Islam Makhachev By Submission (+110) over Dustin Poirier
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- Makhachev has won four of his last seven fights by submission and we will take that option at plus money in this fight.
- Dustin Poirier has been submitted by Charles Oliveira and Khabib Nurmagomedov in the past and we could very well see the same against another top-level fighter here.
The main event of UFC 302 pits Islam Makhachev against Dustin Poirier in a bout for the UFC lightweight title. Makhachev is a heavy favorite going into this fight, but the prop markets for the fight do offer some opportunities to find some value in a fight where the reigning lightweight champ is a favorite of -575 at the time of this writing. Here, we give you our UFC best bets for Islam Makhachev vs Dustin Poirier in the UFC 302 main event in Newark.
Islam Makhachev
Islam Makhachev comes into UFC 302 as the lightweight champion in UFC, with a 25-1 professional record in mixed martial arts. His last loss came in 2015, which was his second career fight in UFC against Adriano Martins. Makhachev will aim to extend his 13-fight win streak, as he looks to claim his third straight defense of his lightweight title.
What has made Makhachev’s rise to the top of the lightweight division so impressive has been the way he has dispatched his recent opponents. Makhachev has won six of his last seven fights inside the distance, including his most recent fight against Alexander Volkanovski. If he can accomplish that against a truly tough opponent in Poirier here, Makhachev will move his name further up the list of the greatest fighters in the history of this promotion.
Dustin Poirier
Dustin Poirier has seen a mixed bag in terms of results over the last few years. He is 2-2 in his last four fights, losing to Charles Oliveira and Justin Gaethje, while beating Michael Chandler and Benoit Saint Denis. Here, Poirier will look to pick up the best win he has earned in years by beating Makhachev for the lightweight championship.
In UFC, Poirier is 1-2 in title fights in his career, beating Max Holloway while losing to Khabib and Oliveira with gold on the line. To avoid another loss in a title fight, Poirier will need to be at or near his best defensively. While Poirier is known much more for his attacking ability than his ability to shut down the strengths of his opponents, Makhachev has so many ways to break an opponent down that this fight could go very poorly for Poirier if he fights his typical fight.
