The Los Angeles Clippers (1-1) will be at home in Staples Center when they meet the Golden State Warriors (1-1) in game three of the First Round of the Western Conference Playoffs. Golden State opened as an 8.5-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 237 points. Tip-off is set for 10:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, April 18, 2019, and it can be seen on TNT.
Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Clippers ATS Preview
In game two, these two teams combined to put up 266 points, well over the projected point total of 235. The Clippers won 135-131, covering as 14-point underdogs. Los Angeles had a better turnover percentage (16.2 vs. 18.8). Golden State, meanwhile, did a terrific job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (40-45; 88.9 percent). Williams put up a double-double in the victory with 36 points and 11 assists.
The physical Los Angeles offense might be living from the charity stripe in this battle. The Clippers currently rank first in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.258, while Golden State ranks 21st in FTA rate allowed (0.206). Moreover, the top-ranked offense of the Warriors (offensive efficiency of 114.5) will try to exploit the 21st-ranked defense of the Clippers (defensive efficiency of 109.7).
Of Golden State’s 84 games, 45 have finished under the projected point total, while 46 of Los Angeles’ 84 games have finished over the O/U total. The Warriors hold the significant advantage straight up (SU) (58-26 vs. 49-35), but the Clippers have the better against the spread (ATS) record (46-37-1 vs. 36-47-1).
Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Clippers Odds Prediction
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Clippers, O/U – Over
The Warriors average 19.3 fast break points per game, which ranks third in the NBA. The Clippers rank 22nd in fast break points allowed per game (15.1).
Golden State ranks 15th in points off turnovers per game (16.3) while Los Angeles ranks 25th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.8).
Golden State ranks first in assists per game (29.5) while Los Angeles ranks 18th (24.1).
Los Angeles averages 13.1 second chance points per game, which ranks 17th in the league. Golden State ranks 20th in second chance points allowed per game (13.7).
Golden State is 19-22 ATS on the road with 22 overs and 19 unders.
At home, Los Angeles is 22-19 ATS with 27 overs, 13 unders and 1 push.
Los Angeles is 7-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Golden State is 10-0.
The Warriors are 58-18 when they reach the century mark, while the Clippers are 49-26.
The Warriors average 7.7 steals per game, which ranks 13th in the league. The Clippers rank 24th in steals allowed per game (8.3).
Golden State ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.6) while Los Angeles ranks 29th (6.2).
The Clippers rank eighth in points in the paint per game (51.1) while the Warriors rank 28th (43.2).
The Warriors average 46.2 rebounds per game, which ranks 11th in the league. The Clippers rank 20th in rebounds allowed per game (45.8).
Golden State ranks eighth in three pointers attempted per game (34.3) while Los Angeles ranks 27th (25.9).
Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Across its past five outings, Golden State is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
The Clippers have been outscored by an average of 7.8 points in their last five games. For the season, Los Angeles has defeated opponents by an average of 0.7 points.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 122.4 points per game (4.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 115.6 points per game (4.2 above their season average).