semifinal after a really solid 7-5 6-2 win over #1 Stefanos Tsitsipas. FAA saved all seven of the break point opportunities on his serve, and broke Tsitsipas three times, during his one hour and 37 minute win. FAA has lost one set, spent five hours and six minutes on court and faced an average opponent ranking of 30 in just the past two days. Saturday will be the fifth semifinal of 2019 for the 18-year-old.
37-year-old Feliciano Lopez received a walkover from #3 Juan Martin Del Potro in the second round and took advantage of the gift by knocking out #6 Milos Raonic in the quarterfinals. Lopez has played two three setters, spent four hours and 22 minutes on the court and faced an average opponent ranking of 35 this week. Saturday will be Lopez’s first ATP semifinal since the Spaniard won the title here in 2017.
I like FAA to beat the veteran on Saturday.
This will be the first meeting between the two.
YTD Tennis Results: 260-170
Fever-Tree Championships Results: 4-4
Fever-Tree Championships Best Bets – June 20th
For the second day in a row rain factored into the day as not all of the Wednesday scheduled matches were able to be completed. Of the seven matches that did get completed there was just one slight upset and two three set matches. Jeremy Chardy (-189), #3 Juan Martin Del Potro (-250), #7 Stan Wawrinka (-152), Lucas Pouille (-714) and #6 Milos Raonic (-714) all took care of business in straight sets Wednesday. Feliciano Lopez (-175) and Aljaz Bedene (+150) needed three sets, but advanced to the second round nonetheless.
It’s going to be a busy Thursday at the Queen’s Club with the three final first round matches, including #1 Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Kyle Edmund and #8 Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Grigor Dimitrov, and then all eight second round matches featuring #2 Kevin Anderson, #5 Marin Cilic and #7 Stan Wawrinka.
Below are my two best bets for Thursday at the Queen’s Club.
Stan Wawrinka (-250) vs Nicolas Mahut (+175)
Stan Wawrinka started his grass season with a 6-3 6-4 win over Dan Evans ending the Brit’s 10 match winning streak on the surface. Wawrinka saved both break points he faced, fired seven aces and broke Evans two time during his one hour and 11 minute win. Wawrinka fell during this stage last season.
Nicolas Mahut notched his third win of the week with a 6-3 7-6(5) win over Frances Tiafoe on Monday. Mahut started his grass week last week, in Hertogenbosch, but suffered a first qualifying round defeat, so stringing together three wins this week will be big for the confidence of the veteran Frenchman. Mahut has already progressed further this season than he did last season.
I like Stan Wawrinka to even up the H2H record Thursday.
Nicolas Mahut leads the overall H2H, and the grass H2H, 1-0. That one meeting took place in the final of Hertogenbosch, in 2014, with Mahut coming away with a 6-3 6-4 win.
Daniil Medvedev (-227) vs Lucas Pouille (+162)
Daniil Medvedev got his first win since late April, and in five matches, with a 6-2 6-4 win over Fernando Verdasco on Monday. The Russian saved all three of his break points, lost just eight first serve points and broke Verdasco three times en route to victory. Medvedev fell during this stage of last year’s Fever-Tree Championships.
Lucas Pouille was finally able to get his week started on Wednesday, after dealing with weather issues, and the Frenchman needed just one hour and 13 minutes to take out Jay Clarke 7-6(2) 6-1. Pouille got his grass season started last week with a run to the quarterfinals in Stuttgart and has already progressed further this week than he did last year.
Daniil Medvedev gets some revenge from last week and wins Thursday.
Lucas Pouille leads the overall H2H 4-0 and leads on grass 1-0. That lone grass meeting took place just last week, in Stuttgart, with Pouille coming away with a 7-6(6) 4-6 6-2 win.
YTD Tennis Results: 252-161
Fever-Tree Championships Results: 2-1
Fever-Tree Championships Best Bets – June 18th
Six main draw matches got the Fever-Tree Championships off and running Monday and, while four favorites were able to advance, two slight upsets did take place. Nicolas Mahut (+120) took care of the struggling Frances Tiafoe in straight sets and Diego Schwartzman (+125) was victories over Alexander Bublik. #2 Kevin Anderson (-303), #4 Daniil Medvedev (-278), #5 Marin Cilic (-357) and Gilles Simon (-227) all came away with wins on Tuesday.
The final 10 first round matches are on the schedule Tuesday with #1 Stefanos Tsitsipas, #3 Juan Martin Del Potro, #6 Milos Raonic, #7 Stan Wawrinka, #8 Felix Auger-Aliassime, Nick Kyrgios, Grigor Dimitrov, Denis Shapovalov, Alex De Minaur and Dan Evans all in action.
