Star power will be on display in the NBA on Saturday night, when the Portland Trail Blazers face the Dallas Mavericks. Damian Lillard and Luka Doncic will lead their respective teams into this contest, in a game featuring two teams in the top-eight in the Western Conference. In our NBA predictions for Saturday night, we look at Trail Blazers vs Mavericks from Dallas.
Trail Blazers vs Mavericks Betting Pick
This game will be played at American Airlines Center at 8:30 PM ET on Saturday, November 12, 2022.
Why Bet The Under:
✅ These two teams have hung their hats on playing defense so far this season. They are both in the top-10 in defensive rating this year, and both are outside of the top-10 in offensive rating. Expect a defensive battle to go under the total here.
✅ This contest is going to feature a slow pace, as both of these teams are in the bottom-three in the NBA in pace. Methodical halfcourt possessions will limit the number of possessions in the game, reducing the margin of error from a shooting perspective, en route to an under.
✅ From a simple line reading perspective, this under is a great play to go against the grain with the star power on the floor. Bettors are going to expect Lillard and Doncic to light it up, but they both lack consistent support from their teams offensively.
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
Dallas Mavericks
Team Stats Per Game
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
Offense/Defense
POR | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | DAL |
---|---|---|
82 | Games | 79 |
40.1 | FG | 43.6 |
91.3 | FGA | 91.8 |
.439 | FG% | .475 |
11.7 | 3Pt-FG | 13.4 |
33.8 | 3Pt-FGA | 36.3 |
.345 | 3Pt% | .368 |
28.4 | 2Pt-FG | 30.2 |
57.5 | 2Pt-FGA | 55.5 |
.494 | 2Pt% | .545 |
16.5 | FT | 17.1 |
20.9 | FTA | 22.3 |
.791 | FT% | .768 |
12.9 | ORB | 11.1 |
30.7 | DRB | 31.6 |
43.5 | TRB | 42.8 |
23.5 | AST | 28.0 |
7.8 | STL | 7.5 |
4.4 | BLK | 4.1 |
15.5 | TOV | 13.0 |
20.5 | PF | 20.9 |
108.3 | PTS | 117.6 |
Defense/Offense
POR | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | DAL |
---|---|---|
82 | Games | 79 |
43.3 | FG | 44.0 |
88.2 | FGA | 91.1 |
.491 | FG% | .483 |
11.9 | 3Pt-FG | 15.0 |
33.9 | 3Pt-FGA | 40.2 |
.351 | 3Pt% | .373 |
31.4 | 2Pt-FG | 29.0 |
54.3 | 2Pt-FGA | 50.8 |
.578 | 2Pt% | .571 |
19.1 | FT | 17.5 |
24.1 | FTA | 23.1 |
.792 | FT% | .758 |
10.8 | ORB | 9.9 |
33.9 | DRB | 30.7 |
44.6 | TRB | 40.5 |
27.6 | AST | 26.2 |
9.1 | STL | 7.0 |
6.6 | BLK | 5.0 |
14.6 | TOV | 11.7 |
18.2 | PF | 18.8 |
117.5 | PTS | 120.6 |
Four Factors
Offense/Defense
POR | Four Factors | DAL |
---|---|---|
.503 | eFG% | .547 |
13.4 | TOV% | 11.4 |
27.5 | RB% | 73.3 |
.181 | FT/FGA | .186 |
Defense/Offense
POR | Four Factors | DAL |
---|---|---|
.558 | eFG% | .566 |
12.8 | TOV% | 10.3 |
74.0 | RB% | 23.8 |
.216 | FT/FGA | .193 |
Analytics
POR | Analytics | DAL |
---|---|---|
20 | Pythag Wins | 46 |
62 | Pythag Losses | 33 |
-9.02 | Margin Of Victory | 2.90 |
108.3 | O Rtg | 120.6 |
117.5 | D Rtg | 117.6 |
97.2 | Pace | 98.3 |
.228 | FTr | .254 |
.370 | 3PAr | .442 |
.539 | TS% | .595 |
Betting Trends
POR | Betting Trends | DAL |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
3-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-3-0 |
107 | Avg Score | 96 |
99 | Avg Opp Score | 100.33 |
AWAY | HOME | |
3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
3-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-3-0 |
107 | Avg Score | 103.33 |
99 | Avg Opp Score | 101.33 |
POR | Betting Trends | DAL |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
4-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-5-0 |
102.2 | Avg Score | 100.4 |
101 | Avg Opp Score | 102.2 |
AWAY | HOME | |
4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
4-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-4-1 |
102.2 | Avg Score | 107 |
101 | Avg Opp Score | 105.2 |
POR | Betting Trends | DAL |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
8-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-7-1 |
108.1 | Avg Score | 110.4 |
106 | Avg Opp Score | 106.7 |
AWAY | HOME | |
6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-5-1 |
99.8 | Avg Score | 111.5 |
107 | Avg Opp Score | 102.7 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Portland Trail Blazers
So far this season, the Portland Trail Blazers have been one of the pleasant surprises in the NBA. They are 9-3 and sit in second place in the Western Conference standings. Additionally, they have overcome a brief absence from Damian Lillard without any significant decline in quality. Here, the Trail Blazers should have Lillard on the floor again, but there is some uncertainty around him entering Saturday night.
There are several key members of the Trail Blazers listed as questionable ahead of this contest, including Jusuf Nurkic, Shaedon Sharpe, and Jerami Grant. If any of them are out for this game, it would make the job of the Trail Blazers significantly more difficult against the defending runners up in the Western Conference.
Dallas Mavericks
The Dallas Mavericks have lost their last two games, entering this matchup at 6-5 on the season and in seventh place in the Western Conference standings. While the Mavs can always count on Luka Doncic to score in large quantities, it has been the rest of the Mavs lacking consistency. Dallas is averaging fewer than 110 points per game, and will need to be sharper on that end of the floor to get this win at home.
So far this year, the Mavericks rank 19th in the NBA in three-point field goal percentage. When players like Dorian Finney-Smith and Reggie Bullock, who are out there almost exclusively to shoot threes, are struggling, it makes for a tough time winning games. Those two and the rest of the team will need to get Doncic some help in a hurry to get the Mavs back to climbing the standings out West.