The 2021 Summit League Championship Tournament tips off Saturday, March 6, so here’s the best Omaha Mavericks vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits betting pick along with all the key tips and trends and the latest odds update on PointsBet Sportsbook.
The Jackrabbits have just won their fourth straight Summit League regular-season title and will play the eighth-seeded Mavericks for the first time this term. They opened as massive double-digit favorites for Saturday’s clash at the neutral site in Sioux Falls, and last season, the Jackrabbits easily outlasted Omaha 81-64 as 8-point home favorites.
The Mavericks beat Denver twice in a row to secure the No. 8 seed
The Omaha Mavericks (5-19; 3-11 Conf.) are coming off a two-game road series against the Denver Pioneers, tallying a couple of identical 80-76 wins as 1 and 1.5-point favorites. They’ve won three of their last four contests overall, but the Mavericks went only 3-15 straight up and 7-11 ATS over their previous 18 outings.
Seniors Ayo Akinwole (12.5 PPG, 3.0 APG) and Matt Pile (10.7 PPG, 8.7 RPG) are leading the way for the Mavericks who rank 325th in the NCAA NET Rankings. Omaha is No. 317 in the KenPom rankings, and the Mavericks are tallying just 93.8 points per 100 possessions (312th in the country) while allowing 107.2 in a return (280th).
Furthermore, the Mavericks rank 280th in the nation in field goal percentage (41.8%), 293rd in opponent field goal percentage (46.3%) and 335th in opponent 3-point percentage (38.3%).
The Jackrabbits won four of their last five tilts
The South Dakota State Jackrabbits (15-6; 9-3 Conf.) finished the regular season with a two-game home set against the UM Kansas City Roos this past weekend. They recorded a couple of comfortable wins, 67-49 and 89-77, covering the spread on both occasions.
The Jackrabbits are 4-1 straight up and 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games overall. They’ve won ten of their previous 13 contests, and the Jackrabbits are No. 118 in the latest NCAA NET Rankings.
Sophomore guard Baylor Scheierman leads the way for South Dakota State this term, posting 14.7 points, 9.1 rebounds, and 3.7 assists per contest. Senior forward Douglas Wilson records 16.1 points and 5.2 boards a night, while junior guard Alex Arians adds 10.7 points and 4.7 rebounds per game.
The Jackrabbits will miss sophomore G Noah Freidel (16.0 PPG, 4.2 RPG) for the rest of the season. They are scoring 110.4 points per 100 possessions (54th in the nation) while surrendering 104.0 in a return (209th).
- 7-13 ATS in the last 20 games overall
- 3-7 ATS in the last ten games played on Saturday
South Dakota State:
- 4-0-1 ATS in the last five games overall
- 8-4 ATS in the last 12 outings as double-digit favorites
The Jackrabbits have some serious defensive issues, but they are a way better team than Omaha, especially on the offensive end. South Dakota State ranks second in the country in 3-point percentage (40.2%) and 16th in field goal percentage (49.6%), so I’m expecting the Jackrabbits to roll over the Mavericks.
Omaha could keep it close for a while in case of a good shooting night, but the Mavericks will struggle mightily to slow down the Jackrabbits. South Dakota State has surpassed an 80-point mark in five of its previous seven games.
Pick: Take South Dakota State -13.5 at -110
The total has gone over in the Jackrabbits’ last six outings as double-digit favorites. Also, the over is 10-3 in their previous 13 showings overall, and it is 11-3 in the Mavericks’ last 14 games overall.
Therefore, I won’t overthink the totals. Both teams struggle to defend well, while the Jackrabbits are a top-notch offensive team. Furthermore, both schools prefer to play at a fast pace and average just above 71 possessions per 40 minutes. Give me the over on the totals.
Pick: Go over 154.5 points at -110