The New Haven Chargers and UMass Lowell River Hawks will meet in college basketball action on Monday night. The Chargers are struggling while making the jump to Division I and they will try to turn things around against a UMass Lowell team that was destroyed in their first Division I game of the season. Here, I break down this non-conference matchup and bring you my New Haven vs UMass Lowell prediction.
Our New Haven vs UMass Lowell Pick
Pick: UMass Lowell −10.5
Confidence: 4/5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: New Haven Chargers @ UMass Lowell River Hawks
- Date & Time: Monday, November 10, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
- Venue: Kennedy Family Athletic Complex, Lowell, Massachusetts
- Broadcast: ESPN+
Key Storylines
New Haven is making the leap into the Division I level they are experiencing some growing pains. The Chargers are 0-3 to start the season and already have been outscored significantly in each outing. Their shooting is shaky at 37.7% from the field. Their defensive numbers are very poor, allowing about 79.0 points per game as they adjust to this level of competition. In fairness to New Haven, they have played UConn and Penn State during their first three games, but they struggled against Columbia as well.
UMass Lowell is 1-1 on the season. They won their first game against a sub-Division I opponent before they were absolutely routed by the UConn Huskies in their most recent game. UConn won that game 110-47 in what was a complete mismatch from start to finish. The River Hawks will try to take advantage of their first realistic chance of beating a Division I opponent here.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- These teams have never played as Division I opponents. Lowell is 5-1 all-time against New Haven, with all of those matchups coming before these programs transitioned to Division I basketball.
- Lowell is 0-1 against the spread in its only Division I game of the season.
- New Haven is 1-2 against the spread through three games.
- Lowell’s game against UConn went over the total.
- All three games for New Haven to start the season have gone under their respective totals.
New Haven vs UMass Lowell Model Projection
Score Projection: New Haven 68 – UMass Lowell 83
Win Probability: New Haven 28%, UMass Lowell 72%
Final Thoughts
I think that UMass Lowell will get its first win against a Division I opponent on Monday night against New Haven. The Chargers look completely overmatched at the Division I level early in the season, which is not a surprise and not something you can fault them for. But I’ll lay the points with Lowell in this game, as they should hand the Chargers their fourth straight double-digit loss to begin the 2025-26 college basketball season.
