In our MLB predictions for Thursday, July 21, we are breaking down an interleague showdown between Texas and Miami to bring you the best Rangers vs Marlins betting pick and odds. These two interleague foes meet for the first time since 2017, and the Marlins are slight home favorites to come out on top.ย ย ย ย
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Rangers vs Marlins Betting Pick
This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 1:10 PM ET on Thursday, July 21, 2022.
Why Bet The Marlins:
โ Pablo Lopez will get the nod for Miami, and the 26-year-old right-hander is 6-4 with a firm 2.86 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, and 101/32 K/BB ratio in 18 starts (104 innings pitched) in 2022. Lopez has been outstanding through his first three starts in July, allowing just four runs on eight hits and eight walks across 16.1 innings of work. Pablo ranks in the 87th percentile in chase rate, while his four-seamer and changeup have a minus-16 run value combined.
โ The Rangersโ bullpen has four saves and a terrible 1-7 record in July. It has thrown 68 innings so far this month, tallying a pedestrian 5.03 ERA to go with an underwhelming 4.39 FIP, 8.3 K/9, and .316 BABIP.
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โ The Marlinsโ bullpen has seven saves and a strong 5-1 record in July. Miamiโs relievers have registered a solid 3.00 ERA and .268 BABIP across 60 frames of work so far this month.ย
Texas Rangers
The Rangers are riding a four-game losing streak after getting swept by the red-hot Seattle Mariners in a four-game home set. Theyโve won only four of their previous 14 games overall, so the 41-49 Rangers are huge seven and a half games behind the bottom wild card in the American League.
Texas is 5-11 in July, posting a troublesome 4.94 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, and .265 opposing batting average. Jon Gray will get the ball Thursday, and the 30-year-old righty is 6-4 with a 3.71 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, and 100/27 K/BB ratio in 16 starts (89.2 IP) in 2022. On the other side of the ball, the Rangers are slashing .239/.303/.424 across 552 at-bats in July.
Miami Marlins
The Marlins finished the first half of the season with three straight losses, as they got swept by the Philadelphia Phillies at loanDepot Park. They fell to 43-48 on the season, trailing the bottom wild card in the National League by five and a half games.
Miami is 9-8 in July, racking up a strong 3.06 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, and .216 opposing batting average. The Marlins desperately need more from their offense after hitting an abysmal .205/.265/.307 through 561 at-bats in July.