The Portland Trail Blazers will travel to Dallas to face the Mavericks on Sunday night. Both teams ahve dropped three of their last four games and are desperate for a win to build some momentum. Which team will get that win at American Airlines Center? Continue reading to get my Trail Blazers vs Mavericks prediction for this contest.
Our Trail Blazers vs Mavericks Pick
- Pick: Trail Blazers -3.5
- Confidence: ★★☆☆☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Portland Trail Blazers @ Dallas Mavericks
- Date & Time: Sunday, November 16, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas
- Broadcast: NBA League Pass
Key Storylines
- Injuries: The Blazers are in a rough spot. Damian Lillard is out for the season with an Achilles injury, Scoot Henderson is day-to-day with a hamstring issue, Blake Wesley has a fractured foot, and Matisse Thybulle is recovering from thumb surgery. Their depleted roster means others have to step up.
- Dallas’ struggles: The Mavericks are 3–10 this season, with a poor home record of 2–7. They’re missing key contributors too. Kyrie Irving and Dante Exum have knee issues, and Anthony Davis is day-to-day with a calf injury.
- Blazers’ offense: Despite their injury issues, Portland’s offense has been solid. Deni Avdija is leading the charge, averaging 25.8 points, 6.6 boards, and 4.6 assists per game.
- Pace and scoring potential: Given Portland’s fast tempo and Dallas’ defensive issues, this could be a high-scoring affair. If Anthony Davis is unable to suit up, the scoring could be even higher without Davis to protect the rim for Dallas.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- This is the first meeting of the season between the Trail Blazers and Mavericks.
- Portland is 6-6 against the spread going into this game.
- Dallas is 5-8 against the spread heading into Sunday’s play.
- The over is 9-3 in Trail Blazers games this season.
- The under has cashed 8 times in 13 Mavericks games this year.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Deni Avdija (POR) | Over 24.5 points |
| Jrue Holiday (POR) | Over 7.5 assists |
| Cooper Flagg (DAL) | Over 16.5 points |
Trail Blazers vs Mavericks Model Projection
Score Projection: Portland 118 – Dallas 112
Win Probability: Portland 62%, Dallas 38%
Final Thoughts
The Mavs have home-court advantage in this game, but home-court advantage hasn’t done them a lot of good this year. I’m not expecting Anthony Davis to make a huge impact if he returns and there is no guarantee whatsoever that this will be the day he returns. I’ll lay the points with Portland, as they should take advantage of all of the injuries that have torpedoed this season for the Mavs early on.
