On Friday night, two teams that lost their MAC openers will face off in Toledo, Ohio. The Western Michigan Broncos and Toledo Rockets both fell short in their first game of conference play, but can get back to .500 on the conference season with a win here. In our college basketball betting picks for Friday, we take a closer look at this Western Michigan vs Toledo matchup.
Western Michigan vs Toledo Betting Pick
ℹ️ The Pick: | Western Michigan +16 |
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This game will be played at the Savage Arena at 6:30 PM ET on Friday, January 6, 2023.
Why Bet On Western Michigan:
✅ There is legitimate concern about the defense of Toledo after their MAC opener. They allowed 90 points to Ball State, and may not have the defense to cover a big number again here.
✅ Western Michigan covered the spread as a similarly sized underdog on the road in their first MAC game. They were 18-point underdogs at Kent State, but kept the game within 12.
NCAABB
Western Michigan Broncos
Toledo Rockets
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
WMICH | Advanced Game Stats | TOLEDO |
---|---|---|
68.6 | Pace | 70.2 |
102.7 | Off.Rate | 107.5 |
.311 | FTr | .262 |
.391 | 3PAr | .372 |
.520 | TS% | .567 |
51.8 | TRB% | 49.9 |
50.5 | AST% | 47.4 |
7.6 | STL% | 8.4 |
7.3 | BLK% | 10.0 |
.499 | eFG% | .543 |
16.3 | TOV% | 16.3 |
33.8 | ORB% | 28.7 |
.195 | TF/FGA | .190 |
Defense/Offense
WMICH | Advanced Game Stats | TOLEDO |
---|---|---|
68.6 | Pace | 70.2 |
107.8 | Off.Rate | 113.0 |
.309 | FTr | .353 |
.381 | 3PAr | .286 |
.541 | TS% | .569 |
48.2 | TRB% | 50.1 |
51.3 | AST% | 46.7 |
9.9 | STL% | 10.3 |
6.2 | BLK% | 5.3 |
.509 | eFG% | .531 |
13.7 | TOV% | 13.2 |
29.7 | ORB% | 29.3 |
.223 | TF/FGA | .266 |
Betting Trends
WMICH | Betting Trends | TOLEDO |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
2-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-1-0 |
66.33 | Avg Score | 90 |
65.67 | Avg Opp Score | 83.33 |
AWAY | HOME | |
0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
3-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-2-0 |
65 | Avg Score | 85 |
76.33 | Avg Opp Score | 82 |
WMICH | Betting Trends | TOLEDO |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
1-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
3-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-3-0 |
62.4 | Avg Score | 84.8 |
66.4 | Avg Opp Score | 83.6 |
AWAY | HOME | |
0-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-2-0 |
66 | Avg Score | 91.4 |
78.4 | Avg Opp Score | 80.6 |
WMICH | Betting Trends | TOLEDO |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
2-8-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
4-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-5-0 |
64.7 | Avg Score | 82.7 |
67.9 | Avg Opp Score | 79.5 |
AWAY | HOME | |
3-7-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-5-0 |
69.4 | Avg Score | 82.4 |
74.5 | Avg Opp Score | 77.3 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Western Michigan Broncos
The Western Michigan Broncos dropped their first conference game of the year earlier this week, falling by double digits against Kent State. But the Broncos were competitive for large portions of that game, exceeding expectations as an 18-point underdog. Here, they will look to do the same thing, but finish the job against a potent Toledo team.
Defense is going to be the key to this game for Western Michigan, who enter this game ranked 346th in defensive efficiency by Kenpom. But they do play at a slow enough pace where they could limit possessions and keep this game tight down to the end if they can execute offensively.
Toledo Rockets
Toledo may have been the MAC’s biggest disappointment in the opening night of conference play. They lost outright as a nine-point favorite against Ball State, allowing 90 points in the process. While Toledo has a great offense, their defense could cause them problems in games where they are heavy favorites.
Here, the Rockets need to keep the Broncos under 80 points to maximize their chances of winning this game and covering the spread along the way. But after giving up 80 or more points in three of their last four games, that is far from a given.
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