The Georgia Bulldogs and Alabama Crimson Tide will meet again in the 2025 SEC Championship Game this Saturday. There is a ton on the line going into this game, with both teams playing for College Football Playoff seeding, or for a place in the playoff as a whole. Here, I break down this matchup from Mercedes-Benz Stadium and bring you my Georgia vs Alabama prediction for one of the marquee matchups of conference championship weekend.
Our Georgia vs Alabama Pick
- Pick: Alabama Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Georgia Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide
- Date & Time: Saturday, December 6, 2025, 4:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: Mercedes‑Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
- Broadcast: ABC
Georgia vs Alabama Odds
| Odds | Line |
|---|---|
| Spread | Georgia –2.5 |
| Moneyline | Georgia –135 / Alabama +114 |
| Total (O/U) | 47.5 points |
Key Storylines
- Redemption for Georgia: The Bulldogs’ only loss this season came at the hands of Alabama in Athens by a score of 24–21. Georgia has won eight games in a row since then, all by a touchdown or more. On a neutral field in Atlanta, they have a chance to get revenge on Alabama and secure the SEC title along with a top-four seed in the College Football Playoff.
- Alabama’s postseason history edge: The Crimson Tide have dominated this rivalry in championship settings. Alabama is 4–0 against Georgia in previous SEC title games and brings that winning history into Saturday’s contest.
- Playoff positioning and stakes: A win for Georgia likely locks up a high seed and a first‑round bye, while Alabama could be in danger of elimination with a loss. That adds more importance to an already massive football game.
Quarterback Play
Georgia quarterback Gunner Stockton has been a reliable dual‑threat quarterback. He’s thrown for 2,535 yards, 20 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions this season. He also has 403 rushing yards and 8 rushing touchdowns. The threat of his legs gives Georgia some unpredictability on offense.
Alabama’s Ty Simpson has thrown for roughly 3,056 yards, 25 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions this season. Alabama’s passing attack (278.3 yards per game) is among the strongest in the conference and Simpson ultimately gave the Tide the advantage through the air over Stockton and the Bulldogs in their last meeting.
Betting Trends
- Georgia is 5-7 against the spread so far this year.
- Alabama is 8-3-1 against the spread going into championship weekend.
- The under has cashed in 7 of 12 games for both of these teams this year.
Georgia vs Alabama Model Projection
Score Projection: Georgia 23 – Alabama 27
Win Probability: Georgia 48%, Alabama 52%
Final Thoughts
This is going to be another tight game between Georgia and Alabama. But I give the edge to the Crimson Tide in this matchup. When the chips are down, Ty Simpson is the more trustworthy of the two quarterbacks in this contest. I expect the Crimson Tide to win this game as a slight underdog and for Alabama to lock up its place in the College Football Playoff with a victory in Atlanta on Saturday afternoon.
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