Date & Time: May 16, 2019 10:10 PM (EDT)

Location: PETCO Park San Diego, California

Betting Odds: Pittsburgh+117/San Diego-129

Total O/U: 7.5

Trevor Williams (2-1 3.40 ERA) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (21-19) take on Eric Lauer (2-4 5.75 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (22-21) in the first of a four-game series.

Williams was off to a great start this season through his first six appearances but followed up with back-to-back letdowns. Williams increased his ERA from 2.59 to 3.74 in just two starts but has since rebounded in his most recent outing. The last time Williams took the mound he only allowed one earned run in seven innings against a very hot hitting St. Louis Cardinals offense.

Lauer ‘s season hasn’t been a great one, only having one quality start all season. That was his first start of the year when he pitched six scoreless innings against a lowly San Francisco Giants offense. Since then, Lauer has only pitched into the sixth inning once and has given up at least two earned runs in each appearance. His most recent start Lauer only made it three innings and gave up eight hits and eight earned runs against the Colorado Rockies.

Neither team features a great, or even really a good offense (Pirates 26th in runs per game, Padres 25th). However, Lauer is the type of pitcher that the Pirates can break out against. The Pirates are traveling in from Arizona, so they have been out on the west coast the past few days, so that shouldn’t be much of an issue for them. The Pirates offense has a better chance to break out in this one. Williams has had some really good outings so far this year and against the Padres offense, he should be able to have another quality outing. The OVER should hit in this one as well, with Pittsburgh getting the majority of the runs.

PITTSBURGH PIRATES vs SAN DIEGO PADRES FREE PREDICTION

Free MLB Pick: ML Winner –Pittsburgh, RL Winner –Pittsburgh, O/U – Over

Confidence Level: 4/5

NOTES

The total has gone OVER in 9 of Pittsburgh’s last 13 games.

Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.

Pittsburgh is 6-3 SU in their last 9 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 9 of Pittsburgh’s last 13 games when playing on the road against San Diego.

San Diego is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego’s last 5 games against Pittsburgh.

NOTES
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Pittsburgh’s last 13 games.
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
Pittsburgh is 6-3 SU in their last 9 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Pittsburgh’s last 13 games when playing on the road against San Diego.
San Diego is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego’s last 5 games against Pittsburgh.

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