The Houston Rockets will visit the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday night. Houston comes into this game on a four-game winning streak and will try to continue that streak against a Grizzlies team that has dropped three games in a row. Here, I break down this Western Conference matchup in the NBA and give you my Rockets vs Grizzlies prediction before tip-off.
Our Rockets vs Grizzlies Pick
- Pick: Houston Rockets -7.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Houston Rockets @ Memphis Grizzlies
- Date & Time: Wednesday, November 5, 2025, 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: FedExForum, Memphis, Tennessee
- Broadcast: NBA League Pass
Key Storylines
- Rockets’ momentum: Houston enters this game at 4–2 and are winners of their last four games. That includes a 110‑102 home victory over the Dallas Mavericks in their last outing. Amen Thompson scored 27, Alperen Şengün tallied 26 and 11 rebounds, and Kevin Durant added 21 in the win. Houston showed balance despite missing starter Jabari Smith Jr. with an ankle injury.
- Grizzlies’ struggles: Memphis is 3–5 overall and has lost three straight games. They were defeated 114‑106 at home by the Detroit Pistons in their most recent outing, where shooting woes and defensive lapses re‑emerged. They are under pressure to stop the skid, especially with Ja Morant clearly not being happy in his current situation with the team.
- Injuries & roster factors: Houston is without Fred VanVleet and Dorian Finney-Smith due to injury. Smith Jr. and Steven Adams are also questionable for Houston. Memphis is without Zach Edey, Ty Jerome, Scotty Pippen Jr., and Brandon Clarke.
Head‑to‑Head & Betting Trends
- This is the first game between the Rockets and Grizzlies this season. They will play four times during the regular season.
- ATS records: Houston is 4‑2‑0 ATS so far this season. Memphis is 2‑6‑0 ATS going into this matchup.
- Over/Under trends: Houston is 4-1-1 on their over/unders to begin this year. Memphis has gone under the total five times in their first eight games.
- Home/Road splits: Memphis is 2–3 at home so far this season. Houston is 2-1 on the road.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Kevin Durant (Houston) | Over 25.5 points |
| Alperen Şengün (Houston) | Over 21.5 points |
| Ja Morant (Memphis) | Under 21.5 points |
Rockets vs Grizzlies Model Projection
Score Projection: Houston Rockets 125 – Memphis Grizzlies 113
Win Probability: Houston Rockets 70%, Memphis Grizzlies 30%
Final Thoughts
Things look bleak right now for the Memphis Grizzlies. They aren’t performing well on the court, but the real concern is with their chemistry. Ja Morant is not acting like a leader should act behind the scenes and the struggles for the Grizzlies might continue to get worse until the team figures out how to handle him specifically. I’ll lay the points with the Rockets here, who are trending in the right direction and should take advantage of the dysfunction in Memphis.
