The New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians split the first four games of their ALDS series. As a result, we are getting a decisive Game 5, the only one of the Division Series round this year. This will be the third straight night these teams play, as the series shifts from Cleveland to New York for the decider. In our MLB picks for Tuesday night, we look at Guardians vs Yankees Game 5 in a game that will decide who plays the Houston Astros in the ALCS.
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Guardians vs Yankees Game 5 Betting Pick
MLB
Cleveland Guardians
New York Yankees
Team Records
CLE | Team Records | NYY |
---|---|---|
3-3 | Home | 4-2 |
9-2 | Road | 8-4 |
8-5 | vRHP | 9-2 |
4-0 | vLHP | 3-4 |
3-2 | vs>.500 | 6-5 |
9-3 | vs<.500 | 6-1 |
7-3 | Last10 | 6-4 |
12-5 | Last20 | 12-6 |
12-5 | Last30 | 12-6 |
Team Stats
CLE | Team Stats | NYY |
---|---|---|
3.76 | ERA | 4.06 |
.240 | Batting Avg Against | .231 |
1.27 | WHIP | 1.25 |
.286 | BABIP | .276 |
8.3% | BB% | 8.8% |
21.3% | K% | 23.5% |
74.3% | LOB% | 73.2% |
.250 | Batting Avg | .232 |
.380 | SLG | .402 |
.693 | OPS | .709 |
.313 | OBP | .307 |
Pitchers
A. Civale | J. Taillon | |
---|---|---|
N/A | Innings | 177.1 |
N/A | GS | 32 |
N/A | W-L | 14-5 |
N/A | ERA | 3.91 |
N/A | K/9 | 7.66 |
N/A | BB/9 | 1.62 |
N/A | HR/9 | 1.32 |
N/A | LOB% | 75.3% |
N/A | HR/FB% | 12.4% |
N/A | FIP | 3.94 |
N/A | xFIP | 3.79 |
Recent Starts
Date | Opp | W/L | IP | H | R | ER | SO | BB | ST-PC |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/3 TEX | Dunning ML N/A | W6-0 TOTAL N/A | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 54-82 |
9/28 KC | Singer ML N/A | L4-6 TOTAL N/A | 5.1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 56-90 |
9/23 CHW | Lopez ML N/A | L2-7 TOTAL N/A | 1.2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 30-45 |
9/18 NYY | Gil ML N/A | W11-3 TOTAL N/A | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 53-91 |
9/12 MIL | Lauer ML N/A | L1-11 TOTAL N/A | 3 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 40-64 |
Date | Opp | W/L | IP | H | R | ER | SO | BB | ST-PC |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/3 TOR | Manoah ML N/A | W9-1 TOTAL N/A | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 49-71 |
4/28 BAL | Zimmermann ML N/A | W10-5 TOTAL N/A | 4.2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 55-83 |
4/16 BAL | Wells ML N/A | W5-2 TOTAL N/A | 4.2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 43-69 |
4/11 TOR | Manoah ML N/A | L0-3 TOTAL N/A | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 53-72 |
10/3 TB | Wacha ML N/A | W1-0 TOTAL N/A | 3.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 27-45 |
Betting Trends
CLE | Betting Trends | NYY |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
4 | Avg Score | 3.67 |
3.67 | Avg Opp Score | 4 |
AWAY | HOME | |
2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
5 | Avg Score | 2.33 |
3.33 | Avg Opp Score | 2.67 |
CLE | Betting Trends | NYY |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-3-0 |
3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
2.8 | Avg Score | 3.4 |
3 | Avg Opp Score | 3.4 |
AWAY | HOME | |
4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-3-0 |
4-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
5 | Avg Score | 3.2 |
3 | Avg Opp Score | 2 |
CLE | Betting Trends | NYY |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-5-0 |
6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
3.9 | Avg Score | 3.6 |
3.1 | Avg Opp Score | 2.8 |
AWAY | HOME | |
9-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
9-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
5.7 | Avg Score | 4.9 |
3.1 | Avg Opp Score | 2.5 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
This game will be played at Yankee Stadium at 7:07 PM ET on Monday, October 17, 2022.
Why Bet The Yankees:
✅ The Yankees have a huge starting pitching advantage coming into this contest. Jameson Taillon is far from an ace for the Yankees, but the Guardians have been relegated to starting Aaron Civale in this contest. Civale is 5-6 with a 4.92 ERA this season, and has allowed 10 runs in nine innings against the Yankees, which will help the Yankees advance.
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✅ New York has found some help at the bottom of their lineup in the form of Harrison Bader. Bader has hit three home runs in four games in this series, and has provided a spark where players like Aaron Judge have failed to in this series. Against the worst pitcher they have seen in this postseason so far, Bader and the rest of the Yankees lineup will step up.
✅ The style of this game is likely to favor the Yankees, as both teams are going to feature lower tier starting pitching. Combine that with the crowd that is going to give the Yankees a boost in this MLB playoff matchup, and this is the Yankees’ game to lose.
Cleveland Guardians
The Cleveland Guardians went up 2-1 in the ALDS with a walk-off win in Game 3 at home. But they could not close out the series at Progressive Field, falling in Game 4 to send this series back to New York for Game 5. To make matters worse, the pitching situation is not favorable for the Guardians going into this winner-take-all contest.
Aaron Civale is set to take the mound for Guardians vs Yankees Game 5. Civale has won three straight starts, but those came against the Royals twice and the Texas Rangers. Against the Yankees, Civale has gone 0-2 this season and has allowed at least four runs in both of his starts against them. He will need to be much better to help the Guardians move on here.
New York Yankees
On Sunday, the New York Yankees saved their season with a two-run win over the Cleveland Guardians. The Yankee bullpen rebounded nicely from a terrible performance on Saturday night, allowing them the chance to play a Game 5 at home on Monday night. the question is whether this Yankees team is equipped to handle the pressure of such a big game.
Jameson Taillon will take the mound for the Yankees, in what is easily the biggest game of his career. To help Taillon, the Yankees lineup needs to hit more like the lineup we saw in the regular season than what we have seen in the ALDS so far.