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Rune vs Giron Betting Pick
When Holger Rune and Marcos Giron meet at Wimbledon on Tuesday, something has to give. Both players have struggled to win matches on grass, but one has to advance to the second round once this match is in the books. In our tennis betting picks from Wimbledon on Tuesday, we break down Rune vs Giron in a match where the winner will need to prevail over their own poor form as well as their opponent.
Why Bet On Marcos Giron:
✅ While both players have struggled to win matches on grass, Holger Rune’s career on grass has been nonexistent. He has won zero career men’s tennis matches on grass, with his lone success on the surface coming at the Wimbledon boys tournament in 2019. He could develop on the surface in the future, but he will fall here against a more experienced competitor.
✅ While Marcos Giron has not been piling up the match wins on grass this season, he has been competitive against some quality opponents over the last few weeks. He took both Felix Auger-Aliassime and Stefanos Tsitsipas to deciding sets during this grass campaign, while beating Botic Van De Zandschulp. He hasn’t been great on grass, but he’s been good enough to back here.
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✅ Rune is coming off of a deep run at Roland Garros, and his line in this match may be a little misaligned as a result. Casual bettors are likely to back Rune based on his clay court form, but that will not translate to the grass. Giron is a value here as the less heralded player with the better game on this surface.
Holger Rune
Holger Rune has had a strong 2022 campaign, highlighted by his run at the French Open. But this is the part of the year that Rune has not done well with in his young career. He has yet to win a match on grass at the men’s level. Not just at the ATP Tour level, but at Challenger or ITF level matches either. He has only won on grass during the 2019 Wimbledon boys tournament.
Here, Rune has a chance to open his account on grass, but will need to do more behind his first serve than he has over the last couple of weeks. In two losses on grass since the French Open, Rune has lost to Pablo Carreno-Busta and Ryan Peniston. Against Peniston, Rune won just 63% of his first serve points, which will not be good enough if he repeats that performance against Giron.
Marcos Giron
Marcos Giron has not had the results that he has wanted on grass this season, but he comes into this match as the favorite against an inexperienced grass court player. Giron is 2-2 in his last four matches on grass. The wins came against opponents close to or below his level, while the losses came against elite players in Tsitsipas and Auger-Aliassime. Here, Giron would have to consider himself above Rune’s level on grass, and should come out on top.
The question for Giron coming into this match is whether he can take advantage of a winnable first round match. In his previous three main draw matches at Wimbledon, he has gone 1-2, losing to Hubert Hurkacz and Feliciano Lopez while beating Emil Ruusuvuori. Even that win over Ruusuvuori came in five sets, and Giron will look for a smoother result here against Rune.