The Minnesota Timberwolves (5-4) will face the Sacramento Kings (3-6) on Sunday night in the final game on the NBA schedule for the day. Minnesota enters off a resounding 137-97 blowout win over the Utah Jazz on Friday. Sacramento is coming off a blowout loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder. Who will win this important matchup in the Western Conference? Keep reading to get my Timberwolves vs Kings prediction to find out what my model has to say.
Our Timberwolves vs Kings Pick
Pick: Sacramento Kings +5.5
Confidence: ★★★☆☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Minnesota Timberwolves @ Sacramento Kings
- Date & Time: Sunday, November 9, 2025, 9:00 PM ET
- Venue: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, California
- Broadcast: NBA League Pass
Key Storylines
Minnesota enters this contest fresh off a 40-point win over the Utah Jazz on Friday. Star guard Anthony Edwards erupted for 37 points and forward Julius Randle contributed 19 points, 10 rebounds, and 12 assists in the win. Randle is averaging 25.9 points, 7.2 rebounds, and 6.3 assists per game this season. He has been a stabilizing force for the Wolves with Edwards in and out of the lineup due to injuries.
Sacramento continues to limp through a rough start at 3-6 and is dealing with two important injuries. Forward Keegan Murray is out with a thumb injury and center Domantas Sabonis is questionable with a ribcage contusion. The Kings are averaging just 115.1 points per game while allowing 121.7 points per game. Their rebounding is especially poor, at only 39.7 boards per game, with Sabonis being their only consistent rebounder right now.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- This is the first of three regular-season meetings between the Kings and Timberwolves this year.
- Minnesota is 3-6 against the spread this season.
- Sacramento is 4-5 against the spread entering this matchup.
- The Timberwolves have gone over the total in seven of their first nine games.
- The over has hit in six of Sacramento’s first nine games.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards | Over 28.5 points |
| Julius Randle | Over 6.5 assists |
| Zach LaVine | Over 21.5 points |
Timberwolves vs Kings Model Projection
Score Projection: Timberwolves 120 – Kings 117
Win Probability: Timberwolves 60%, Kings 40%
Final Thoughts
I’m going to take the points with the Sacramento Kings in this matchup. Sacramento should have Sabonis available for this game despite his injury situation. That should help the Kings to stay attached at home in this matchup from Golden 1 Center in a game between teams looking to climb the standings in the Western Conference.
