For the second time in the span of a week, the Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets will face off in the NBA. Minnesota won the first of those meetings, in a game where the Nuggets rested nearly all of their influential players. This time around, the Nuggets will be much closer to full strength and at home. In our NBA betting picks for Tuesday, we break down this Timberwolves vs Nuggets matchup.
Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Under 235.5 |
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This game will be played at Ball Arena at 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, February 7, 2023.
Why Bet the Under:
✅ The Timberwolves scored 128 points against the Nuggets in their meeting over the weekend. But that was against a Nuggets lineup that was without Nikola Jokic and other top stars. Against a more serious lineup, the Wolves will encounter some struggles on offense.
✅ The Nuggets are 27-27 on the over/under market for the season, but that number has dipped at home. At Ball Arena, the Nuggets have gone under the total in 16 of their 29 games, and they will do so again here.
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
Team Stats Per Game
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
Offense/Defense
| MIN | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Games | 24 |
| 39.8 | FG | 42.6 |
| 86.8 | FGA | 91.0 |
| .459 | FG% | .468 |
| 15.1 | 3Pt-FG | 13.6 |
| 40.7 | 3Pt-FGA | 37.9 |
| .371 | 3Pt% | .359 |
| 24.8 | 2Pt-FG | 29.0 |
| 46.1 | 2Pt-FGA | 53.1 |
| .537 | 2Pt% | .545 |
| 16.7 | FT | 15.2 |
| 21.1 | FTA | 20.0 |
| .794 | FT% | .759 |
| 9.7 | ORB | 11.7 |
| 33.8 | DRB | 31.1 |
| 43.5 | TRB | 42.8 |
| 25.2 | AST | 28.9 |
| 8.9 | STL | 8.9 |
| 4.8 | BLK | 5.7 |
| 16.2 | TOV | 14.6 |
| 18.5 | PF | 20.7 |
| 111.5 | PTS | 113.9 |
Defense/Offense
| MIN | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Games | 24 |
| 40.0 | FG | 43.3 |
| 88.3 | FGA | 87.5 |
| .454 | FG% | .494 |
| 11.8 | 3Pt-FG | 11.3 |
| 35.5 | 3Pt-FGA | 29.7 |
| .333 | 3Pt% | .380 |
| 28.2 | 2Pt-FG | 32.0 |
| 52.8 | 2Pt-FGA | 57.8 |
| .535 | 2Pt% | .553 |
| 15.3 | FT | 18.7 |
| 19.4 | FTA | 24.9 |
| .788 | FT% | .753 |
| 10.7 | ORB | 10.8 |
| 32.9 | DRB | 33.2 |
| 43.7 | TRB | 44.0 |
| 24.1 | AST | 30.1 |
| 9.5 | STL | 8.9 |
| 4.9 | BLK | 4.6 |
| 16.4 | TOV | 14.5 |
| 19.7 | PF | 18.0 |
| 107.2 | PTS | 116.5 |
Four Factors
Offense/Defense
| MIN | Four Factors | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| .546 | eFG% | .542 |
| 14.4 | TOV% | 12.8 |
| 22.7 | RB% | 74.0 |
| .193 | FT/FGA | .166 |
Defense/Offense
| MIN | Four Factors | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| .520 | eFG% | .559 |
| 14.5 | TOV% | 12.9 |
| 75.9 | RB% | 25.7 |
| .173 | FT/FGA | .214 |
Analytics
| MIN | Analytics | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pythag Wins | 14 |
| 9 | Pythag Losses | 10 |
| 4.24 | Margin Of Victory | 2.71 |
| 111.5 | O Rtg | 116.5 |
| 107.2 | D Rtg | 113.9 |
| 97.7 | Pace | 101.4 |
| .243 | FTr | .284 |
| .469 | 3PAr | .339 |
| .580 | TS% | .592 |
Betting Trends
| MIN | Betting Trends | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 122.33 | Avg Score | 120 |
| 113 | Avg Opp Score | 117.67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-0-0 |
| 114.33 | Avg Score | 128 |
| 114.33 | Avg Opp Score | 112.67 |
| MIN | Betting Trends | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 119 | Avg Score | 120.2 |
| 113.4 | Avg Opp Score | 118.4 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-1-0 |
| 113 | Avg Score | 123.4 |
| 114.8 | Avg Opp Score | 110 |
| MIN | Betting Trends | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
| 7-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
| 117.2 | Avg Score | 115.4 |
| 111.8 | Avg Opp Score | 112.7 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-7-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
| 5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-3-1 |
| 112.8 | Avg Score | 122.8 |
| 116 | Avg Opp Score | 110.3 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Minnesota Timberwolves
The Minnesota Timberwolves enjoyed a blowout win over the Denver Nuggets in their last outing. They held Denver under 100 points, taking full advantage of the fact that the Nuggets rested several key players on the second leg of a back to back. Here, the Wolves will play a much more respectable Nuggets squad, which could cause this game to flip a different outcome.
In this game, there are several members of the Timberwolves that are questionable for this contest. Rudy Gobert, Kyle Anderson, and Jordan McLaughlin are all questionable for this game, while Austin Rivers is still serving a suspension. A shorthanded Wolves team could have some real trouble hanging with the Nuggets in the Mile High City.
Denver Nuggets
The Denver Nuggets are one of three teams in the NBA sitting at 20 games above .500 heading into Tuesday night. They are 37-17 this season, and are a league-best 25-4 at home on the year. Here, they will try to get back into the win column and exact revenge on the Timberwolves for the loss Minnesota dealt them over the weekend.
To put it bluntly, the way that the Nuggets approached their last game against the Timberwolves was shameful. Protecting players from injury is one thing, but sitting nearly every key player and continuing to bench Bones Hyland despite all of those available minutes, was unbecoming of a pro basketball team. Here, expect a lot more effort from the Nuggets with their top players back on the floor.
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