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Wednesday night’s MAC showdown between the Miami (OH) RedHawks and the Buffalo Bulls is an important game in the conference picture. Both teams enter at 5-5 overall and 4-2 in league play. The winner of this contest will become bowl eligible and will be in a tie for second place in the MAC standings going into their final regular-season game. Before kickoff from New York State, continue reading to get my Miami (OH) vs Buffalo prediction.
Our Miami (OH) vs Buffalo Pick
Pick: Miami (OH) -1.5
Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Buffalo Bulls
- Date & Time: Wednesday, November 19, 2025, 7:00 PM Eastern Time
- Venue: UB Stadium, Buffalo, NY
- Broadcast: ESPN2
Key Storylines
Both squads stand at 5-5 with identical conference records, which places huge importance on this late-season contest. Buffalo relies on a steady offense capable of sustaining drives, while Miami relies on defensive discipline and a consistent turnover margin to stay competitive. The total sitting below 40 indicates expectations for a low-scoring game where the defenses have the upper hand for the most part.
Miami (OH) comes into this game on a two-game losing streak. They lost to Ohio and Toledo in their last two contests, both of whom are also in the MAC title hunt this season. Buffalo has lost two of its last three games and will try to right the ship at home here. One of these two teams will break out of their recent slump in this matchup.
Quarterback Play
Buffalo quarterback Ta’Quan Roberson enters with 1,947 passing yards, 13 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions. His ability to extend plays has helped Buffalo stay in games, but his turnovers have occasionally stalled drives.
Miami’s recent quarterback play has come from Henry Hesson, who stepped in due to Dequan Finn’s departure. Hesson struggled with 147 yards and three interceptions, highlighting the need for improvement in accuracy and decision-making. As he gets more reps, things should get better at quarterback for the Redhawks.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Miami (OH) is 6-4 against the spread this season.
- Buffalo is 4-6 against the spread this year.
- Both teams are 5-5 in the over/under market going into this game.
Miami (OH) vs Buffalo Model Projection
Score Projection: Miami (OH) 24 – Buffalo 20
Win Probability: Miami (OH) 54%, Buffalo 46%
Final Thoughts
This is going to be a tight game and one that will help decide which teams end up in the MAC championship game in just a few weeks. I think that Miami (OH) has the upper hand going into this game. Their defense is better and they should get better quarterback play with more time to prepare in Finn’s absence this time around. I’ll go with the Redhawks to take this MACtion matchup.
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