The BYU Cougars and Texas Tech Red Raiders will meet in one of the biggest games of the week in college football. Both of these teams are ranked in the top 10 in the country and the winner of this contest will get through the week in first place in the Big 12 standings. Which team will get the job done on Saturday? Continue reading to get my BYU vs Texas Tech prediction for this huge contest on the gridiron.
Our BYU vs Texas Tech Pick
- Pick: Over 52.5
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: BYU Cougars vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
- Date & Time: Saturday, November 8, 2025, 12:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, Texas
- Broadcast: ABC
Key Storylines
The stakes are significant in this Big 12 matchup. BYU is undefeated at 8-0 and sitting at the top of the Big 12 standings. Texas Tech is 8-1 and viewed as the team to beat at home in this game. The winner of this game will control its own destiny to appear in the Big 12 title game and to make the College Football Playoff. Dealing with the pressure of that situation will be key for both of these teams as they look to keep their top 10 ranking.
BYU has escaped some close calls to keep their zero in the loss column so far this season. They beat Colorado by a field goal, won a double overtime game over Arizona, and won the Holy War over Utah by three points as well. The Cougars have shown their mettle in tight games this season but this could be the toughest game they have faced this season on the road against another elite team.
All of Texas Tech’s wins this season have come by double-digits. Their only loss of the year was a slip-up on the road against an Arizona State team that was ranked going into the season. The Red Raiders have won two games in a row since that loss and they will try to avoid a second Big 12 loss in this game.
Quarterback Play
BYU quarterback Bear Bachmeier has stepped in and performed admirably for the Cougars. He has thrown for 1,693 yards, 11 touchdowns, and only three interceptions with a QBR of 78.9. Texas Tech quarterback Behren Morton has put up 1,750 passing yards, 15 touchdowns, and four interceptions with a QBR of 69.1. Morton has the experience edge here but these quarterbacks are pretty even statistically.
Betting Trends
- Texas Tech is 8-1 against the spread going into this matchup.
- BYU has covered the spread in six of its first eight games.
- The under has cashed in five of Texas Tech’s nine games.
- BYU has gone 4-4 in the over/under market this year.
BYU vs Texas Tech Model Projection
Score Projection: BYU 24 – Texas Tech 35
Win Probability: BYU 38%, Texas Tech 62%
Final Thoughts
Texas Tech should be able to get the win at home in this game to give their College Football Playoff hopes a massive boost. But I think that this game is going to be close to landing right on the point spread. Instead of playing the point spread, I’ll take the over, as both quarterbacks should put forth a respectable performance in this one.
