Jack Hermansson vs Chris Curtis Fight Odds
Jack Hermansson -115 vs Chris Curtis
Fight is at 185 lbs and is -135 to end inside the distance.
This co-main event was put together late in the game after Darren Till was forced to withdraw. Till was the originally scheduled opponent for Jack Hermansson.
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Chris Curtis steps in to replace Darren Till after having just competed in late June. Curtis earned a lopsided decision win over Rodolfo Vieira in that most recent fight. We saw the striking once again that earned him KO wins in each of his first three UFC fights. What was most impressive was the unreal takedown defense in that fight. Curtis was hyper aware to not go to the mat with Vieira, and the exact same game plan would serve him well here. Jack Hermansson does not bring the same level of submission threat as Vieira, but then again, no one does. That said, Hermansson is a very high end grappler and brings a vicious ground and pound element. Once again, look for Curtis to keep the fight upright as he has shown he can do in spades.
Jack Hermansson is a clunky striker, but is very good when considering the striking is, in fact, clunky. Hermansson is a fighter that likes to press forward and mix in leg kicks. I think throwing leg kicks will be a problem for him in this matchup, however. If Hermansson is throwing leg kicks, he is going to be giving reads to the very high end boxer in Curtis. He will also not be trying to get the fight to the mat if throwing those leg kicks. I believe Curtis will take advantage to the body and head if Jack throws more than just a few leg kicks early on. It will be paramount for Hermansson to get this fight to the mat, and I believe he will have real difficulty doing so. Hermansson is simply outclassed as a striker and facing a fighter that has shown truly elite takedown defense.
What To Bet
We are going to see Hermansson press forward and literally walk right right onto shots. Hermansson’s wrestling does not match the quality of his ground game and his offensive wrestling is not on the level of Curtis defensive wrestling. The vast majority of this fight will take place in the stand up, giving every advantage to Chris Curtis. I think a knock out is very much in play, but I am not sure the ITD pricing on Curtis warrants the aggressive step up. I prefer the -105 flat line over the +225 ITD line on Curtis.
Betting Pick: Curtis -105
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