The Oklahoma City Thunder (5-10) will attempt to end their six-game road losing streak in a matchup against the Golden State Warriors (3-14) at Chase Center. The game starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Monday, November 25, 2019, and will air on NBATV.
Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors ATS Prediction
Although the Thunder were defeated by the Los Angeles Lakers in their last contest, 130-127, they did cover as 4.5-point underdogs. The total points for the game (257) finished well over the O/U total of 209. Los Angeles won the rebounding battle. The Lakers had 11 offensive rebounds and 45 total rebounds, while the Thunder had six and 37, respectively. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led Oklahoma City in scoring with 24 points on 10-for-18 shooting.
In the Warriors’ previous game, they fell to the Utah Jazz, 113-109, but did cover as 16-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (222) were over the projected point total of 208.5. Utah’s 20.5 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over Golden State, who had a mark of 13.0. The Jazz’s mark was above their season average of 18.6, while the Warriors’ was below their season average of 22.7. Golden State’s Ky Bowman recorded 17 points, six rebounds and five assists in the contest.
Oklahoma City is 10-5 against the spread (ATS), despite being 5-10 straight up (SU). Just over half of the Thunder’s games have finished under the total.
Meanwhile, Golden State owns records of 3-14 SU and 7-10 ATS. Games featuring the Warriors tend to go over the total (58.8 percent).
The Thunder have won both matchups against the Warriors this season, including a 114-108 victory in their last matchup. Oklahoma City was unable to cover as a 13-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 222 points, which was 6 points above the projected point total of 216 points. Oklahoma City had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (20.0 vs. 14.6). Golden State, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (14.0 vs. 17.2). D’Angelo Russell scored a game-high 30 points.
Thunder at Warriors Betting Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Over
On the road, Oklahoma City is 4-2 ATS with 3 overs and 3 unders.
Golden State is 2-5 ATS at home with 4 overs and 3 unders.
Golden State is 1-1 when they allow less than 100 points, while Oklahoma City is 2-2.
When reaching 100 points, the Thunder are 5-5 and the Warriors are 3-10.
Oklahoma City ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (30.3) while Golden State ranks 22nd (34.8).
The Warriors rank 10th in fast break points per game (14.1) while the Thunder rank 29th (9.4).
Oklahoma City ranks eighth in assists allowed per game (22.9) while Golden State ranks 27th (26.8).
The Warriors rank 19th in second chance points per game (12.5) while the Thunder rank last (9.5).
Oklahoma City ranks 18th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.7) while Golden State ranks 26th (51.3).
The Warriors rank eighth in points off turnovers per game (18.8) while the Thunder rank 15th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.4).
Golden State ranks 23rd in rebounds per game (43.6) while Oklahoma City ranks 25th (42.7).
In its last five contests, Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Golden State is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Thunder’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.6, up from 0.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 103.4 points per game (4.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 112.6 points per game (6.0 below their season average).