Below are my two best bets for Tuesday at the Queen’s Club.
Stan Wawrinka (-139) vs Dan Evans (+100)
Stan Wawrinka begins his grass season after an 8-5 clay court swing that ended in the quarterfinals of the French Open. The quarterfinals run moved Wawrinka back into the top 20 for the first time since returning from injury last season. Stan went just 2-3 on grass this season, he currently has a 30-31 record on the surface, and fell in the second round here last season.
Dan Evans, the hottest man on grass, come into the Fever-Tree championships on a 10 match winning streak that has seen him win back-to-back titles at the Surbiton and Nottingham grass Challenger events. Evans has lost just four sets during this 10 match winning streak and is on the brink of making it into the top 50. Evans has won two Challenger, and two ITF, titles on grass and has a career 48-28 record on the surface.
I like Stan Wawrinka to put a halt to the Dan Evans winning streak.
Stan Wawrinka leads the H2H 2-0, but this will be the first meeting on clay. The two met earlier this season, on the Indian Wells hardcourts, with Wawrinka coming away with a three set win.
Grigor Dimitrov (-164) vs Felix-Auger Aliassime (+120)
Grigor Dimitrov starts his grass season after a so-so 7-6 clay swing that ended with a third round defeat to Stan Wawrinka. Dimitrov’s 2018 struggles have carried over to 2019 as the Bulgarian is just 13-9 overall with just one quarterfinal appearance. Dimitrov, who has a 38-24 career record on the grass, won the 2014 version of this tournament, but fell in the second round here last season.
Felix Auger-Aliassime played his first professional grass tournamnet last week, in Stuttgart, and the 18-year-old Canadian advanced all the way to the finals where he fell to Matteo Berrettini in straight sets. Auger-Aliassime is having a breakout season as he is currently 28-15 on the season and on the brink of making his top 20 debut. The Canadian made it to the final of the Blois clay Challenger event during this week last season.
I like Grigor Dimitrov to take care of the youngster on Tuesday.
This will be the first meeting between the two.
YTD Tennis Results: 243-158
Fever-Tree Championships Results: 1-1
32 men head to London looking to lift the season’s sixth ATP 500 trophy of the season. There have been five different champions in the previous five ATP 500 events, but there is a good chance there is a repeat winner this week, whether it be in London or Halle. Last season Marin Cilic lifted the trophy after taking out Fernando Verdasco, Gilles Miller, Sam Querrey, Nick Kyrgios and Novak Djokovic.
Six main draw matches start the Fever-Tree Championships with #2 Kevin Anderson, #4 Daniil Medvedev and #5 Marin Cilic all getting their week started.
Below are my two best bets for the first day of action at the Queen’s Club.
Frances Tiafoe (-175) vs Nicolas Mahut (+125)
Frances Tiafoe kick started his grass season last week, in Hertogenbosch, with a win against Joao Sousa, but eventually fell in the second round to Jordan Thompson. Tiafoe has had a rough go of it this season, besides his run to the Australian Open quarterfinals, as his 2019 record now sits at 13-16. Tiafoe has a career 9-9 record on the grass, but did make a run to the quarterfinals here last season.
Nicolas Mahut successfully qualified for the Fever-Tree Championships after knocking off Nicolas Jarry and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina over the last two days. Mahut started his grass season last week, but fell to Davidovich Fokina in the first qualifying round in Hertogenbosch. Mahut has been a very good grass player throughout his career as he has won four ATP titles on the surface, three in Hertogenbosch and one in Newport, and has a career 80-44 record on the surface. Mahut fell in the qualifying stages here last season.
I like Frances Tiafoe to get the win Monday.
Frances Tiafoe leads the H2H 1-0, but this will be the first meeting on grass. The two met on the hardcourts of Paris last season when Tiafoe came away with a straight set win.
Alexander Bublik (-139) vs Diego Schwartzman (+100)
Alexander Bublik will make his 2019 main draw grass debut after successfully beating Jack Draper and Tommy Paul in the qualifying stages. Bublik started his grass season last week, in Stuttgart, but fell in the second qualifying round to Feliciano Lopez. Bublik has a career 9-9 record on the grass and did not compete during this week last season.
Diego Schwartzman, who is known for being a very good clay court player, will make his 2019 grass debit this week looking to get more than one win on the surface this season. The Argentine has not played a lot of tennis on grass, as he has a career 1-8 record on the surface, but this is the earliest he has started his grass season.
I like Diego Schwartzman to get the win on Monday.
This will be the first meeting between the two.
YTD Tennis Results: 238-155
Fever-Tree Championships Results: