Barcelona Open Best Bets – April 27th
The Barcelona Open has its four semifinalist after a straightforward Friday in Spain. Everyone who was expected to win did exactly that, in straight sets, and that leads to a great semifinal bracket. The #1 seed Rafael Nadal will face off against the #3 seed Dominic Thiem after both knocked off their quaretfinal round opponents in straight sets. In the second semifinal #4 Kei Nishikori faces off against #7 Daniil Medvedev after they also knocked out their quarterfinal opponents in straight sets.
Saturday has a ton of star power and it should be a great day of tennis in Spain.
Here are my two best bets for the semifinal action in Barcelona.
Kei Nishikori (-125) vs Daniil Medvedev (+100)
Two time Barcelona champion Kei Nishikori enters the semifinal round this year without really being challenged yet. The world #7, Nishikori entered this tournament on a three match losing streak, but with three wins this week he enters his fourth semifinal of the season. Daniil Medvedev is in the best form of his career at the moment, specifically on clay, as he has now advanced to the semifinals last week in Monaco and is now through to the semifinal in Barcelona. Medvedev had one win on clay since the beginning of 2017, but now has seven wins in the last two weeks. Medvedev is in the better form, but I like Kei Nishikori to advance to the finals.
Kei Nishikori leads the H2H 2-1 and leads 1-0 on clay.
Rafael Nadal (-333) vs Dominic Thiem (+250)
11-time Barcelona champion Rafael Nadal knocks out the inform Jan-Lennard Struff in straight sets Friday. Nadal got off to a low start this tournament, losing the first set against Leonardo Mayer Wednesday, but he looks to have regained his normal clay form. Nadal was upset in the Monaco semifinal last week, against Fabio Fognini, so Rafa will look to avoid that same feat this week. Dominic Thiem is one of only three men to beat Rafa on the clay three times, so even with a 3-7 record on the surface Thiem will not be scared. The Austrian had a rough start to the season, but then won the biggest title of his career out of nowhere on the hardcourts of Miami a few weeks back. With his three wins this week Thiem now sits at 5-3 on the season on clay. I think Dominic Thiem gets the win on Saturday.
Rafael Nadal leads the H2H 8-3 and leads the clay court H2H battle 7-3.
YTD Tennis Results: 89-58
Barcelona Open Results: 6-4
Barcelona Open Best Bets – April 26th
There Barcelona has its quarterfinal field set after seven matches on Thursday. It was an eventful Round of 16 in Spain as we saw three upsets and a few three set matches that ended up being two of those upsets. Nicolas Jarry, +200, knocked off Grigor Dimitrov in a three set comeback, Roberto Carballes-Baena, +200, knocked off Christian Garin and Jan-Lennard Struff, +275, knocked off Stefanos Tsitsipas. Rafa, Dominic Thiem, Kei Nishikori and Daniil Medvedev all advanced in straight sets.
The quarterfinals on Friday will consist of Rafael Nadal vs Jan-Lennard Struff, Dominic Thiem vs Guido Pella, Roberto Carballes-Baena vs Kei Nishikori and Daniil Medvedev vs Nicolas Jarry.
Here are my two best bets for Friday’s action in Barcelona.
Daniil Medvedev (-357) vs Nicolas Jarry (+275)
Daniil Medvedev is off to a great start this season, going 23-7 overall, and is in the best form of his career on the clay. The young Russian won just one match on dirt in 2017 and 2018 combined, but so far this season he has already won six matches on the dirt and is through to his second consecutive quarterfinal appearance. The Monto Carlo semifinalist, Medvedev, will have a tricky opponent on Friday when he faces off against Nicolas Jarry. The young Chilean has needed three sets in all three matches this week, but has knocked off Alex Zverev and Grigor Dimitrov en route to his first quarterfinal of the season. I actually like Nicolas Jarry to pull the upset against in this one.
This is the first meeting between the two.
Kei Nishikori (-333) vs Roberto Carballes Baena (+250)
Two-time Barcelona champion Kei Nishikori looks to regain some form this week after entering on a three match losing streak. Nishikori easily knocked off the in-form Felix Auger Aliassime on Thursday and has a very favorable matchup in the quarterfinal. This will be Nishikori’s fourth quarterfinal of the season while his opponent on Thursday will be playing in his second quarterfinal of 2019. Roberto Carballes Baena took advantage of his lucky loser entry into Barcelona and has kept up his recent good form on clay. The Spaniard won the Challenger title in Murcia a few weeks back, but lost in the final qualifying stages this week before entering the draw after the withdrawal of Fabio Fognini. Kei Nishikori advances to the semifinals.
This is the first meeting between the two.
YTD Tennis Results: 85-56
Barcelona Open Results: 5-3
Barcelona Open Best Bets – April 25th
There were 10 matches on Wednesday at the Barcelona Open and it was pretty easy work for all of the favorites. The only upset of the day was Mackenzie McDonald, who went off at +175, knocking out Gilles Simon in straight sets. Rafael Nadal struggled in his opening round match needing three sets to come back and beat Leonardo Mayer. Felix Auger-Aliassime, Daniil Medvedev, Guido Pella, Grigor Dimitrov and Benoit Paire all advanced on Wednesday.
The Round of 16 will feature Kei Nishikori vs Felix Auger-Aliassime and Guido Pella vs Benoit Paire.
Here are my two best bets for Thursday’s action in Barcelona.
Christian Garin (-189) vs Roberto Carballes Baena (+150)
Christian Garin continued his breakout 2019, and extended his winning streak to seven, with a straight set victory over Denis Shapovalov Wednesday. Garin won his first career ATP tournament, two weeks ago in Houston, and looks to be carrying that momentum into Europe. Garin will look to advance to his third straight clay court quarterfinal with a win against Roberto Carballes Baena on Thursday. The Spaniard, who entered the draw as a lucky loser, took advantage of a comfortable opponent and to advance to the Round of 16. Carballes Baena is 12-6 on clay this season and won a Challenger title, but Christian Garin gets to the quarters.
Roberto Carballes Baena leads the H2H 1-0 with that one match taking place on clay.
Guido Pella (-139) vs Benoit Paire (+110)
Two men who are enjoying the best periods of their career face off for a spot in the quarterfinals of the Barcelona Open Thursday. Guido Pella knocked out Karen Khachanov in straight sets to improve his 2019 clay record to 16-4. The Sao Paulo champion will look to advance to his fourth clay court quarterfinal of the season with a win against Benoit Paire. The Frenchman is also in great form at the moment having won the clay court title in Monaco two weeks past. Currently on a seven match winning streak, Paire sits at 12-2 on clay this season, but faces a tricky opponent on Thursday. This will be a good one and Guido Pella advances.
This will be the first meeting between the two.
YTD Tennis Results: 81-54
Barcelona Open Results: 4-2
Barcelona Open Best Bets – April 24th
The second day of action at the Barcelona Open took place on Tuesday and two huge upsets took place. Nicolas Jarry, who went off at +350, came back from a set down to knock out the #2 seed Alex Zverev to continue the poor form from the talented German. The other big upset was local wildcard, Nicola Kuhn, who went off at +350, knocked out veteran Federico Delbonis in three sets. Jan-Leonard Struff and Malek Jazziri also pulled out upsets during day two to add to a very exciting day. Kei Nishikori, Christian Garin, Jaume Munar, Dominic Thiem and Stefanos Tsitsipas also booked their tickets to the Round of 16.
The final 16 will be finalized on Wednesday with the likes of Rafael Nadal, Felix Auger-Aliassime, Fabio Fognini and Denis Shapovalov all in action.
Here are my two best bets for Wednesday in Barcelona.
Benoit Paire (-278) vs Pablo Carreno-Busta (+200)
Benoit Paire improved his winning streak to six matches after his first round win over Juan Londero on Monday. The Frenchman won the tournament in Morocco last week and currently sits at 10-2 on the season on the clay and has upped his total season record to 16-12 following this good run of form. Pablo Carreno-Busta returns to action after a two and a half month layoff, due to a shoulder injury, and will look to turn his season around. The Spaniard made a Round of 16 run in the Aussie Open, but was forced to retire the next tournament and has not played since. The lack of match time for Carreno-Busta, plus the recent form of Paire, is the reason for the high odds in this one, but I like Pablo Carreno-Busta to pull off the upset.
Benoit Paire leads the H2H 5-4, but Carreno-Busta leads 3-2 on clay.
Christian Garin (-139) vs Denis Shapovalov (+100)
The reigning U.S. Men’s Clay Court champion, Christian Garin, upped his winning streak to six matches after an easy two set win over Martin Klizan on Tuesday. Having made two clay court finals this season, and winning one, Garin is high on confidence heading into this interesting match against Denis Shapovalov. The Canadian, who just turned 20 a few weeks back, left Monaco with a disappointing first round defeat at the hands of Jan-Lennard Struff. Since competing primarily on the ATP tour Shapovalov has not had much success on the clay court, going 8-10 combined in 2017 and 2018, so he will look to get some momentum this week in Spain. Shapovalov is the more talented player overall between the two, but on the clay I like Garin to get the win.
Denis Shapovalov leads the H2H 1-0, but that one match was a Davis Cup match, so this will be the first meeting between the two in an ATP match.
YTD Tennis Results: 77-52
Barcelona Open Results: 3-1
Barcelona Open Best Bets – April 23rd
The Barcelona got underway with 10 matches and it was a fairly straightforward display by all of the favorites. The only underdog to win was Mackenzie McDonald, who went off at +240, knocked out Taro Daniel easily in straight sets. A few matches went to three sets, with the big favorite dropping the first set, but the favorites easily won the last two sets in each of those which is setting up a fun week of tennis in Barcelona.
There are 12 matches on Tuesday with Kei Nishikori vs Taylor Fritz, Alex Zverev vs Nick Jarry, Frances Tiafoe vs Jaume Munar and Dominic Thiem vs Diego Schwartzman headline the day.
Here are my two best bets for Tuesday in Barcelona.
Christian Garin (-175) vs Martin Klizan (+125)
Christian Garin is enjoying a breakout year on the ATP tour after dominating the Challenger circuit the last few years. Garin is a clay court specialist and his talent is finally coming to fruition this season after winning three Challenger titles in 2018 on this surface. Earlier in 2019 Garin made his first final, in Sao Paulo, and then just two weeks ago in Houston the young Chilean won his first career ATP title. Garin won 15 matches in a row on clay, to end last season, and will look to increase his current five match winning streak this week in Barcelona. Garin has a really rough first round opponent in veteran Slovak Martin Klizan. The Slovak has won four career ATP titles on clay and is coming off a 38-12 season in 2018. This should be a very fun matchup and I like Christian Garin to get the win.
This will be the first meeting between the two.
David Goffin (-200) vs Jan-Lennard Struff (+150)
David Goffin is having a rough start to 2019 as he currently sits at 9-9 on the season and has made just one quarterfinal appearance all season. Goffin ran into a hot Dusan Lajovic last week in Monaco and had a disappointing second round defeat. The Belgian had a breakthrough season on clay, all the way back in 2014, where he went 28-5 and won his first ATP title, but since that season he hasn’t won a single clay court title even though he has had a nice record on the surface. Goffin’s first round opponent is the big serving German Jan-Lennard Struff. The German is just 10-9 on the season, but did have a nice win over Denis Shapovalov last week in Monaco. Struff has never won an ATP title, but he has won three Challenger, and two ITF, titles on this surface. This is going to be tight, but I like Goffin to get through to the second round.
David Goffin leads the H2H 4-0, but this is the first meeting on clay between the two.
YTD Tennis Results: 75-48
Barcelona Open Results: 2-0
The 5th ATP 500 event of the season takes place in Barcelona, Spain and 11-time champion Rafael Nadal headlines the field. Nadal has won three straight Barcelona Open titles and will look to bounce back from a semifinal beat down in Monaco. Two time champion Kei Nishikori enters the field as the four seed and is joined by the likes of Alex Zverev, Dominic Thiem, Fabio Fognini and Stefanos Tsitsipas.
Even though the same man seems to win every single year, this tournament usually produces a great week of tennis and this week should be no different.
Here are my two best bets for the first day of action in Barcelona.
Benoit Paire (-189) vs Juan Londero (+137)
Benoit Paire has turned his season around since hitting the clay surface. Paire had surprise run in Marrakech and ended up lifting his first title since Bastad 2015. The Frenchman had a 10-12 overall record before winning five matches in Morocco and now sits at 9-2 on the dirt this season. Paire’s first round opponent has also won an ATP title this season, and on clay, as Juan Londero win Cordoba during the South American clay court swing. Londero has won just three main draw matches since that title winning run in Argentina and it is surprising to see the odds this low. You never know if he is going to be focused, but Paire wins in straight sets.
This will be the first meeting between the two.
Fernando Verdasco (-200) vs Feliciano Lopez (+150)
35-year-old Fernando Verdasco takes on 37-year-old Feliciano Lopez in this all Spaniard first round affair in Barcelona. Verdasco has won three career clay court titles, and won this tournamnet in 2010, is currently on three match losing streak and has lost in back-to-back first rounds on the dirt. Verdasco won just 33 matches in 2018, but 14 of them came on clay courts, so he generally comfortable on this surface. His opponent in the first round is Feliciano Lopez who is in the twilight of his great career. Lopez has won one clay court ATP title throughout his career and has never had a great record on the dirt, so it is surprising to see Verdasco not favored by more. Despite the recent poor form I like Verdasco to get the win.
The H2H is tied 6-6 overall and is tied 1-1 on clay.
YTD Tennis Results: 71-48
Barcelona Open Results: