On Tuesday night, the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat will face off in a rematch of last year’s Eastern Conference Finals. Boston comes into this contest on the second leg of a back to back, while the Heat are at home and on normal rest. In our NBA betting picks for Tuesday, we break down this Celtics vs Heat matchup from Miami.
Celtics vs Heat Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Heat -3 |
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This game will be played at Miami-Dade Arena at 7:30 PM ET on Tuesday, January 24, 2023.
Why Bet the Heat:
✅ Boston comes into this game on the second leg of a back to back after losing to the Orlando Magic on Monday night. The Celtics are dealing with some injuries at the moment, and a back to back is not good news for them at this point in the season.
✅ Miami has been solid at home this season, going 15-9 at the now Miami-Dade Arena. Their last two home games were impressive wins over the Pelicans and Bucks, and they will keep things rolling at home here.
✅ Miami’s defense ranks second to the Cleveland Cavaliers in points allowed this season at 108.4 points per game. They will make things much tougher than usual on the explosive offensive of the Celtics.
NBA
Boston Celtics
Miami Heat
Team Stats Per Game
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
Offense/Defense
| BOS | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Games | 24 |
| 42.0 | FG | 41.3 |
| 91.7 | FGA | 89.4 |
| .458 | FG% | .462 |
| 19.1 | 3Pt-FG | 14.1 |
| 51.4 | 3Pt-FGA | 38.5 |
| .372 | 3Pt% | .366 |
| 22.9 | 2Pt-FG | 27.2 |
| 40.3 | 2Pt-FGA | 50.9 |
| .568 | 2Pt% | .535 |
| 17.6 | FT | 14.9 |
| 22.1 | FTA | 18.5 |
| .796 | FT% | .803 |
| 10.6 | ORB | 11.2 |
| 34.4 | DRB | 35.1 |
| 45.1 | TRB | 46.3 |
| 26.2 | AST | 27.5 |
| 7.5 | STL | 7.1 |
| 5.6 | BLK | 5.3 |
| 12.2 | TOV | 15.6 |
| 16.5 | PF | 19.5 |
| 120.7 | PTS | 111.6 |
Defense/Offense
| BOS | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Games | 24 |
| 42.0 | FG | 40.7 |
| 91.2 | FGA | 89.9 |
| .461 | FG% | .453 |
| 12.5 | 3Pt-FG | 15.0 |
| 35.6 | 3Pt-FGA | 39.7 |
| .350 | 3Pt% | .379 |
| 29.6 | 2Pt-FG | 25.7 |
| 55.5 | 2Pt-FGA | 50.2 |
| .532 | 2Pt% | .511 |
| 13.9 | FT | 18.2 |
| 18.1 | FTA | 23.3 |
| .771 | FT% | .782 |
| 10.3 | ORB | 10.5 |
| 34.2 | DRB | 34.2 |
| 44.5 | TRB | 44.7 |
| 24.5 | AST | 26.8 |
| 7.1 | STL | 9.2 |
| 4.1 | BLK | 3.6 |
| 13.6 | TOV | 13.1 |
| 19.5 | PF | 16.5 |
| 110.5 | PTS | 114.7 |
Four Factors
Offense/Defense
| BOS | Four Factors | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| .563 | eFG% | .541 |
| 10.7 | TOV% | 13.8 |
| 23.7 | RB% | 75.3 |
| .192 | FT/FGA | .166 |
Defense/Offense
| BOS | Four Factors | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| .529 | eFG% | .537 |
| 12.1 | TOV% | 11.6 |
| 77.0 | RB% | 23.0 |
| .153 | FT/FGA | .203 |
Analytics
| BOS | Analytics | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pythag Wins | 14 |
| 6 | Pythag Losses | 10 |
| 10.15 | Margin Of Victory | 3.08 |
| 120.7 | O Rtg | 114.7 |
| 110.5 | D Rtg | 111.6 |
| 98.2 | Pace | 97.1 |
| .241 | FTr | .259 |
| .561 | 3PAr | .442 |
| .595 | TS% | .573 |
Betting Trends
| BOS | Betting Trends | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 0-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 108.33 | Avg Score | 104.67 |
| 111.67 | Avg Opp Score | 103 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-1-1 |
| 111.33 | Avg Score | 106.33 |
| 111.67 | Avg Opp Score | 97.67 |
| BOS | Betting Trends | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 115.4 | Avg Score | 107.6 |
| 111.8 | Avg Opp Score | 105 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-2-1 |
| 113 | Avg Score | 106.4 |
| 107.8 | Avg Opp Score | 101.2 |
| BOS | Betting Trends | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 9-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
| 5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-5-1 |
| 116.3 | Avg Score | 107.2 |
| 108.1 | Avg Opp Score | 104.8 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
| 4-5-1 | ATS W/L/P | 4-5-1 |
| 116 | Avg Score | 107.9 |
| 114.1 | Avg Opp Score | 105.3 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Boston Celtics
The Boston Celtics enter Tuesday night’s game against the Miami Heat off of a loss the night before. They were beaten by the Orlando Magic, with Orlando locking up the season series by a 3-1 margin in the process. Here, the Celtics will aim to get back into the win column to maintain their margin as the team with the best record in the Eastern Conference.
For Boston, it will be interesting to see if there is any resting of players done on the second night of a back to back on the road. But no matter who is on the floor, stopping Jimmy Butler will be key for their success. Butler had a ton of success in the Eastern Conference Finals against the Celtics at the end of last season, including a 47-point game in Boston, and the Celtics have to do more to slow him down.
Miami Heat
The Miami Heat come into this contest having won their last game. They defeated the New Orleans Pelicans at home to improve to 26-22, moving into sixth place in the Eastern Conference. Here, they will look for a win over the Celtics to remain in that sixth position, as the Heat look to avoid the play-in tournament later in the year.
Miami comes into this game largely healthy, with Duncan Robinson being their only real impact player out at the moment. It will be interesting to see if the depth-creating role players of the Heat, such as Max Strus and Gabe Vincent, can shoot well enough in this game to set Miami apart.
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