A Big 12 mismatch is scheduled for Saturday afternoon when the Texas Tech Red Raiders (12-10, 1-8 in Big 12) visit the #11 Baylor Bears (16-6, 5-4). Texas Tech finally got their first win of the conference season and will look to knock off their second ranked opponent in a row. Below is my college basketball prediction for Texas Tech vs Baylor.
Texas Tech vs Baylor Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Baylor -8 |
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This game will be played at Ferrell Center at 1:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 4, 2023.
Why Bet Baylor -8
✅ Baylor is 6-1 straight up in their last seven games played.
✅ The Bears are 16-2 straight up in their last 18 home games.
✅ Texas Tech is 3-6 ATS in their last nine games overall.
NCAABB
Texas Tech Red Raiders
Baylor Bears
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| TXTECH | Advanced Game Stats | BAYL |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4 | Pace | 69.8 |
| 134.5 | Off.Rate | 98.8 |
| .276 | FTr | .220 |
| .370 | 3PAr | .410 |
| .674 | TS% | .550 |
| 57.7 | TRB% | 45.4 |
| 51.0 | AST% | 61.9 |
| 15.1 | STL% | 8.2 |
| 8.1 | BLK% | 9.9 |
| .663 | eFG% | .535 |
| 14.2 | TOV% | 20.8 |
| 41.0 | ORB% | 29.7 |
| .199 | TF/FGA | .145 |
Defense/Offense
| TXTECH | Advanced Game Stats | BAYL |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4 | Pace | 69.8 |
| 85.3 | Off.Rate | 122.8 |
| .291 | FTr | .336 |
| .279 | 3PAr | .436 |
| .447 | TS% | .592 |
| 42.3 | TRB% | 54.6 |
| 43.1 | AST% | 61.5 |
| 8.8 | STL% | 13.6 |
| 5.3 | BLK% | 11.2 |
| .427 | eFG% | .566 |
| 19.0 | TOV% | 14.0 |
| 30.5 | ORB% | 40.4 |
| .163 | TF/FGA | .240 |
Betting Trends
| TXTECH | Betting Trends | BAYL |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 72.33 | Avg Score | 71 |
| 73.67 | Avg Opp Score | 69.67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 68 | Avg Score | 72 |
| 69.33 | Avg Opp Score | 63.67 |
| TXTECH | Betting Trends | BAYL |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-2-1 |
| 69.8 | Avg Score | 71.2 |
| 74 | Avg Opp Score | 68.6 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 2-2-1 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 63 | Avg Score | 79.6 |
| 71.8 | Avg Opp Score | 75.2 |
| TXTECH | Betting Trends | BAYL |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-8-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
| 3-6-1 | ATS W/L/P | 4-5-1 |
| 66.5 | Avg Score | 75.7 |
| 73.6 | Avg Opp Score | 74.1 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-8-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
| 3-6-1 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
| 64.7 | Avg Score | 79 |
| 68.1 | Avg Opp Score | 67.2 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Texas Tech Red Raiders
Last time out, Texas Tech hosted the #13 Iowa State Cyclones and used a huge second half to win 80-77 in overtime. This is as shocking of a result that we have seen as the Cyclones were up 17 points at halftime and were in complete cruise control. The Cyclone were up 23 points with 12 minutes to go, but they started crumbling and ended up losing in overtime. Texas Tech trailed by as many as 23 points, never led by more than three, and covered the -2.5-point spread.
Kevin Obanor had 24 points, 13 rebounds, one assist, and one steal on the night. Jaylon Tyson added 11 points, nine rebounds, two assists, and four steals in the shocking victory.
Through 22 games, Texas Tech is scoring 74.8 points per game, shooting 46.2% from the field, and assisting on 13.7 made shots. The Red Raiders are allowing 67.5 points, grabbing 35.2 rebounds, blocking 3.2 shots, and stealing the ball 8.2 times.
Baylor Bears
Baylor visited the #10 Texas Longhorns and left with a tough 76-71 defeat. Texas led most of this game, but they could never quite get the Bears comfortably away. The Bears trailed by two points at halftime and could never overcome that slight deficit. Baylor trailed by as many as nine points, never led by more than three, and could not cover +4.0-point spread.
LJ Cryer had 19 points, five rebounds, two assists, and one steal in the game. Adam Flagler added 11 points, two rebounds, and four assists in the loss.
After 22 games, Baylor is scoring 78.5 points per game, shooting 44.3% from the field, and assisting on 14.9 made shots. The Bears are allowing 69.4 points, grabbing 36.3 rebounds, blocking 2.6 shots, and stealing the ball 7.33 times.
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